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Before the round - trends on Italy Serie A (05-06/02/2022)

Before the round - trends on Italy Serie A (05-06/02/2022)
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Internazional lead Serie A by four points over city rival AC Milan heading into the weekend. Down the table, there is a lot to play for as four teams are fighting for the final Champions League qualification place. Meanwhile, the relegation race could see a twist this weekend.

 

AS Roma – Genoa

Jose Mourinho’s Roma are on a two-match winning streak heading into the round. The Giallorossi are sixth in the division and aiming for a win to move closer to fifth-place Juventus. Genoa are stuck in the relegation zone and five points off of safety.

Roma picked up 10 points from the last 18 points on offer in Serie A. Mourinho’s team scored 14 goals, but conceded 11 to their last six opponents. Roma have conceded 30 times in 23 Serie A games this season.

Genoa are on their third coach of the campaign. Their last match ended nil-nil against Udinese. It was Genoa’s 10th draw this season and they have still won a mere one game. The Grifone took just three points from their last 18 points available.

  • AS Roma are unbeaten in 26 of their last 31 home matches in Serie A.
  • Genoa have won just 1 of their last 23 league games.
  • AS Roma are undefeated against Genoa in 19 of their last 20 league games.
  • Genoa are conceding an average of 2.25 goals in away Serie A matches.
  • Prediction: AS Roma @ 1.36

 

Fiorentina – Lazio

Fiorentina and Lazio are seventh and eighth respectively in the Serie A standings. The rivals are on 36 points and seeking European qualification. Six points separate the two clubs from the top five in Serie A. The home team has won the last four games between Fiorentina and Lazio.

The Viola picked up nine points from the last 18 points available. They were +6 in goals across those six matches. Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last two Serie A fixtures. The Viola sold Dusan Vlahovic to Juventus in January and must now find goals from elsewhere.

Lazio collected 11 points from the last 18 points available. Maurizio Sarri’s team is improving slowly. The Biancocelsti are unbeaten in two straight Serie A games. Lazio have not won in Florence since 2019-20. However, Lazio have won four of their last five games against Fiorentina.

  • Fiorentina's most recent record of 7 consecutive home games in Serie A consists of no losses.
  • In Lazio's 9 most recent away Serie A matches, there have been over 2.5 goals scored.
  • There have been over 2.5 goals in Fiorentina's last 10 home Serie A games.
  • On average, Lazio have allowed 1.70 goals in their most recent games in Serie A.
  • Prediction: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.73

 

Bologna FC – Empoli FC

Another midtable fixture this weekend sees Bologna welcome Empoli to the Stadio Renato Dell'Ara. The Rossoblu are on a terrible run of Serie A form going into the match. Each of Bologna’s last three games ended in defeat. Empoli are not winning games and haven’t won in Serie A since December 12.

The home team is unbeaten in six straight games between these rivals. The statistic will give Bologna coach Sinisa Mihajlovic hope that the team can end their losing run. Still, Bologna have lost three straight matches at home. They have posted a zero-goal difference in Bologna.

Empoli have the fifth-best away points total in Serie A. The Azzurri have taken 19 points from 33 points possible on their travels. Empoli’s last five games on the road all ended without a defeat. The Azzurri claimed a 4-2 win against Bologna away earlier this season.

  • Bologna FC have a poor record of 3 consecutive losses in Serie A.
  • In Empoli FC's 6 latest matches from Serie A, both teams scored.
  • Bologna FC have won just 1 of their last 7 league games.
  • Empoli FC have drawn their last 3 away Serie A games in a row.
  • Prediction: Draw @ 3.75

 

Atalanta Bergamo – Cagliari Calcio

Atalanta are just one point ahead of fifth-place Juventus in the race for Champions League qualification. La Dea are unbeaten in four straight games ahead of the weekend visit from Cagliari. The Islanders are 18th and set for relegation unless they end a two-match winless streak.

Gian Piero Gasperini’s team is now 10 points off of Internazionale. Atalanta’s title fight is over, but they are still battling for a top-four finish. Atalanta are unbeaten in three straight games. Their last two fixtures in Serie A finished as draws.

Cagliari’s form improved in recent weeks with seven points from the last 18 points available. The Islanders are winless in back-to-back games, however. Walter Mazzarri’s team has lost five straight games to Atalanta, including earlier this season, 2-1.

  • There are no losses for Atalanta Bergamo in 45 of their most recent 51 games (Serie A).
  • Cagliari Calcio have suffered 4 defeats at half time in their most recent away matches in Serie A.
  • Atalanta Bergamo haven't lost a match in 14 of their last 15 matches in Serie A.
  • Cagliari Calcio have won only 4 of their last 27 away Serie A matches.
  • Atalanta Bergamo are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 home Serie A games.
  • Prediction: Atalanta Bergamo @ 1.25

 

Serie A Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Inter 89 34 28 5 1 63
2
Milan 70 34 21 7 6 25
3
Juventus 65 34 18 11 5 21
4
Bologna 63 34 17 12 5 22
5
Roma 59 34 17 8 9 20
6
Atalanta 57 33 17 6 10 24
7
Lazio 55 34 17 4 13 8
8
Fiorentina 50 33 14 8 11 13
9
Napoli 50 34 13 11 10 9
10
Torino 46 34 11 13 10 0
11
Monza 44 34 11 11 12 -8
12
Genoa 42 34 10 12 12 -2
13
Lecce 36 34 8 12 14 -18
14
Cagliari 32 34 7 11 16 -23
15
Frosinone 31 34 7 10 17 -20
16
Hellas Verona 31 34 7 10 17 -14
17
Empoli 31 34 8 7 19 -24
18
Udinese 29 34 4 17 13 -19
19
Sassuolo 26 34 6 8 20 -30
20
Salernitana 15 34 2 9 23 -47

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