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    Milan Derby Takes Centre Stage in Serie A What Does Forebet’s Algorithm Predict?

    Inter vs Milan - 09/22/2024

    Milan Derby Takes Centre Stage in Serie A What Does Forebet’s Algorithm Predict?
    christiano barni / Shutterstock.com
    09/20/2024 3945

    It’s almost time for the first Derby della Madonnina of the 2024-25 season, as arch-rivals Inter Milan and AC Milan prepare to lock horns at the San Siro on Sunday evening.

    Third-placed Inter site three points above tenth-placed Milan after four matches, with Simone Inzaghi’s side yet to taste defeat this term.

    Can the Nerazzurri retain the bragging rights? Or will the Rossoneri reclaim the Milan crown? Read on to discover what Forebet’s predictive analytics model projects.

    Inter head into Sunday’s showdown on the back of a goalless draw against Manchester City in the Champions League.

    Not only did Inzaghi’s men see just 40% possession, but they also faced a barrage of 22 shots, ultimately managing to frustrate the Premier League champions.

    In Serie A, Inter have registered two wins and two draws so far, with Denzel Dumfries rescuing a point for his side in 1-1 draw against Monza last weekend.

    Having lost just one of their previous 36 league games, the Serie A champions will be confident of picking up another positive result this weekend.

    Meanwhile, AC Milan suffered a 3-1 defeat to Liverpool in midweek, despite opening the scoring after just three minutes.

    The Rossoneri claimed their first Serie A win of the season last weekend, thrashing Venezia 4-0, with all four goals coming in the opening 30 minutes.

    Across their opening three Serie A matches, Milan recorded 2-2 draws with Torino and Lazio, in addition to a 2-1 defeat against Parma.

    Although Milan have only lost four of their previous 27 league games, they will need to be at their very best to avoid defeat against free-flowing Inter.

    Head-to-head: Inter have won each of their last six matches against Milan across all competitions, scoring 14 goals (2.3 goals per game) while keeping four clean sheets.

    In terms of the broader H2H statistics, Milan have only managed to win two of their previous 13 meetings with the bitter rivals.

    Team news: Federico Dimarco (muscle) and Tajon Buchanan (shin) are injured for Inter, while Marko Arnautovic could miss Sunday’s clash due to illness.

    On the flip side, Milan’s injury list features Ismael Bennacer (calf), Alessandro Florenzi (knee), Marco Sportiello (hand) and Malick Thiaw (ankle).

    The Derby della Madonnina is always a chaotic affair, but Inter have been able to assert their dominance over their rivals in recent times.

    Accordingly, Forebet’s AI algorithm predicts that Inter will score over 1.5 goals on their way to defeating AC Milan.

    Home team
    Away team
    Probability %
    1X2
    Pred
    Correct score
    Avg. goals
    Weather conditions
    Coef.
    Score
    Live
    coef.
    It1
    453520
    12-1
    2 - 1
    2.97
    21°
    -137
    -137 +280 +350 no no no
    FT
    1 - 2(1 - 1)
    -
    - - -

    Serie A

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    Football predictions
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    Regular Season

    OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
    1
    Inter 19 7 6 1 0 12
    2
    Lazio 19 7 6 1 0 10
    3
    Roma 17 7 5 2 0 13
    4
    Milan 15 7 4 3 0 7
    5
    Calcio Como 14 7 4 2 1 5
    6
    Frosinone 13 7 4 1 2 4
    7
    Cagliari 13 6 4 1 1 3
    8
    Juventus 11 7 3 2 2 1
    9
    Napoli 10 7 3 1 3 3
    10
    Atalanta 9 7 3 0 4 -1
    11
    Lecce 9 7 3 0 4 -3
    12
    Sassuolo 8 7 2 2 3 -2
    13
    Torino 7 6 2 1 3 -2
    14
    Bologna 5 7 1 2 4 -4
    15
    Parma 4 6 1 1 4 -6
    16
    Udinese 4 7 1 1 5 -7
    17
    Genoa 4 7 1 1 5 -8
    18
    Fiorentina 4 7 1 1 5 -9
    19
    Monza 4 6 1 1 4 -6
    20
    Venezia 3 7 1 0 6 -10
    Champions League
    Europa League
    Europa Conference League Qual.
    Relegation

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    Deportivo Pasto are undefeated in their last 9 home matches against Alianza Petrolera in Primera A.

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