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Can Leeds Secure 13th Victory in 14 Championship Games at Expense of Watford?

Watford vs Leeds United - 29/03/2024

Can Leeds Secure 13th Victory in 14 Championship Games at Expense of Watford?
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Following the international break, the Championship leaders return to action with an away fixture at Vicarage Road on Friday evening.

Sitting level with Leicester City on 82 points, Leeds United travel south to face Watford, who find themselves 13th in the table – 34 points behind the frontrunners.

In this preview, we go over all the key stats and trends while carrying out analysis of both sides. Continue reading to discover what Forebet’s AI algorithm predicts.

Let’s start with the hosts, Watford, who ended a four-game winless run before the international break, defeating Birmingham City 1-0.

The Hornets suffered three defeats in four matches before returning to winning ways, meaning they have lost six of their last nine Championship matches.

To make matters worse for Watford, they have managed to win just two of their previous 11 league encounters, recording three draws and six losses along the way.

It is also worth noting that Watford have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 12 home games across all competitions, highlighting their defensive weaknesses.

Meanwhile, Leeds claimed a comfortable 2-0 victory over Millwall last time out, racking up 62% possession and 17 shots in the process.

The Whites have now won each of their last three Championship matches, with 12 victories coming in their previous 13 league outings.

Thanks to a run of eight clean sheets in 10 games, Leeds boast the best defensive record in the division, having conceded just 28 goals in 38 games this season.

At the opposite end of the pitch, Daniel Farke’s men have scored 70 goals, meaning only three teams have netted more goals than Leeds in 2023-24.

Head-to-head: Leeds have won each of their last three meetings with Watford across all competitions, keeping a clean sheet on every occasion.

In the Championship, however, the Hornets have won three of their previous four matches against the Whites, scoring over 2.5 goals in each of those victories.

Team news: Watford are currently without DR Congo defender Jeremy Ngakia, who has missed the past few games with a knee injury.

On the flip side, Leeds’ injury list contains Pascal Struijk and Stuart Dallas, while Jamie Shackelton is a doubt for Friday’s clash due to illness.

When you couple Watford’s recent poor form with Leeds’ lengthy unbeaten streak, all the signs point towards an away victory here.

Forebet predicts that both teams will find the back of the net on Friday. However, the visitors are expected to outscore the hosts.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
CH
192853
2
1 - 2
2.68
11°
1.60
5.50 4.00 1.60 no no no
FT
2 - 2(2 - 1)
-
- - -
Championship Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Leicester City 94 44 30 4 10 47
2
Leeds United 90 45 27 9 9 39
3
Ipswich Town 89 43 26 11 6 32
4
Southampton 84 44 25 9 10 24
5
West Bromwich 72 44 20 12 12 23
6
Norwich City 72 44 21 9 14 16
7
Hull City 69 44 19 12 13 9
8
Coventry City 63 43 17 12 14 13
9
Middlesbrough 63 44 18 9 17 4
10
Preston North End 63 44 18 9 17 -5
11
Cardiff City 62 44 19 5 20 -11
12
Bristol City 59 44 16 11 17 4
13
Sunderland 56 44 16 8 20 1
14
Swansea City 56 44 15 11 18 -5
15
Watford 53 44 12 17 15 1
16
QPR 53 45 14 11 20 -12
17
Millwall 53 44 14 11 19 -12
18
Stoke City 50 44 13 11 20 -16
19
Blackburn Rovers 49 44 13 10 21 -16
20
Plymouth Argyle 48 44 12 12 20 -11
21
Sheffield Wednesday 47 44 13 8 23 -29
22
Birmingham City 46 44 12 10 22 -16
23
Huddersfield 44 44 9 17 18 -27
24
Rotherham 24 44 4 12 28 -53

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