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Can high-scoring Bayer Leverkusen bag goals against defensively poor Monchengladbach?

Bayer Leverkusen vs Mönchengladbach - 27/01/2024

Can high-scoring Bayer Leverkusen bag goals against defensively poor Monchengladbach?
Vitalii Vitleo / Shutterstock.com
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Borussia Monchengladbach have been woeful this season in defence, conceding the second-most goals in the league, with 38.

The Foals’ defence will be put to the test against Bayer Leverkusen, who are the second-best scoring club in the Bundesliga.

The German rivals will meet on Saturday, with Bayer Leverkusen having the chance to increase their lead over Bayern Munich in the title race.

Leverkusen pulled off a dramatic 3-2 win over RB Leipzig a week ago, which put them seven points ahead of Bayern.

That points gap could be reduced depending on Bayern Munich’s result against Union Berlin in midweek. The Bavarians will play their game in-hand.

Borussia Monchengladbach are 12th in the Bundesliga standings, with 20 points from 18 matches. Just nine points separate Borussia Monchengladbach and the bottom three.

Gladbach took seven points from their last six matches in the division. They were outscored 11-10 in those six games. The Foals defence has been poor this season, allowing the second-most goals, 38.

Bayer Leverkusen are on a four-game winning streak. They tallied 11 goals across their last four matches, conceding only two goals. The Company XI kept three clean sheets during that time frame.

Xabi Alonso’s team is the best home side in the division. They posted a record of eight wins and one draw in nine matches at the BayArena. Bayer Leverkusen scored 29 times at home, while conceding six times.

Gladbach lost their last three matches on the road in the Bundesliga. They conceded 23 goals away from Borussia Park.

Bayer went unbeaten in their last six matches versus Gladbach. Earlier this season, Leverkusen eased to a 3-0 win over Borussia Monchengladbach.

Victor Boniface scored twice on either side of a Jonathan Tah goal. Bayer had the game wrapped up after 53 minutes.

Leverkusen kept 60% possession in the match. The Company XI are the league’s best possession team, with 59.1% per match. Meanwhile, the free-scoring team averages 17.1 shots per game, the second-best in the Bundesliga.

Alonso will have some personnel issues this weekend. Tah will be suspended for the game. Fellow defender Edmond Tapsoba is away at the Africa Cup of Nations. Amine Adli is also away at AFCON.

Full-back Jeremie Frimpong could miss the game due to a thigh injury. Boniface is expected to miss the game due to a face injury.

Gladbach are coached by former Bayer coach Gerardo Seoane. He could be without Max Wober due to an illness. Hannes Wolf is ruled out with an injury. Meanwhile, Ko Itukura is away on international duty.

Our betting prediction for Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Monchengladbach is for the former to pick up a big win. Our algorithm predicts a 3-0 win for the league leaders at home.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
De1
632413
1
3 - 0
3.36
1.29
1.29 5.50 10.00 no no no
FT
0 - 0(0 - 0)
-
- - -
Bundesliga Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Bayer Leverkusen 90 34 28 6 0 65
2
Stuttgart 73 34 23 4 7 39
3
Bayern München 72 34 23 3 8 49
4
RB Leipzig 65 34 19 8 7 38
5
Borussia Dortmund 63 34 18 9 7 25
6
Eintracht Frankfurt 47 34 11 14 9 1
7
Hoffenheim 46 34 13 7 14 0
8
Heidenheim 42 34 10 12 12 -5
9
Werder Bremen 42 34 11 9 14 -6
10
Freiburg 42 34 11 9 14 -13
11
Augsburg 39 34 10 9 15 -10
12
Wolfsburg 37 34 10 7 17 -15
13
Mainz 35 34 7 14 13 -12
14
Borussia M'gladbach 34 34 7 13 14 -11
15
Union Berlin 33 34 9 6 19 -25
16
Bochum 33 34 7 12 15 -32
17
Köln 27 34 5 12 17 -32
18
Darmstadt 17 34 3 8 23 -56

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