Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 18
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
Stadio Ennio Tardini stages a testing Serie A fixture as Parma, now under Alberto Gilardino, look for a response after a difficult start, while Torino arrive with renewed confidence following their first home win of the campaign.
The previous meeting between these two teams, played in Turin in March 2026, delivered a commanding 4-1 victory for Torino. In that match, the hosts were clinical with 6 shots on target from 15 attempts and managed to share ball possession equally with Parma. Scorers included Giovanni Simeone in the 3rd minute, Mateo Pellegrino levelling for Parma at the 20th, Emirhan İlkhan in the 54th, a Mandela Keita own goal, and Duván Zapata completing the display in added time. Torino’s efficiency in the final third decided a game that had been level after 20 minutes, underlining their sharpness in key moments.
Looking at recent clashes between the clubs, the series has featured closely contested ties, with two draws in their last four meetings before Torino’s clear win last March. This historical balance suggests that, while Torino had the upper hand most recently, tight margins have often defined their encounters.
Parma arrive to this round after a tough opening patch in Serie A, with just one win from their first six fixtures. Their record shows one win, one draw, and four defeats. Most notably, they have found it difficult to carve open defences, scoring at a rate of just 0.67 goals per game while conceding 1.83. The lack of attacking rhythm is mirrored by their low average shots on goal and possession figures hovering just above 42%. Parma have failed to win five of their first six league matches, reflecting a side still searching for consistency.
The club have already made a major change, with Alberto Gilardino replacing Carlos Cuesta before the defeat at Inter. Parma lost 3-0 at San Siro last time out, although El Bilal Touré and David Romero both threatened, and Gilardino’s first home league game now comes against a direct mid-table rival.
Torino’s run has been mixed but shows more promise than that of their hosts. With two wins, a draw, and three losses in the last six, Torino average a goal per game while conceding 1.33. Their figures suggest a more assertive approach, registering an average of 11 shots and maintaining a higher ball share at 53.33%. The away form, however, remains troublesome, with just 20% of their last 15 away matches ending in victory.
Torino’s most recent league match brought a useful 2-1 home win over Udinese, highlighted by Daniel Bragança’s midfield impact and a decisive second-half goal from Sandro Kulenović. Bragança’s goal and control between the lines strengthened his case for another start, while Kulenović’s winner gives Ignazio Abate another attacking option from the bench or the start.
Team news influences selection for this round, particularly for Parma, who remain without Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Pontus Almqvist, Abdoulaye Ndiaye and Lautaro Valenti. Nesta Elphege is available again after starting against Inter, while Dominik Drobnič was also in the matchday squad in Milan.
Parma probable XI: Corvi; Delprato, Diego Carlos, Troilo; Carboni, Keita, Sierro, Valeri; Fabbian, Romero; Touré.
Gilardino is expected to keep a back three, with Enrico Delprato, Diego Carlos and Mariano Troilo protecting Edoardo Corvi. Giovanni Fabbian and Romero are likely to support Touré, although Elphege and Simone Lontani are alternatives if Parma opt for fresher legs in the final third.
Torino have no active suspension concern for this fixture, and Abate’s latest league squad included Saúl Coco, Eray Cömert, Nikola Vlašić, Che Adams and Duván Zapata. Franco Israel remains outside the goalkeeping picture, with Lucas Perri established as first choice.
Torino probable XI: Perri; Comuzzo, Coco, Rodríguez; Belghali, Bragança, Mandragora, Fitz-Jim, Cacciamani; Vlašić, Simeone.
Perri should continue in goal, with Coco anchoring the defence and Giovanni Simeone leading the line. Vlašić is pushing to return from the start after appearing from the bench against Udinese, while Adams and Kulenović give Abate credible alternatives if he wants more direct running or penalty-box presence.
The prediction algorithm for this fixture leans toward a draw, with a 37% probability, and a likely scoreline of 1-1. Statistically, Parma’s home need combines with Torino’s away issues, setting up a contest where a share of the points appears a strong possibility. Key individual battles in midfield and decisive moments in front of goal may ultimately tip the balance, but recent history indicates little to separate the sides as their campaigns continue to unfold.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Inter | 16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
2 |
Lazio | 16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
3 |
Roma | 14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
4 |
Cagliari | 13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
5 |
Milan | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
6 |
Juventus | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
7 |
Calcio Como | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
8 |
Napoli | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
9 |
Frosinone | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
10 |
Atalanta | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
11 |
Sassuolo | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
12 |
Torino | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 |
13 |
Lecce | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 |
14 |
Bologna | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 |
15 |
Parma | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 |
16 |
Udinese | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 |
17 |
Genoa | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 |
18 |
Fiorentina | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 |
19 |
Monza | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 |
20 |
Venezia | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 |
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