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Can Olympiacos finish off Fenerbahce in the UECL quarterfinals?

Fenerbahçe SK vs Olympiacos FC - 18/04/2024

Can Olympiacos finish off Fenerbahce in the UECL quarterfinals?
Giannis Papanikos / Shutterstock.com
1960

Olympiacos take a three-match winning streak into their UEFA Europa Conference League quarterfinal second leg against Fenerbahce.

That streak includes a win in the first leg over the Turks. Will our score prediction back Olympiacos to win once more and progress?

The first leg of the quarterfinals between these clubs saw plenty of goals. Indeed, it saw five goals in total, with Olympiacos winning 3-2 at home.

However, manager Jose Luis Mendilibar, who led Sevilla to the Europa League trophy last spring, will be angry with his squad’s inability to hold a big lead.

Olympiacos raced out to a 3-0 lead after 57 minutes thanks to goals from Kostas Fortounis, Steven Joventic, and Chiquinho. With a big win looking likely, Olympiacos suddenly capitulated.

Fenerbahce’s Dusan Tadic scored a penalty in the 68th minute and Irfan Kahveci added a second goal with 16 minutes left to play. Although the Canaries were down and out, they are now back in the tie thanks to two late goals.

Mendilibar’s team had the weekend to prepare for the second leg of the Conference League quarterfinals against Fenerbahce. Olympiacos did not play in the Greek Super League, and the players should be well-rested.

Fenerbahce, on the other hand, won against Fatih Karagumruk, 2-1, away from home in the Turkish Super League. The Canaries went into halftime down 1-0 but came back to claim the win.

Fenerbahce are chasing their eternal rivals, Galatasaray, in the Super League title race. They are battling for two major trophies.

Since 2014, Fenerbahce and Olympiacos have played five times. The Greeks edged the five matches, with three wins and two losses in all competitions.

All three of Olympiacos’ wins against Fenerbache came in their last three meetings. All three of those matches were played in the Europa League from 2021 to 2024.

Fenerbahce have played well at home this season. They have a record of 40W-4D-7L and a goal difference of +83.

Olympiacos have been okay on the road this term. They have a record of 12W-7D-5L, and a goal difference of +25.

Olympiacos leading scorer Ayoub El Kaabi has scored 25 times in all competitions. Five of those goals have come in the Conference League.

Our AI scorer predictor is backing El Kaabi and Olympiacos to win in Turkey. After the Greek’s first leg, and their three-match winning streak against Fenerbahce, our algorithm predicts another win for Olympiacos.

Like the first leg, the second match should see goals, as Olympiacos win 2-1 on the road in a difficult environment.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
ECL
372340
2
1 - 2
3.11
16°
5.00
1.57 4.33 5.00 no no no
Pen.
FT
2 - 3
1 - 0(1 - 0)
-
- - -

UEFA Europa Conference League

UEFA Europa Conference League Group A
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Lille 14 6 4 2 0 8
2
Slovan Bratislava 10 6 3 1 2 1
3
Olimpija Ljubljana 6 6 2 0 4 -5
4
KI Klaksvik 4 6 1 1 4 -4
UEFA Europa Conference League Group B
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Maccabi Tel Aviv 15 6 5 0 1 5
2
KAA Gent 13 6 4 1 1 9
3
Zorya Lugansk 7 6 2 1 3 -1
4
Breidablik 0 6 0 0 6 -13
UEFA Europa Conference League Group C
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Viktoria Plzen 18 6 6 0 0 8
2
Dinamo Zagreb 9 6 3 0 3 5
3
KF Ballkani 4 6 1 1 4 -4
4
FC Astana 4 6 1 1 4 -9
UEFA Europa Conference League Group D
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Club Brugge 16 6 5 1 0 12
2
FK Bodo/Glimt 10 6 3 1 2 3
3
Besiktas JK 4 6 1 1 4 -7
4
FC Lugano 4 6 1 1 4 -8
UEFA Europa Conference League Group E
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Aston Villa 13 6 4 1 1 5
2
Legia Warszawa 12 6 4 0 2 4
3
AZ Alkmaar 6 6 2 0 4 -5
4
Zrinjski Mostar 4 6 1 1 4 -4
UEFA Europa Conference League Group F
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Fiorentina 12 6 3 3 0 8
2
Ferencvaros TC 10 6 2 4 0 3
3
Racing Genk 9 6 2 3 1 3
4
Cukaricki Belgrade 0 6 0 0 6 -14
UEFA Europa Conference League Group G
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
PAOK Salonica 16 6 5 1 0 6
2
Eintracht Frankfurt 9 6 3 0 3 4
3
Aberdeen 6 6 1 3 2 0
4
HJK Helsinki 2 6 0 2 4 -10
UEFA Europa Conference League Group H
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Fenerbahçe SK 12 6 4 0 2 2
2
Ludogorets 12 6 4 0 2 0
3
FC Nordsjælland 10 6 3 1 2 10
4
Spartak Trnava 1 6 0 1 5 -12

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