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We Assess the Probability of a Comeback as Villarreal Meet Marseille in Second Leg

Villarreal vs Olympique Marseille - 14/03/2024

We Assess the Probability of a Comeback as Villarreal Meet Marseille in Second Leg
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One of the beauties of European football is the two leg format and we predict if that will benefit the hosts in this second leg.

The game between Villarreal and Marseille will be played on the 14th of March at the Estadio de la Cerámica.

The hosts are currently 11th in La Liga on 35 points while the visitors are 7th in Ligue 1 on 39 points.

Villarreal come into the match on the back of a good 3-2 win at Real Betis in La Liga on the weekend.

Having conceded the opening goal in the 30th minute, Villarreal equalised 10 minutes later only to fall behind again on the stroke of half time.

However, Villarreal responded superbly in the second half and equalised early before netting the winner in the 67th minute.

The victory over Real Betis means Villarreal are undefeated in 8 of their 9 most recent fixtures in all competitions.

They have won 3 of their last 4 matches, with the additional wins coming over Real Sociedad away and Granada at home in La Liga.

However, Villarreal suffered a heavy 4-0 loss in the first leg of this Europa League tie in Marseille.

The stats show Villarreal are undefeated in 5 of their last 6 Europa League games.

They are undefeated in each of their last 11 Europa League encounters on home soil and have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 6 home Europa League matches.

Marseille travel to the Estadio de la Cerámica having beat Nantes 2-0 at home in Ligue 1 on the weekend.

Marseille opened the scoring in the 17th minute and the score stayed at 1-0 until Marseille got their second goal in the 79th minute.

The win at Nantes means Marseille have won each of their last 5 fixtures in all competitions.

There have been wins over Montpellier at home and Clermont away in Ligue 1 plus Shakhtar Donetsk and Villarreal at home in the Europa League.

Trends show Marseille are undefeated in 8 of their last 9 Europa League matches.

They are undefeated in 3 of their last 4 away Europa League games but have won only 1 of their 12 most recent away trips in the competition.

Both teams have scored in 3 of Marseille’s last 5 away Europa League matches.

Team news: Villarreal are without suspended defender Alberto Moreno. Raul Albiol, Alfonso Pedraza, Ramón Terrats, Juan Foyth, and Denis Suarez are all in treatment room.

Marseille make the trip without the injured quartet of Samuel Gigot, Amir Murillo, Bilal Nadir, and Valentin Rongier.

Marseille hold a huge advantage from the first leg and Villarreal will need to attack from the first whistle, meaning we should see an open game.

They will be chances at both ends of the pitch and this match could end level, with both teams scoring.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
UEL
303832
X
2 - 2
2.61
17°
4.00
2.20 4.00 2.90 no no no
FT
3 - 1(1 - 0)
-
- - -
Europa League Group A
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
West Ham 15 6 5 0 1 6
2
Freiburg 12 6 4 0 2 10
3
Olympiacos FC 7 6 2 1 3 -3
4
Backa Topola 1 6 0 1 5 -13
Europa League Group B
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Brighton 13 6 4 1 1 5
2
Olympique Marseille 11 6 3 2 1 4
3
Ajax 5 6 1 2 3 -3
4
AEK Athens 4 6 1 1 4 -6
Europa League Group C
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Rangers 11 6 3 2 1 2
2
Sparta Praha 10 6 3 1 2 2
3
Real Betis 9 6 3 0 3 2
4
Aris Limassol 4 6 1 1 4 -6
Europa League Group D
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Atalanta 14 6 4 2 0 8
2
Sporting CP 11 6 3 2 1 4
3
Sturm Graz 4 6 1 1 4 -5
4
Rakow Czestochowa 4 6 1 1 4 -7
Europa League Group E
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Liverpool 12 6 4 0 2 10
2
Toulouse 11 6 3 2 1 -1
3
Union Saint-Gilloise 8 6 2 2 2 -3
4
LASK Linz 3 6 1 0 5 -6
Europa League Group F
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Villarreal 13 6 4 1 1 2
2
Rennes 12 6 4 0 2 7
3
Maccabi Haifa 5 6 1 2 3 -6
4
Panathinaikos 4 6 1 1 4 -3
Europa League Group G
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Slavia Praha 15 6 5 0 1 13
2
Roma 13 6 4 1 1 8
3
Servette FC 5 6 1 2 3 -9
4
Sheriff Tiraspol 1 6 0 1 5 -12
Europa League Group H
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Bayer Leverkusen 18 6 6 0 0 16
2
Qarabag FK 10 6 3 1 2 -2
3
Molde FK 7 6 2 1 3 0
4
BK Häcken 0 6 0 0 6 -14

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