Are Liverpool Now Favourites for the Premier League Title?

477

It was always going to be a big weekend in the Premier League title race with Manchester City and Arsenal facing each other at the Etihad Stadium.

The game ended 0-0 and was disappointing in terms of quality but one team walked away happy on Sunday afternoon and that was Liverpool.

The Reds beat Brighton 2-1 at home and while it was not a convincing victory, it was enough to see Liverpool move 2 points clear of second place Arsenal and 3 points clear of third place Manchester City.

Speaking after the draw with Arsenal, Manchester City manager, Pep Guardiola said, “Always who is first is favourite,” before adding “The second favourite is Arsenal and we are third. It's not in our hands.”

Interestingly, it is the first time this season Manchester City are not considered favourites to win the Premier League title and that is why it is such a big moment.

According to many specialists, Liverpool now have a 48% chance of winning the 2023/24 Premier League title, with Manchester City having a 34% chance, and Arsenal just an 18% chance of winning the league this season.

If we look at the remaining fixtures for Liverpool, they have only 4 games remaining at home and one of them is against Sheffield United on Thursday night.

They will then face 5 away games from their remaining 8 in the Premier League at Manchester United, Fulham, Everton, West Ham, and Aston Villa.

That is a tough set of fixtures but Liverpool are undefeated in 9 of their last 10 away Premier League matches.

Manchester City have arguably the easiest run of remaining games, with their toughest coming at home against Aston Villa, which is up next, and away to Tottenham Hotspur, Brighton, and Fulham.

Like Liverpool, Manchester City also have 5 away games remaining this season.

Arsenal have perhaps the toughest set of fixtures but they will play 5 of their 9 remaining Premier League matches at home.

Two of those home games are against Aston Villa and Chelsea plus The Gunners must travel to Brighton, Tottenham Hotspur, and Manchester United.

Liverpool have dropped points at Brighton and Luton Town this season, so there is a chance they will drop more points on the road before the end of the campaign.

The last time there was a three team race for the Premier League title was in 2013/14, Manchester City won their game in hand and Liverpool dropped points in dramatic fashion against Chelsea and Crystal Palace.

Things are so tight at the top of the table that it is plausible two teams could finish on the same number of points.

That would see the title decided on goal difference, with Arsenal holding the advantage after 29 games with +46, Liverpool on +40, and Manchester City on +35.

With that in mind, there is every possibility Liverpool will go full strength with the aim of thrashing Sheffield United on Thursday night in a bid to improve their goal difference.

Liverpool are the favourites now but there are sure to be more twists and turns as the Premier League season concludes, with all 3 teams dropping points.

Local - Visitante

Posibilidad en %

1X2

Pred

Predicción Resultado

Número de goles

Tiempo

Coef. 

Resultado

Coef.
vivo

EPL

LiverpoolSheffield United 04/04/2024 20:30

76214

1

2 - 0

2.27

13°

1.07

1.07 13.00 26.00 no no no

FT

3 - 1(1 - 0)

-

- - -