Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 18
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
After a mix of resilience and missed opportunities, Sandefjord prepare to host a Lillestrom SK side that has displayed a sharp edge in attack this season. With both teams looking for crucial Eliteserien points, there is a lot at stake at Komplett Arena.
This fixture has often been a challenging one for Sandefjord. Looking at their last six head-to-head meetings against Lillestrom SK, Sandefjord have come away with two wins but lost four, suggesting recent history tilts in favor of the visitors. Specifically, in the last five matches against this opponent, Sandefjord suffered defeat three times.
Sandefjord come into this match with mixed results from their previous six league outings. They secured two wins, three draws, and one loss, averaging 1.33 goals scored and just 0.83 conceded per match. They have shown a solid defensive base recently, reinforced by their clean sheets in 10 of their last 20 home Eliteserien matches. However, in terms of attack, their average of 5 shots on target per game underscores their need for greater efficiency in front of goal.
At home, Sandefjord have shown stubbornness. The side is undefeated in their last three matches across all competitions and has maintained this unbeaten streak in their most recent three at Komplett Arena. Yet, in league action at home, they have been winless in six of their last seven, signaling that a win on their own turf has been elusive.
Lillestrom SK arrive with a positive away record in recent games. In their last six overall, they have won three, drawn one, and lost two, with a healthy average of two goals per match. Their sharpness in front of goal has been evident with 4.83 shots on target per match during their last six, and they have avoided defeat in five of their last six away matches.
Across the season, Lillestrom SK have been stronger in the league table with 10 wins and three draws from 22 matches. Despite conceding an average of 1.41 goals per match, they are dangerous going forward, scoring at a rate of 1.36 per game. Their ability to win comfortably is notable too, with 48% of their last 40 games seeing victories by a two-goal margin or more.
The previous league meeting between Sandefjord and Lillestrom SK ended 3-1 to Lillestrom back in May, where the visitors asserted their dominance in both possession and attack. The pattern of Lillestrom exerting attacking pressure is a recurring theme, supported by their trends for frequent dangerous attacks and a high rate of scoring especially as games progress.
Sandefjord, currently 12th in the standings, have exhibited a tactical discipline that allows them to compete, particularly by controlling possession in the midfield and maintaining compact lines defensively. Their last home match was a convincing 3-0 win over IK Start, but the broader home form remains a concern. The expected absence of Devon Koswal, Marcus Melchior, Nikolaj Moller, and Filip Loftesnes-Bjune due to injury, will force coach Andreas Tegström to stick with the core that featured in recent matches.
Sandefjord Probable Lineup
Goalkeeper: Elias Hadaya
Defenders: Vetle Walle Egeli, Fredrik Carson Pedersen, Rasmus Holten, Håkon Krogelien
Midfielders: Ervin Gigović, Sander Risan Mørk, Jakob Vester, Foster Apetorgbor, Jakob Dunsby
Attackers: Oscar Kapskarmo
Lillestrom SK have more consistency in their selection and, crucially, report no new injury issues. Hans Erik Ødegaard is likely to stick to his balanced 4-1-4-1 formation, banking on the strength of his midfield and the finishing prowess of Thomas Lehne Olsen.
Lillestrom SK Probable Lineup
Goalkeeper: Pontus Dahlberg
Defenders: Lars Ranger, Frederik Elkær, Ruben Gabrielsen, Sander Moen Foss
Midfielders: Filip Ottosson, Eric Kitolano, Gustav Nyheim, Felix Vá, Daniel Bassi
Attackers: Thomas Lehne Olsen
With Sandefjord's recent defensive solidity but lack of consistent home wins, and Lillestrom SK's ability to find the net regularly on the road, a match with several goals looks likely. The prediction algorithm points toward a 1-2 win for Lillestrom SK, giving them a 42% chance of victory and indicating that over 2.5 goals is a plausible scenario at Komplett Arena.
Both teams have plenty to fight for and, as their trends and recent performances demonstrate, a dynamic contest can be expected.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Viking FK | 53 | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 36 |
2 |
Bodo/Glimt | 53 | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 36 |
3 |
Tromso | 39 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
4 |
Molde | 37 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 12 |
5 |
Rosenborg BK | 34 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 9 |
6 |
Lillestrom SK | 33 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | -1 |
7 |
Brann | 29 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 5 |
8 |
Fredrikstad | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -7 |
9 |
Sarpsborg 08 | 28 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -3 |
10 |
KFUM Oslo | 28 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -9 |
11 |
HamKam | 26 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -13 |
12 |
Sandefjord | 24 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -6 |
13 |
Valerenga | 23 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -10 |
14 |
Aalesund FK | 21 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | -15 |
15 |
Kristiansund BK | 19 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -21 |
16 |
IK Start | 16 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -24 |
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