Can Bochum end their winless streak and get out of the Bundesliga relegation zone?
Bochum vs Hoffenheim - 26/04/2024
Vitalii Vitleo / Shutterstock.com
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Bochum failed to win their last six Bundesliga matches. They are currently stuck in 16th place, the relegation-playoff spot.
Will our algorithm predict a Bochum win over Hoffenheim on Friday night to move out of the bottom three?
Hoffenheim will visit Bochum fresh off a home 4-3 win over Borussia Monchengladbach. The Hoff have won two of their last three Bundesliga matches.
They are ninth in the standings and can mathematically seal safety with a win or draw against Bochum.
The trend between these teams is one of home victories. The home side won the last three meetings between Bochum and Hoffenheim, with over 3.5 goals tallied in each of those three matches.
The reverse fixture played in December saw Hoffenheim claim a 3-1 home victory. Bochum’s Erhan Masovic scored an own goal in the 32nd minute to give Bochum the lead.
Andrej Kramaric added a second two minutes before the break. The Blues added a third in the 76th minute through Ihlas Bebou. With the game out of sight, Bochum scored a consolation goal thanks to Goncalo Paciencia.
Hoffenheim are one of the Bundesliga’s top-scoring teams. They have tallied 53 goals this season. However, the Blues have also conceded 60 times. It is the second-worst defensive record in the division.
A porous defence has kept the free-scoring Blues from being in a European place. A win over Bochum would push the Hoff up to seventh place for at least a few hours. They still have a chance to qualify for Europe for next season.
A win for Bochum would propel them to 14th place until at least Saturday afternoon. It would put Mainz back in the bottom three. Currently, six teams have a realistic chance of finishing 16th or 17th in the standings.
Bochum have the league’s fifth-worst attack with 34 goals scored. They were held scoreless in two of the last five matches.
Like Hoffenheim, Bochum have one of the Bundesliga’s worst defences. VFL have also conceded 60 times this season and have the joint-second worst defence alongside Friday night’s opponents.
Max Beier leads Hoffenheim in goal scoring this season with 13 goals. Kramaric has added nine goals.
Takuma Asano leads Bochum in goal scoring statistics with six goals. Meanwhile, Kevin Stoger has five goals and nine assists.
Although Hoffenheim are in better form currently, our algorithm predicts a Bochum home win on Friday night. The trend of home team wins will continue when these sides meet, as Bochum claim victory by a score of 3-1.
Home team
Away team
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
De1
392338
1
3 - 1
3.64
12°
2.25
2.25
3.60
3.00
no
no
no
3 - 2(2 - 0)
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