Before the Round – Trends on Colombia Primera A (17/06)

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The Colombia Primera A is in the playoff semifinal stage. The league’s top-eight teams in the Apertura qualified for the semifinals.

The eight clubs were then split into two groups of four. With one semifinal group matchday left, finals qualification is wide open.

Atletico Nacional - Deportivo Pasto

Atletico Nacional are level on nine points in Group A with Alianza Petrolera. The two teams are atop the group, but Alianza are first thanks to a better goal difference. Atletico must defeat Deportivo Pasto to have any chance of progressing to the finals.

Deportivo are third in the group and three points back of Atletico and Alianza. They can still make the finals, too. Atletico went unbeaten in their last six games against Deportivo Pasto, with three wins and three draws.

Atletico Nacional went unbeaten in their last five games in the playoffs. Their inability to turn draws into wins could cost them in the chase for the finals. Atletico only conceded twice in their five playoff games but scored just four goals.

• Atlético Nacional have not been beaten in their last 6 straight clashes in Primera A.
• A goalless streak consisting of 3 away matches has marked the Primera A campaign of Deportivo Pasto.
• Atlético Nacional are unbeaten in 32 of their last 34 home matches in Primera A.
• In their last 6 games in Primera A, Deportivo Pasto have been undefeated on 5 occasions.
• Prediction: Atletico Nacional

Rionegro Aguilas - Alianza Petrolera

Rionegro Aguilas will finish bottom of Group A. They can progress to the finals, but Rionegro can play the role of spoiler. Alianza Petrolera must win to qualify for the finals.

Qualifying for the finals could come down to goal difference. Therefore, Alianza Petrolera must ensure they score goals against Rionegro Aguilas. Alianza scored seven goals and conceded just four times in their five playoff games. They collected nine points from 15 on offer.

Rionegro Aguilas are on a three-game losing streak. They conceded the most goals in Group A, with 15 goals. Rionegro scored just three times, the fewest number of goals in the group. Alianza won their last two games versus Rionegro.

• Rionegro Águilas haven't succeeded in scoring a goal in their 4 latest games in Primera A.
• In their last 3 games in Primera A, Alianza Petrolera have managed to keep a clean sheet.
• Rionegro Águilas haven't lost in 27 of their last 30 home games in Primera A.
• Alianza Petrolera have scored an average of 0.75 goals in their away league games.
• Prediction: Under 2.5 goals

Millonarios - Independiente Medellín

The last six games between Millonairos and Independiente Medellin were split into two wins, two draws, and two losses apiece. Millonairos went unbeaten in their last two games versus Independiente.

Millonairos are top of Group B with 10 points from 15 points available. However, they are coming off a 2-1 loss to Chico FC. The defeat could open the door for Chico or America de Cali to overtake Millonairos on the final day of the semifinals.

Independiente Medellin can’t progress to the finals. They took just two points from their five games. Medellin struggled to score, tallying just two goals in five fixtures.

• Millonarios have not been beaten in their last 15 straight home clashes in Primera A.
• Ind. Medellin haven't succeeded in scoring a goal in their 4 latest games in Primera A.
• Millonarios haven't lost in 35 of their last 37 home games in Primera A.
• Ind. Medellin have achieved just 1 wins of their last 6 Primera A games.
• Prediction: Millonarios

America de Cali - Boyaca Chico FC

America de Cali and Boyaca Chico FC drew their last two matches, including their first semifinal match-up. Both games finished with identical 1-1 scores.

Chico are unbeaten in three straight games and fresh off a 2-1 win over group-leader Millonairos. A win and Millonairos' loss or draw would send Chico into the finals.

America de Cali are fresh off a 1-0 win over Independiente Medellin. The win ended a two-game losing streak. America de Cali cannot progress to the finals round. However, they can ruin Chico’s chances of making the finals.

• América de Cali haven't lost a match in 22 of their last 26 home matches in Primera A.
• In their last 12 away games in Primera A, Boyacá Chicó have a poor record of just 1 wins.
• Under 2.5 goals were seen in América de Cali's last 3 home matches in Primera A.
• Boyacá Chicó have not managed to score a goal in their 4 most recent away matches in Primera A.
• Prediction: Under 2.5 goals