Tromsø Seek Top-Three Assurance as KFUM Oslo Ride Winning Momentum

Tromso vs KFUM Oslo - 10/18/2026

10/13/2026 4

With Tromsø holding on to third in the league, they face a KFUM Oslo side gathering pace after four consecutive victories. Both teams have distinct strengths and recent results that set up a tactical and statistical contest at Alfheim Stadion on 18 October.

Recent Form

Tromsø have found themselves in a mixed patch lately, notching two wins, two draws and two losses from their last six fixtures. During this run, their attack has produced an average of 1.5 goals per match but their defense has been somewhat vulnerable, allowing 1.83 per game. At home, however, sturdier performances have emerged, as they've remained unbeaten in their last three, and conceded just 0.67 goals on average.

KFUM Oslo have produced a surge in results, capturing four victories from their last six matches. Over this period, they've scored an average of 1.67 goals per match and conceded 1.5, showing that while the defense can be breached, their attack has kept them in matches. Notably, their last four games in all competitions have all ended as wins.

Recent History

Tromsø's home record against KFUM Oslo shows they have not always had things their way, recording just one win and two losses in their last three home encounters against this opponent. For additional context, their last overall four clashes have resulted in two Tromsø wins, suggesting a generally competitive fixture in both venues.

Overall Performance

Tromsø's campaign has positioned them as one of the stronger Eliteserien sides, sitting third after 22 games with 41 goals scored and a positive goal difference of +11. On average, they net 1.86 goals per game and allow 1.36, a strong differential over most of the league. Their season has been defined by consistency, both in attacker production and organizational structure at home, where clean sheets have been prevalent (9 in their last 15 home league matches).

KFUM Oslo, placed 10th, have recorded a more turbulent campaign. With 8 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, their negative goal difference (-9) comes from conceding 36 and scoring 27 times. They rank mid-table for offensive efficiency (1.23 per game) and have been inconsistent defensively (conceding 1.64 per game).

Main Trends

Tromsø have posted notable streaks: they've been undefeated in 10 of their last 12 home matches and have collected 8 home wins across those same games. Across their last 15 home matches, they've secured nine clean sheets, reflecting a defensive reliability when at Alfheim Stadion. Notably, in their last 33 league home matches, only five have ended in defeat.

KFUM Oslo's recent burst puts them on an undefeated run of four matches with winning margins by two or more goals in 43% of their last seven. Away from home, they've only failed to win half of their last eight outings but still kept three clean sheets in their last seven on the road. This points to a side that travels well and is capable of exploiting counter-attack opportunities.

Probable Lineups

Tromsø

Goalkeeper: Jakob Haugaard

Defenders: Leon Hien, Alexander Warneryd, Isak Vådebu, Sander Håvik Innvær, Musa Jatta

Midfielders: Ruben Yttergård Jenssen, Morten Bjørlo, David Edvardsson

Attackers: Heine Åsen Larsen, Vegard Erlien

KFUM Oslo

Goalkeeper: Emil Ødegaard

Defenders: Fredrik Berglie, Brage Skaret, Håkon Røsten

Midfielders: Martin Tangen Vinjor, Håkon Helland Hoseth, Jonas Lange Hjorth, Eirik Saunes

Attackers: Bilal Njie, Bjørn Martin Kristensen, David Hickson

Sidelined

KFUM Oslo will be without Ayoub Aleesami (groin injury) and Promise Ikojo Meliga (no eligibility). Tromsø have a full squad available with no confirmed absentees.

Prediction

The predictive models rate Tromsø as favorites for this match, assigning a 47% probability to a home victory. Crucially, the hosts ride a three-game unbeaten streak, while KFUM Oslo’s four consecutive wins mark them as a definite threat. The visitors' improved recent away form will challenge Tromsø's robust home record.

With both teams fielding nearly full-strength squads and attacking lineups, a match with chances on both ends is likely. Expect Tromsø’s efficiency on home turf and defensive discipline to be key, against a KFUM Oslo that arrives high on confidence and aims to extend their streak. A close game should unfold, potentially tipping toward Tromsø’s favor in terms of both statistical edge and home advantage.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

No1

Tromso KFUM Oslo 18/10/2026 19:15

472627

12-1

2 - 1

2.83

34°F

-189

-189 +310 +450 no no no

PREVIEW

-

- - -