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Can Brighton Make Home Advantage Count Against Burnley?

Can Brighton Make Home Advantage Count Against Burnley?
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There are several fixtures to enjoy in the Premier League this Saturday as domestic action resumes following the international break.

There is an intriguing encounter between two teams who will not only be hopeful of avoiding the drop but will be aiming to push into the top half of the table.

Brighton and Hove Albion host Burnley at the The American Express Community Stadium and both teams will see this as a winnable game.

Brighton come into this game having signed off for the international break with a 4-0 defeat at Manchester City.  The Seagulls approached the match in a positive way despite going down to an early goal and will not be overly disappointed with their performance despite the heavy loss.

Trends show Brighton have won one of their four matches in the Premier League this season and have failed to win any of the last three.  They opened with a good 3-0 win at Watford but were then held to a 1-1 draw at home by West Ham United.  Brighton have since lost 2-0 at home to Southampton and 4-0 at Manchester City.

Overall form shows Brighton have won just three of their last twenty-two Premier League games.  They have lost five of their last seven at home in all competitions, with two draws coming in their last four on home soil.

Brighton have failed to score more than a single goal in any of their last fourteen home Premier League matches.

Burnley hosted Liverpool last time out in a game that was always going to be tough.  They were doing well until they conceded an own goal and the Clarets never recovered from that blow, eventually losing the match 3-0.

That result means Burnley have failed to win their last four games in all competitions.  There have been three defeats, with two coming in the Premier League and one in the League Cup.  The other defeat in the Premier League came at Arsenal while Burnley lost 3-1 at home to Sunderland in the League Cup.

Much like their opponents, Burnley have won one of their four Premier League matches this season and that was at the start of the campaign.  They defeated Southampton 3-0 at home.  Trends show Burnley have won just four of their last twenty-six away matches in all competitions.

Team news and Brighton are without the injured Yves Bissouma and suspended Florin Andone.  They also have doubts over the fitness of Ezequiel Schelotto, Jose Izquierdo and Leandro Trossard.

Burnley could be without two midfielders as Dwight McNeil and Johann Berg Gudmundsson both aim to recover from a calf injury in time for the game.

This should be a close match and one where we are unlikely to see many goals.  A low scoring draw seems the most probably outcome.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
EPL
293932
X
0 - 0
2.04
21°
3.35
2.11 3.35 3.80 -1 1 1
FT
1 - 1(0 - 0)
-
- - -
Premier League
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Arsenal 83 36 26 5 5 60
2
Manchester City 82 35 25 7 3 54
3
Liverpool 78 36 23 9 4 43
4
Aston Villa 67 36 20 7 9 20
5
Tottenham 60 35 18 6 11 11
6
Newcastle United 56 35 17 5 13 22
7
Chelsea 54 35 15 9 11 11
8
Manchester United 54 35 16 6 13 -3
9
West Ham 49 36 13 10 13 -14
10
Bournemouth 48 36 13 9 14 -11
11
Brighton 47 35 12 11 12 -4
12
Wolverhampton 46 36 13 7 16 -11
13
Fulham 44 36 12 8 16 -4
14
Crystal Palace 43 36 11 10 15 -8
15
Everton 37 36 12 9 15 -11
16
Brentford 36 36 9 9 18 -8
17
Nottingham Forest 29 36 8 9 19 -18
18
Luton Town 26 36 6 8 22 -29
19
Burnley 24 36 5 9 22 -35
20
Sheffield United 16 36 3 7 26 -65

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