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Will AC Milan Extend Their Unbeaten Streak to Nine Serie A Matches When Napoli Visit?

AC Milan vs SSC Napoli - 11/02/2024

09/02/24
Will AC Milan Extend Their Unbeaten Streak to Nine Serie A Matches When Napoli Visit?
Fabrizio Andrea Bertani / Shutterstock.com
2420

Across the past 10 games, only table-topping Inter Milan have picked up more points than Stefano Pioli’s side in Serie A.

On Sunday, AC Milan will put their eight-match unbeaten run on the line when they welcome Napoli to the San Siro, with 14 points separating the two sides in the table.

Can the Rossoneri extend their hot streak? Or will last season’s champions spoil the party in Milan? Keep reading to discover what our AI predictive analytics model expects.

AC Milan head into Sunday’s showdown on the back of a 3-2 victory over Frosinone, coming from 2-1 down thanks to late goals from Matteo Gabbia and Luka Jovic.

Pioli’s men have now won five of their last six Serie A matches, scoring 15 goals (2.5 goals per game), although they have conceded twice goals in each of their previous three outings.

The Rossoneri have been especially strong at the San Siro this season, winning eight of their 11 home league games while scoring 20 goals (1.8 goals per game).

Trends also show that Milan have avoided defeat at half time in each of their previous 20 home matches in Serie A, highlighting their ability to start strongly.

Meanwhile, Napoli claimed a 2-1 victory over Hellas Verona last weekend, courtesy of an 87th-minute winner from Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.

That win saw the defending champions extend their unbeaten streak to three Serie A matches, with a victory over Salernitana and a draw with Lazio preceding last weekend’s triumph.

Still, Napoli have failed to win any of their previous four away league outings, suffering three successive defeats before holding Lazio to a goalless draw.

Statistics also show that Napoli have failed to score a single goal in their last four away games in Serie A, pointing towards a lack of potency in attack.

Head-to-head: AC Milan and Napoli have drawn their last two meetings, with a 1-1 stalemate in last season’s Champions League preceding a 2-2 draw back in October.

As a result, Napoli have only managed to win one of their previous six matches against Milan across all competitions, failing to score on three occasions.

Team news: Both sides are missing a key striker due to the Africa Cup of Nations, with Milan’s Samuel Chukwueze and Napoli’s Victor Osimhen set to represent Nigeria in Sunday’s final.

In terms of injuries, Fikayo Tomori, Malick Thiaw, Tommaso Pobega and Pierre Kalulu are absent for the hosts, while Alex Meret, Mathias Olivera and Piotr Zielinski are missing for the hosts.

While all the focus is on Milan’s unbeaten streak, it is worth remembering that Napoli are enjoying a positive run of their own at the moment.

With that in mind, Forebet predicts that Milan and Napoli will serve up a high-scoring draw on Sunday, both netting over 1.5 goals.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
It1
343630
X
2 - 2
2.64
10°
3.50
1.91 3.50 4.00 no no no
FT
1 - 0(1 - 0)
-
- - -
Serie A Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Inter Milano 63 24 20 3 1 47
2
Juventus FC 54 25 16 6 3 21
3
AC Milan 52 25 16 4 5 18
4
Bologna FC 45 25 12 9 4 14
5
Atalanta 45 24 14 3 7 24
6
AS Roma 41 25 12 5 8 15
7
Lazio 40 25 12 4 9 5
8
Fiorentina 38 25 11 5 9 8
9
Torino FC 36 25 9 9 7 1
10
SSC Napoli 36 24 10 6 8 5
11
Monza 33 25 8 9 8 -5
12
Genoa 30 25 7 9 9 -5
13
US Lecce 24 25 5 9 11 -15
14
Udinese Calcio 23 25 3 14 8 -13
15
Frosinone 23 25 6 5 14 -20
16
Empoli FC 22 25 5 7 13 -19
17
Sassuolo Calcio 20 24 5 5 14 -16
18
Hellas Verona 20 25 4 8 13 -11
19
Cagliari Calcio 19 25 4 7 14 -23
20
Salernitana 13 25 2 7 16 -31

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