Everton aiming for first Premier League win since December 16

Everton vs Burnley - 06/04/2024

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Everton are four points ahead of 18th-place Luton Town in the race for Premier League survival. The Toffees have not won a league game since December 16 and are winless in 13 straight fixtures.

Will our AI algorithm predict an Everton win over Burnley in round No. 32?

Burnley are clinging onto hope of rescuing their season. Six points separate the Clarets from 17th-place Nottingham Forest. However, had Forest not been deducted four points due to PSR, the gap would be greater.

Vincent Kompany’s team has had a rude awakening to Premier League life. The manager has not compromised his style of play, setting out the squad in similar tactics to the ones that helped them win the Championship last term.

The attacking tactics have led Burnley to concede the league’s second-most goals (66). The Clarets also have the league’s third-worst attack, scoring 32 goals.

Only Sheffield United and Everton, Burnley’s round No. 32 opponent, have scored fewer goals this season. The Toffees’ poor attack has scored just 31 times.

Sean Dyche’s defence is the only thing keeping Everton going right now. Everton have the fifth-best defence, conceding just 42 times.

The tactics employed by Dyche aren’t great. It is a system that relies on defence to stop the other teams and the attack to nick a goal – which hasn’t happened too often this season.

Everton took three points from their last six matches, picking up all three points from draws. They were outscored 10-5 across those six games.

Burnley obtained six points from their last six games. They are unbeaten in their last four games, with one win and three draws. The Clarets were outscored by their last six opponents 11-7.

Everton defeated Burnley twice already this season in the league and Carabao Cup. The Toffees won the cup tie at Goodison Park 3-0 in November. Just over a month later, Everton went to Turf Moor and left with a 2-0 victory.

Abdoulaye Doucoure leads Everton in goals with six. Dyche’s forwards have been more mis-hit than hit this season, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin scoring just four times.

Burnley are currently led by four different players in goals: Zeki Amdouni, Lyle Foster, Jacob Bruun Larsen, and David Daro Fofana all have four goals apiece.

Thirteen of Everton’s 26 points this season have come at home. Meanwhile, 10 of Burnley’s 15 have come on the road. Which team will take the spoils in this one? Both clubs desperately need points.

Squadra Casa - Ospite

Probabilità in %

1X2

Pron

Pronostico ris.

Somma gol

Tempo

Coeff.

Risultato

Coeff. vivo

EPL

EvertonBurnley 06/04/2024 16:00

363826

X

1 - 1

2.30

15°

4.00

1.70 4.00 5.00 no no no

FT

1 - 0(1 - 0)

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- - -