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Can Bayern clinch second place with a win over Hoffenheim?

Hoffenheim vs Bayern München - 18/05/2024

Can Bayern clinch second place with a win over Hoffenheim?
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Bayern Munich are desperate to hang onto second place in the Bundesliga. Anything less than a win over Hoffenheim could see Die Roten finish third.

Will our algorithm predict a Bayern Munich away win on the final day of the season?

Hoffenheim will welcome Bayern, as they seek a third straight Bundesliga match without a defeat.

The Hoff took four points from their last two matches, drawing 1-1 with RB Leipzig and defeating Darmstadt 6-0.

Bayern, on the other hand, are coming off a 2-0 win over Wolfsburg. The win came on the heels of a 3-1 loss to Stuttgart.

Thomas Tuchel’s team took 12 points from the last six matches in the league. They outscored opponents 14-8.

Hoffenheim picked up 10 points from their last six matches. The Blues outscored their last six opponents 17-12. Twenty of Hoffenheim’s 43 points have come at home this term.

The defence has let Hoffenheim down this season. They have allowed 64 goals to opponents, which is the third-most in the division.

Meanwhile, Hoffenheim’s offence has scored 62 times. They have the sixth-best attack in the league.

Bayern have the league’s best attack, which is led by Harry Kane. Die Roten have scored 92 goals as a team, with Kane scoring 36 times. He has accounted for 39% of the team’s scoring.

The Bayern defence has allowed 41 goals. It is the fourth-best defensive record in the league. Bayern kept two clean sheets in their last five matches in the Bundesliga.

Hoffenheim kept just one clean sheet in their last six games. That clean sheet came against already-relegated Darmstadt last weekend.

The Blues failed to defeat Hoffenheim in their last six head-to-head meetings in all competitions.

Bayern cruised to a 3-0 win earlier this season at home. Jamal Musial scored twice and Kane added a third. Hoffenheim’s Grischa Promel was sent off.

Each of the last six matches between these teams finished with over 1.5 goals. Musiala is Bayern’s second-leading scorer with 10 goals. He is the only other Bayern player with double-digit goals.

Musiala’s 10 goals shows just how reliant Bayern Munich have been on Kane this season. This is likely one of the reasons Bayern will end the season without a trophy.

Hoffenheim’s defence should once again concede goals to Bayern. Just like the previous meeting between the teams, our algorithm predicts Hoffenheim to concede three times. However, our score prediction forecasts a close game, with Bayern winning 3-2.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
De1
212554
2
2 - 3
4.06
16°
1.80
3.40 4.75 1.80 no no no
FT
4 - 2(1 - 2)
-
- - -
Bundesliga Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Bayer Leverkusen 90 34 28 6 0 65
2
Stuttgart 73 34 23 4 7 39
3
Bayern München 72 34 23 3 8 49
4
RB Leipzig 65 34 19 8 7 38
5
Borussia Dortmund 63 34 18 9 7 25
6
Eintracht Frankfurt 47 34 11 14 9 1
7
Hoffenheim 46 34 13 7 14 0
8
Heidenheim 42 34 10 12 12 -5
9
Werder Bremen 42 34 11 9 14 -6
10
Freiburg 42 34 11 9 14 -13
11
Augsburg 39 34 10 9 15 -10
12
Wolfsburg 37 34 10 7 17 -15
13
Mainz 35 34 7 14 13 -12
14
Borussia M'gladbach 34 34 7 13 14 -11
15
Union Berlin 33 34 9 6 19 -25
16
Bochum 33 34 7 12 15 -32
17
Köln 27 34 5 12 17 -32
18
Darmstadt 17 34 3 8 23 -56

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