Inter Milan carry a 1-0 lead into the second leg of their UEFA Champions League last-16 showdown with Atletico Madrid in the Spanish capital on Wednesday night.
The Italian side dominated the first leg three weeks ago, racking up 57% possession and 19 shots, while Atletico failed to register a single attempt on target.
Marko Arnautovic’s 79th-minute strike remains the difference between the two sides ahead of the second leg. Read on to find out what Forebet’s predictive analytics model expects.
Let’s start by looking at the hosts, Atletico Madrid, who suffered a shock 2-0 defeat to Cadiz on Saturday, leaving them fourth in the La Liga standings.
Diego Simeone’s side have now lost two of their last three matches across all competitions, with five defeats coming in their previous eight outings.
It is worth remembering, however, that Atletico enjoyed an unbeaten group-stage campaign in the Champions League, picking up four wins and two draws.
Trends also show that Simeone’s men have scored 17 goals in the Champions League this season, meaning they average 2.4 goals per game.
Meanwhile, Inter Milan claimed a 1-0 victory over Bologna on Saturday, despite the hosts racking up 60% possession and 19 shots during that game.
The Nerazzurri have now won each of their last 13 matches across all competitions, keeping a whopping nine clean sheets along the way.
When you look at the bigger picture, Inter have suffered a solitary defeat in their previous 31 games, taking control of the Serie A title race in the process.
In the Champions League, unbeaten Inter have claimed four wins and three draws so far, keeping a clean sheet in three of their last four encounters.
Head-to-head: The only previous competitive meeting prior to the first leg came in 2010, with Atletico defeating Inter 2-0 in the UEFA Super Cup.
The H2H stats have Atletico and Inter tied at 1-1 in terms of competitive wins, with both sides keeping a clean sheet on their way to victory.
Team news: Atletico Madrid’s lengthy injury list features Antoine Griezmann, Thomas Lemar, Jose Maria Gimenez, Cesar Azpilicueta, Pablo Barrios and Vitolo.
As for Inter, they will be without injured duo Marko Arnautovic and Carlos Augusto for the second leg, while Juan Cuadrado and Stefano Sensi remain inactive in the UCL.
Given that Inter have won each of their previous 13 games across all competitions, Atletico will struggle to turn the tide on Wednesday.
Forebet’s algorithm predicts that Inter Milan will secure a low-scoring victory over Atletico Madrid, keeping a clean sheet for good measure.
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