We Assess the Probability of an Upset as Rouen Meet Monaco in Coupe de France
FC Rouen vs Monaco - 08/02/2024
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Continue below for our Coupe de France preview as we look at the chances of an upset in the round of 16.
The game between Rouen and Monaco will take place at the Stade Robert Diochon on the 8th of February. The hosts are currently 7th in National 1, the third tier of French football, while the visitors are 5th in Ligue 1.
Rouen come into the match having lost 2-1 at home to Versailles in National 1 on the weekend. It was a disappointing result for Rouen against a team below them in the table and the visitors opened the scoring in the 20th minute.
Rouen equalised from the penalty spot in the 35th minute but Versailles struck again in the 89th minute to win.
The defeat against Versailles means Rouen have lost their 2 most recent fixtures having previously gone down 2-0 at Nimes, who are also below them in the table. Both goals were scored early in the second half.
Stats show Rouen have won 6 of their last 8 games in all competitions. The wins have come over Cholet and Marignane GCB at home plus Niort away in National 1 and GSI Pontivy, Louhans-Cuiseaux, and Toulouse in the Coupe de France.
Rouen have seen over 2.5 goals and both teams score in 3 of their 4 most recent home matches in all competitions.
Monaco make the trip to Rouen having been held to a 1-1 draw at home by Le Havre in Ligue 1. With the score 0-0 at half time, Monaco took the lead in the 63rd minute but only 2 minutes passed before Le Harve equalised.
The draw with Le Havre means Monaco are undefeated in 5 of their 6 most recent fixtures in all competitions. There have been wins over Toulouse away in Ligue 1 plus Lens and Rodez away in the Coupe de France.
Monaco picked up a point thanks to a good 1-1 draw at Marseille in Ligue 1 but lost 3-1 at home to Reims in the league.
Trends show Monaco are in good form on the road and they have won 4 of their last 5 away matches in all competitions.
They have also won 12 of their last 13 away games in the Coupe de France, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals in each of their last 5 cup games on the road.
Team news and Rouen are expected to play a back three including Valentin Sanson, Clement Bassin, and Sofyane Bouzamoucha. Damien Loppy is a dangerman in attack.
Monaco are without the injured forward Folarin Balogun but every other player should be available for the visitors.
This is the only trophy Monaco can win this season so they should be at full strength for this match.
Given their away form in the Coupe de France, Monaco should win but predictive analysis suggests we could see both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals.
Home team
Away team
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
CdF
222751
2
1 - 2
3.52
11°
1.30
8.00
5.50
1.30
no
no
no
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