High Probability of a Close Game in Crucial Derby du Nord
Lille vs Lens - 29/03/2024
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We have several derbies to enjoy during the Ligue 1 season and now we can make our predictions for the Derby du Nord.
The game between Lille and Lens will take place on the 29th of March at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. The hosts begin the weekend in 4th place on 43 points while the visitors are in 6th place on 42 points, so there is a lot to play for in this match.
Lille come into the game having picked up a point thanks to a 1-1 draw at Brest prior to the international break.
It was a decent point for Lille against the team currently in 2nd place and they took the lead in the 67th minute. Brest equalised 12 minutes later and the match ended level.
The draw at Brest means Lille are undefeated in their 5 most recent fixtures in all competitions. There have been wins over Reims away in Ligue 1 and at Sturm Graz in the Europa Conference League.
The stats show Lille are unbeaten in 25 of their last 30 Ligue 1 games. They are undefeated in each of their last 9 home Ligue 1 matches but Lille have failed to win any of their last 3 fixtures in all competitions, with all 3 games ending level.
There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Lille’s 3 most recent clashes with Lens in Ligue 1.
Lens make the trip to the Stade Pierre-Mauroy on the back of a 3-1 defeat at home to Nice in Ligue 1.
It took only 11 minutes for Nice to open the scoring and they led 1-0 at the interval. Into the second half and Nice extended their advantage with goals in the 53rd and 67th minutes. Lens pulled once back in the 76th minute but it was just a consolation goal.
The defeat against Nice means Lens have won only 2 of their last 7 fixtures in all competitions.
The victories came over Lyon away and Brest at home in Ligue 1, which highlights how good they can be on their day.
However, there have been defeats against Monaco at home in Ligue and Freiburg away in the Europa League.
Trends show Lens are not easy to beat on the road and they have not lost in 9 of their last 10 away games in Ligue 1.
Lens have seen under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of their 6 most recent away league matches.
Team news: Lille are without the injured quartet of Tiago Morais, Rafael Fernandes, Andrej Ilic, and Samuel Umtiti.
Lens travel without suspended midfielder Abdukodir Khusanov. Deiver Machado and Jimmy Cabot are both injured.
Recent results between these teams and Lens away form suggests this is going to be a close game. There is not much to choose between them in the league table and that might apply to the pitch. We expect to see under 2.5 goals and for this match to end level.
Home team
Away team
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
Fr1
383924
X
1 - 1
2.30
12°
3.40
2.05
3.40
3.60
no
no
no
2 - 1(1 - 0)
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