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Wigan Athletic can grab narrow win over Millwall in low-scoring affair

Wigan Athletic can grab narrow win over Millwall in low-scoring affair
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A few weeks ago, this final day of the season fixture in the Championship looked like being a straight shoot-out to avoid the drop in what was being billed as a real relegation ‘six-pointer’.

Both Wigan Athletic and Millwall have picked up useful points in their respective season run-ins, while the bottom three clubs continued to lose.

Wigan head into the final day of the season having lost just 1 of their last 8 matches overall in the second tier which was a 2-1 defeat away at Hull City. Wigan's recent wins are against Bolton Wanderers, Leeds United and Preston North End along with points picked up in draws with Brentford, Bristol City, Norwich City and Birmingham City have contributed towards Wigan’s escape from the trap-door.

Indeed, Paul Cook’s side have recorded some decent results in these past few weeks and have shown their resilience when seemingly staring relegation in the face earlier in the season.

Wigan have been particularly hard to beat at their DW Stadium as The Latics are unbeaten in their last nine matches on home turf, mixing Cook’s attacking style with a solid defensive unit which has also kept 5 clean sheets during this impressive nine-match sequence.

Millwall’s Championship survival wasn’t so convincing as The Lions needed a favour from Rotherham United’s poor losing streak to secure their Championship status for another season.

The visitors have failed to win any of their last six matches, a run that includes defeats to Aston Villa and Bristol City, but four draws with QPR, Sheffield United, Brentford and Stoke City proved to be just enough for Neil Harris’s side to avoid the trap-door down to League One.

Nevertheless, just 3 away wins all season on their travels is an indication of where Millwall have gone wrong this term as they’ve lost 14 matches, with only Wigan Athletic and Ipswich Town (16) losing more than the London club in the Championship so far.

However, there has been some improvement at the back for Millwall as Neil Harris’s side have tightened up their defence, and 13 of their 22 away matches to date have resulted in under 2.5 goals.

Half of Wigan’s 22 home matches have also resulted in under 2.5 goals as The Latics have also tightened up in recent weeks, as the hosts have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 9 at home.

Wigan might just edge this one, but it looks like being a low-scoring encounter.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
CH
374222
X
1 - 1
1.80
9°-10°
3.57
2.13 3.57 3.45 1 1 1
FT
1 - 0(1 - 0)
-
- - -
Championship Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Leicester City 94 44 30 4 10 47
2
Leeds United 90 44 27 9 8 43
3
Ipswich Town 89 43 26 11 6 32
4
Southampton 84 44 25 9 10 24
5
West Bromwich 72 44 20 12 12 23
6
Norwich City 72 44 21 9 14 16
7
Hull City 69 44 19 12 13 9
8
Coventry City 63 43 17 12 14 13
9
Middlesbrough 63 44 18 9 17 4
10
Preston North End 63 44 18 9 17 -5
11
Cardiff City 62 44 19 5 20 -11
12
Bristol City 59 44 16 11 17 4
13
Sunderland 56 44 16 8 20 1
14
Swansea City 56 44 15 11 18 -5
15
Watford 53 44 12 17 15 1
16
Millwall 53 44 14 11 19 -12
17
Stoke City 50 44 13 11 20 -16
18
QPR 50 44 13 11 20 -16
19
Blackburn Rovers 49 44 13 10 21 -16
20
Plymouth Argyle 48 44 12 12 20 -11
21
Sheffield Wednesday 47 44 13 8 23 -29
22
Birmingham City 46 44 12 10 22 -16
23
Huddersfield 44 44 9 17 18 -27
24
Rotherham 24 44 4 12 28 -53

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