Athletic Bilbao Leading but Analysis Predicts Close Second Leg Against Atletico Madrid
Athletic Bilbao vs Atlético Madrid - 29/02/2024
Cesar Ortiz Gonzalez / Shutterstock.com
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Only four teams remain in the 2023/24 Copa del Rey and the probability of a Basque Derby in the final is increasing.
The game between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid will take place on the 29th of February at the San Mamés Barria.
The hosts are currently sitting 5th in La Liga on 49 points while the visitors are one place above them in the table on 52 points. Athletic Bilbao have a 1-0 advantage going into this match following the first leg in Madrid.
Athletic Bilbao come into the match having lost 3-1 at Real Betis in La Liga on the weekend. Athletic Bilbao found themselves 2-0 down after 38 minutes but did manage to pull a goal back shortly before half time despite being down to ten men.
Into the second half and Real Betis scored their third goal in the 67th minute to seal the win.
The defeat at Real Betis was the first defeat for Athletic Bilbao in 7 fixtures in all competitions. There have been wins over Mallorca and Girona at home in La Liga plus Barcelona at home and Atletico Madrid away in the Copa del Rey.
Stats show Athletic Bilbao have won each of their last 6 Copa del Rey matches and they are undefeated in 12 of their last 13 games in the competition.
Athletic Bilbao are undefeated in each of their last 7 home Copa del Rey fixtures and have seen under 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 on home soil.
Atletico Madrid travel to the San Mamés Barria on the back of a 2-2 draw at bottom club Almeria in La Liga on the weekend.
It was a disappointing result for Atletico Madrid against a team that have yet to win a league game this season. Both teams scored a goal in each half of the match.
The draw at Almeria means Atletico Madrid have won only 1 of their 6 most recent fixtures in all competitions.
The win was a comprehensive 5-0 home victory over Las Palmas in La Liga but there have been defeats against Sevilla away in La Liga and Inter Milan away in the Champions League.
Atletico Madrid also lost the first leg of this Copa del Rey semi-final 1-0 at home.
Trends show Atletico Madrid are undefeated in their last 6 away games in the Copa del Rey.
Looking ahead to the team news and Athletic Bilbao can call upon Nico Williams despite his red card in the league on the weekend. Iñigo Lekue and Ander Herrera are injured.
Atletico Madrid have Antoine Griezmann, Cesar Azpilicueta, Thomas Lemar, and Vitolo all in the treatment room. They also have doubts over the fitness of José Giménez.
Each of the last 5 meetings between these teams ended with under 2.5 goals scored and we predict the same for this match. Atletico Madrid have failed to score a goal in the last 2 games against Athletic Bilbao and that could continue to 3 games, with the possibility of a 0-0 draw.
Home team
Away team
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
EsC
324127
X
0 - 0
2.27
9°
3.10
2.50
3.10
3.10
no
no
no
3 - 0(2 - 0)
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