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Can AC Milan qualify for the Champions League on final day of Serie A season?

24 May 2019 | Serie A | Preview
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Can AC Milan qualify for the Champions League on final day of Serie A season?
Marco-Canoniero / Shutterstock.com

Manager Gennaro Gattuso must lead his team to victory on Sunday at SPAL to have any hope of making the Champions League for the first time since 2013-14. The Rossoneri also need Atalanta or Inter Milan to slip up and drop points on the final day.

AC Milan are one point behind both Atalanta and Inter Milan. There will be drama around Italy on Sunday night as the three clubs battle for the final two Champions League qualification places.

SPAL won’t roll over for AC Milan at the Stadio Paolo Mazza. Despite losing back to back matches, SPAL have put together another respectable season in the Italian top flight. SPAL are currently 11th but could move up to 10th with a victory against the Rossoneri.

Since SPAL returned to Serie A in 2017, they have failed to beat AC Milan in all three encounters. AC Milan have won all three matches by a combined score of 8-1.

The Rossoneri’s last trip to the Stadio Paolo Mazza ended in a 4-0 win in February 2018. Gattuso will hope his squad can achieve a similar victory on Sunday.

SPAL have claimed 22 of their 42 points at home while AC Milan have only taken 25 of 65 points on their travels. Away form has been AC Milan’s biggest downfall and it could be the reason they miss out on Champions League football once more.

Striker Krzysztof Piatek arrived at AC Milan in January from Genoa. He has since scored nine goals for the club and goes into the final day as its leading scorer.

Piatek scored last week against Frosinone in AC Milan’s 2-0 victory. It was Piatek’s first goal in six games for the Rossoneri.

SPAL have found their own top goal scorer courtesy of striker Andrea Petagna. The Italian has bagged 16 goals which is his best single season tally. Petagna is a former AC Milan player, but only played four times at the club.

AC Milan will be without Lucas Paqueta due to suspension while Davide Calabria and Mattia Caldara are sidelined with knee injuries.

SPAL’s Vasco Regini and Simone Missiroli are recovering from knee and rib injuries, respectively. They could be past fit in time for AC Milan’s arrival.

The Rossoneri should be pushed the entire game by SPAL, but Gattuso’s men will prevail thanks to their quality. Just like their previous game this season, Sunday night’s fixture should finish 2-1 with AC Milan coming out on top.

Piatek and Petagna could light up the night at the Stadio Paolo Mazza in a must-win game for AC Milan.

Home team - Away team Probability in% Forebet Correct score Avg. goals Weather conditions Odds Kelly Criterion Score
1 X 2
Serie A | Round 38
flag_6 It1
SPAL 1907AC Milan
26/05/2019 20:30 GMT
192952 2 1 - 2 2.55 14° 1.59
FT
2 - 3
(1 - 2)

Predictions for Serie A

Home team - Away team Forebet
flag_6 It1
LazioBologna FC
29/02/2020 15:00
1
flag_6 It1
Udinese CalcioFiorentina
29/02/2020 18:00
X
flag_6 It1
SSC NapoliTorino FC
29/02/2020 20:45
1
flag_6 It1
AC MilanGenoa
01/03/2020 12:30
1

Italy Serie A - predictions, tips, statistics

Featured match

Home team - Away team Forebet
Es1
SD Eibar
Levante UD

29/02/2020 13:00
1

OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L GF GA +/-
1. Juventus FC 60 25 19 3 3 48 24 24
2. Lazio 59 25 18 5 2 58 23 35
3. Inter Milano 54 24 16 6 2 49 22 27
4. Atalanta Bergamo 45 24 13 6 5 63 32 31
5. AS Roma 42 25 12 6 7 47 32 15
6. SSC Napoli 36 25 10 6 9 39 35 4
7. AC Milan 36 25 10 6 9 27 32 -5
8. Hellas Verona 35 24 9 8 7 28 24 4
9. Parma FC 35 24 10 5 9 32 30 2
10. Bologna FC 34 25 9 7 9 38 40 -2
11. Cagliari Calcio 32 24 8 8 8 38 36 2
12. Fiorentina 29 25 7 8 10 32 36 -4
13. Sassuolo Calcio 29 24 8 5 11 38 39 -1
14. Udinese Calcio 27 25 7 6 12 21 37 -16
15. Torino FC 27 24 8 3 13 27 43 -16
16. US Lecce 25 25 6 7 12 32 49 -17
17. Sampdoria 23 24 6 5 13 26 43 -17
18. Genoa 22 25 5 7 13 29 46 -17
19. Brescia Calcio 16 25 4 4 17 22 46 -24
20. SPAL 1907 15 25 4 3 18 19 44 -25

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