Bottom Meet Top as England Host Italy in Nations League

England vs Italy - 11/06/2022

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We may not have a World Cup to enjoy this summer but there is plenty of international football, including the 2022/23 Nations League.

On Saturday the 11th of June we have meeting between England and Italy at Wembley Stadium in Nations League A, Group 3. This match is a repeat of the 2020 European Championship final.

England come into the game sitting bottom of the group having claimed only 1 point from their 2 matches. They started the campaign with a disappointing 1-0 defeat at Hungary, with the only goal coming from the penalty spot.

England then travelled to Germany and fell a goal behind early in the second half. Harry Kane scored the equaliser from the penalty spot in the 88th minute to snatch a point for England.

The defeat against Hungary is the only loss for England in their 11 most recent fixtures in all competitions. Their home form is excellent and England are undefeated in their last 15 home matches, not including the 2020 European Championship final.

Trends show England have won 3 of their 5 home Nations League games, tasting 2 defeats. The wins have come over Croatia, Belgium, and Iceland with the defeats at the hands of Spain and Denmark.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of England’s 5 home Nations League games and they have kept just a single clean sheet in those 5 matches.

Italy make the trip to London on the back of a 2-1 home win over Hungary in the Nations League. I

taly took the lead in the 30th minute and doubled their advantage just before half-time. Hungary pulled a goal back in the second half but despite having 30 minutes to score the equaliser, they failed to make the breakthrough.

That was the first win for Italy in the 2022/23 Nations League following the 1-1 draw at home against Germany. Italy opened the scoring in the 70th minute but were in the lead for a short amount of time as Germany scored the equaliser just 3 minutes later.

Trends show Italy have won only 2 of their last 7 fixtures in all competitions. The most damaging defeat came in the World Cup playoff semi-final against North Macedonia which means Italy will not be in Qatar.

In terms of the Nations League, Italy are undefeated in their last 4 away games, beating Poland, Netherlands, and Bosnia, seeing under 2.5 goals in all 5 of their away matches.

Team news and England will be without Kalvin Phillips who is injured. Jude Bellingham, Jack Grealish, Jarrod Bowen, Trent Alexander-Arnold, and Tammy Abraham could all start.

Italy could bring Manuel Locatelli, Federico Dimarco, Andrea Belotti, Sandro Tonali, and Leonardo Bonucci into their starting XI.

England have made an unconvincing start to the Nations League and Italy will be looking to take advantage. We expect to see under 2.5 goals in this game, with Italy soaking up England pressure and scoring the only goal of the game to win 1-0.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

UNL

England Italy 11/06/2022 20:45

212653

2

0 - 1

1.74

4.50

1.80 3.50 4.50 no no no

FT

0 - 0(0 - 0)

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