Can Cottagers overturn first-leg deficit against nine-time champions

Fulham vs Liverpool - 24/01/2024

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Liverpool hold a 2-1 advantage over Fulham ahead of their second-leg showdown in the EFL Cup semi-finals on Wednesday night.

Willian gave the Cottagers a first-half lead in the previous meeting, but second-half goals from Curtis Jones and Cody Gakpo turned the tide at Anfield.

Can Marco Silva’s men turn things around at Craven Cottage? Or will the nine-time EFL Cup champions reach the final once again? Keep reading to find out what the Forebet algorithm predicts.

After losing the first leg, Fulham suffered a 1-0 defeat to neighbours Chelsea last weekend, despite racking up 14 shots at Stamford Bridge.

The Cottagers now find themselves 13th in the Premier League table – 24 points behind leaders Liverpool and eight points clear of the relegation zone.

Trends show that Fulham have struggled of late, as Silva’s men have lost four of their last six matches across all competitions, scoring a solitary goal during those defeats.

Statistics also show that Fulham have lost eight of their previous 14 games across all competitions, with their last draw coming all the way back in October.

As for Liverpool, they head into Tuesday’s clash on the back of a 4-0 thrashing of Bournemouth, courtesy of braces from Darwin Nunez and Diogo Jota.

Thanks to Sunday’s triumph, the Reds find themselves five points clear of second-placed Manchester City, although the defending champions have a game in hand.

Not only have Klopp’s men won each of their last five games across all competitions, but they have also won 11 of their previous 15, suffering a solitary defeat along the way.

EFL Cup analysis shows that Liverpool have scored 12 goals in four outings this season (3 goals per game), putting them in pole position to reach the final.

Head-to-head: Liverpool have won each of their last three meetings with Fulham, scoring seven goals in the process (2.3 goals per game).

Unfortunately for the Cottagers, the H2H stats are not in their favour, as they have won just one of their previous 12 matches against the Reds across all competitions.

Team news: Fulham trio Alex Iwobi, Calvin Bassey and Fode Ballo-Toure are at the Africa Cup of Nations, while Adama Traore is sidelined with a hamstring strain.

Liverpool’s injury list contains Mohamed Salah, Joel Matip, Thiago Alcantara, Kostas Tsimikas, Andrew Robertson and Trent Alexander-Arnold, while Wataru Endo is at the Asian Cup.

When you consider the 24-point gulf between these two sides in the Premier League table, it is difficult to make a case for the Cottagers.

Forebet’s predictive analytics point towards a comfortable win for Liverpool, who look set to score over 2.5 goals while keeping a clean sheet.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

EFL

Fulham Liverpool 24/01/2024 21:00

222553

2

0 - 3

2.68

10°

1.75

4.33 4.00 1.75 no no no

FT

1 - 1(0 - 1)

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