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Can Aston Villa Repeat December’s Heroics and Close the Gap Man City?

Manchester City vs Aston Villa - 03/04/2024

Can Aston Villa Repeat December’s Heroics and Close the Gap Man City?
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Less than four months ago, Unai Emery’s side claimed a hugely impressive 1-0 victory over the reigning Premier League champions.

On Wednesday evening, Aston Villa will aim to emulate that performance when they take on Manchester City at the Etihad Stadium.

As it stands, third-placed Man City lead fourth-placed Villa by five points. Keep reading to discover all the key stats, trends, analysis and predictions for Wednesday’s showdown.

Manchester City played out a goalless draw with title rivals Arsenal on Sunday, despite racking up 73% possession and 12 shots on home soil.

Consequently, Pep Guardiola’s side find themselves one point behind the Gunners and three points shy of Liverpool as the race for the title intensifies.

It is worth remembering, however, that Man City have avoided defeat in each of their last 23 matches across all competitions, losing just one of their previous 33.

Better still, Guardiola’s men remain unbeaten at the Etihad this season, having picked up 10 wins and five draws in 15 Premier League home games.

Aston Villa, meanwhile, secured a 2-0 victory over Wolverhampton Wanderers, with Moussa Diaby and Ezri Konsa scoring the goals in the West Midlands derby.

That result extended Villa’s unbeaten run to three games, with a solitary defeat coming in their previous eight encounters across all competitions.

It is also worth noting that Emery’s men have avoided defeat in each of their last five away league outings, securing three wins and two draws in the process.

Having lost just one of their previous nine away games in the Premier League, the Villains will fancy their chances of upsetting the odds at the Etihad.

Head-to-head: Although Aston Villa won the reverse fixture, Manchester City have won 11 of the previous 14 Premier League meetings between the teams.

Given that nine of the last 14 league encounters have produced over 2.5 goals, Wednesday’s clash will likely be a high-scoring affair.

Team news: The hosts are still without defender Kyle Walker due to injury, although goalkeeper Ederson could return between the sticks in midweek.

On the other hand, Villa’s injury list contains Boubacar Kamara, Emi Buendia, Tyrone Mings and Matty Cash, while Ollie Watkins and Jacob Ramsey are doubts.

It’s fair to say that Aston Villa dominated the reverse fixture, but Emery’s men will struggle to replicate that performance at the Etihad.

Forebet’s AI algorithm predicts that both teams will find the back of the net on Wednesday, with the hosts outscoring the visitors on this occasion.

Squadra Casa - Ospite
Probabilità in %
1X2
Pron
Pronostico ris.
Somma gol
Tempo
Coeff.
Risultato
Coeff. vivo
EPL
393427
1
2 - 1
2.94
1.25
1.25 6.50 10.00 no no no
FT
4 - 1(2 - 1)
-
- - -

Premier League

Premier League
OVERALL TABLE PT G V N P +/-
1
Manchester City 88 37 27 7 3 60
2
Arsenal 86 37 27 5 5 61
3
Liverpool 79 37 23 10 4 43
4
Aston Villa 68 37 20 8 9 20
5
Tottenham 63 37 19 6 12 10
6
Chelsea 60 37 17 9 11 13
7
Newcastle United 57 37 17 6 14 21
8
Manchester United 57 37 17 6 14 -3
9
West Ham 52 37 14 10 13 -12
10
Brighton 48 37 12 12 13 -5
11
Bournemouth 48 37 13 9 15 -12
12
Crystal Palace 46 37 12 10 15 -6
13
Wolverhampton 46 37 13 7 17 -13
14
Fulham 44 37 12 8 17 -8
15
Everton 40 37 13 9 15 -10
16
Brentford 39 37 10 9 18 -7
17
Nottingham Forest 29 37 8 9 20 -19
18
Luton Town 26 37 6 8 23 -31
19
Burnley 24 37 5 9 23 -36
20
Sheffield United 16 37 3 7 27 -66

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