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Can Lazio finish as Serie A runners-up with win over Napoli?

SSC Napoli vs Lazio Preview 01/08/2020

31 July 2020 | Serie A | Preview
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Can Lazio finish as Serie A runners-up with win over Napoli?
Cristiano Barni / Shutterstock

Lazio head into the final day of the Serie A season on 78 points and in fourth place. Simone Inzaghi’s team could finish as high as second but need a win and Inter Milan to draw away at Atalanta on Saturday to accomplish the feat.

Napoli are seventh in Serie A and cannot finish the season any higher or lower. The Partenopei are preparing for their Champions League last 16 second leg match versus Barcelona and will use Saturday’s game as a warm up.

Gennaro Gattuso’s Napoli go into the weekend having lost in midweek to Inter Milan 2-0. It was their second loss in their last three Serie A games. After winning the Coppa Italia, Napoli have slumped somewhat.

Lazio have rebounded since restarting the Serie A season poorly. Had the Serie A season not gone on hiatus due to COVID-19, there is a good chance the Biancocelesti would have been crowned champions.

Lazio claimed a 1-0 victory against Napoli in the reverse fixture this season thanks to a Ciro Immobile second half goal. The Partenopei got revenge on Lazio in the Coppa Italia with a second minute goal from Lorenzo Insigne and held on from there.

The cup game saw two red cards as Napoli’s Elseid Hysaj was sent off in the 19th minute. Lazio’s Lucas Leiva was given his marching orders six minutes later.

Lazio have the joint third best away points total in the league. They have recorded 33 points from 54 possible and won in their last away game at Hellas Verona 5-1.

The Biancocelesti have Serie A’s top scorer in Ciro Immobile. The Italian international has scored 35 times registering 45% of Lazio’s goals. Juventus forward Cristiano Ronaldo goes into the weekend trying to catch Immobile. Ronaldo has 31 goals in Serie A.

Napoli are unbeaten in their last six home matches with five of those games ending in wins. They are +5 in goal difference with 28 goals scored and 23 allowed.

Lazio’s record against Napoli isn’t great but they did claim a 1-0 win earlier this season in Serie A. Lazio are playing great football and have every chance to move up to second or third in Serie A’s final standings.

The Biancocelesti should pick up a win against Napoli and potentially finish the campaign in second place. Immobile could bag another goal and seal the Golden Boot Award. The teams should combine for over 2.5 goals as they both find the back of the net.

Home team - Away team Probability in% Forebet Correct score Avg. goals Weather conditions Odds Kelly Criterion Score
1 X 2
Serie A | Round 40
flag_6 It1
SSC NapoliLazio
01/08/2020 20:45 GMT
333037 2 1 - 2 3.25 27° 3.30 0.1
FT
3 - 1
(1 - 1)

Predictions for Serie A

Home team - Away team Forebet
flag_6 It1
Brescia CalcioSampdoria
01/08/2020 17:00
2
flag_6 It1
AC MilanCagliari Calcio
01/08/2020 19:45
1
flag_6 It1
Atalanta BergamoInter Milano
01/08/2020 19:45
X
flag_6 It1
SSC NapoliLazio
01/08/2020 19:45
2

Italy Serie A - predictions, tips, statistics
Serie A
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L GF GA +/-
1. Juventus FC 83 38 26 5 7 76 43 33
2. Inter Milano 82 38 24 10 4 81 36 45
3. Atalanta Bergamo 78 38 23 9 6 98 48 50
4. Lazio 78 38 24 6 8 79 42 37
5. AS Roma 70 38 21 7 10 77 51 26
6. AC Milan 66 38 19 9 10 63 46 17
7. SSC Napoli 62 38 18 8 12 61 50 11
8. Sassuolo Calcio 51 38 14 9 15 69 63 6
9. Hellas Verona 49 38 12 13 13 47 51 -4
10. Fiorentina 49 38 12 13 13 51 48 3
11. Parma FC 49 38 14 7 17 56 57 -1
12. Bologna FC 47 38 12 11 15 52 65 -13
13. Udinese Calcio 45 38 12 9 17 37 51 -14
14. Cagliari Calcio 45 38 11 12 15 52 56 -4
15. Sampdoria 42 38 12 6 20 48 65 -17
16. Torino FC 40 38 11 7 20 46 68 -22
17. Genoa 39 38 10 9 19 47 73 -26
18. US Lecce 35 38 9 8 21 52 85 -33
19. Brescia Calcio 25 38 6 7 25 35 79 -44
20. SPAL 1907 20 38 5 5 28 27 77 -50

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