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Who WIll Get the Upper Hand in Leg 1 of the Relegation Play-offs between Bochum and Düsseldorf?

Bochum vs Fortuna Düsseldorf - 23/05/2024

 Who WIll Get the Upper Hand in Leg 1 of the Relegation Play-offs between Bochum and Düsseldorf?
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The first leg and the biggest games of the seasons of VfL Bochum and Fortuna Düsseldorf are upon us in the Bundesliga relegation play-offs, and Forebet has taken a deepdive into the trends, data and mathematics of these two campaigns.

There are just two games left to determine who plays in the Bundesliga next season. Most of the time, the analysis, trends and football predictions point towards a victory for the current Bundesliga side. However, it's been a rough season for Bochum.

Ultimately, it is only in this position of 16th and fighting to survive because of an inferior goals difference against Union Berlin, as they both finished with the same amount of points.

This has also seen the club score 42 times, and although this was much higher than that of Union Berlin's tally of 33, by having the second worst goals difference behind the terrible Darmstadt, Bochum ended up in this position.

The inferior goal difference, ironically, was actually capped off in the final two games of the season, despite them defeating Union back in early May in a stunning 4-3 win away in the capital. The final two games saw them let in nine goals across a 5-0 defeat at home to the champions Bayer Leverkusen, as Werder Bremen then went on to beat them 4-1.

In the end, with seven goals the difference in the goals difference column, that eight-goal difference relegated Bochum.

As for Dusseldorf, they are in this fight for promotion after finishing third in 2. Bundesliga. The club managed to score the most goals in the league with 72 across the 34 games, and won 18 games too.

In fact, they only finished behind Holstein Kiel by five points and adrift of the league winners, St. Pauli, by six points.

Towards the end of the season, Dusseldorf put together an excellent unbeaten run and have only suffered a loss to the relentless unbeaten Leverkusen in the past eight weeks.

That DFB-Pokal semi-final saw them lose 4-0, but 2-0 wins over Eintracht Braunschweig and Wehen Wiesbaden shortly after got them right in the mix for promotion to the Bundesliga.

Dusseldorf also defeated FC Magdeburg and Nurnberg, alongside draws with Schalke and Kiel to finish third in May.

Forebet now predicts a draw here and for the game to see over 2.5 goals, leaving everything to play for in the second leg next week.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
De1
363827
X
2 - 2
3.62
21°
3.60
2.10 3.60 3.25 no no no
FT
0 - 3(0 - 1)
-
- - -
Bundesliga Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Bayer Leverkusen 90 34 28 6 0 65
2
Stuttgart 73 34 23 4 7 39
3
Bayern München 72 34 23 3 8 49
4
RB Leipzig 65 34 19 8 7 38
5
Borussia Dortmund 63 34 18 9 7 25
6
Eintracht Frankfurt 47 34 11 14 9 1
7
Hoffenheim 46 34 13 7 14 0
8
Heidenheim 42 34 10 12 12 -5
9
Werder Bremen 42 34 11 9 14 -6
10
Freiburg 42 34 11 9 14 -13
11
Augsburg 39 34 10 9 15 -10
12
Wolfsburg 37 34 10 7 17 -15
13
Mainz 35 34 7 14 13 -12
14
Borussia M'gladbach 34 34 7 13 14 -11
15
Union Berlin 33 34 9 6 19 -25
16
Bochum 33 34 7 12 15 -32
17
Köln 27 34 5 12 17 -32
18
Darmstadt 17 34 3 8 23 -56

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