Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 18
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
LASK Linz enter this Bundesliga clash in formidable shape, looking to build on a near-perfect run against an SV Ried side struggling for consistency away from home. With both teams experiencing contrasting spells early in the season, the patterns from previous meetings and current form point to an intriguing contest.
The last encounter between these two sides delivered a tightly contested 1-1 draw. SV Ried held the home advantage that night and fired 19 shots to LASK Linz's 9, with a narrow edge in shots on goal as well. Possession was nearly split—49% to Ried and 51% to LASK Linz—highlighting just how evenly matched the teams were across the ninety minutes. Fabian Rossdorfer opened the scoring for Ried early in the second half, only to see Samuel Adeniran immediately level for LASK on the restart. The match also featured a dramatic own goal from Benjamin Garcia in extra time, though the final result was shared points. SV Ried contributed 81 dangerous attacks, almost doubling LASK’s 45, but failed to capitalize fully on their opportunities under pressure.
Shifting to this season's opening Bundesliga matches, LASK Linz have started in commanding fashion. Their last fixture saw them control 59% of possession and dismantle Grazer AK 3-0, followed up by a professional 2-0 away win at Austria Wien, recording 21 shots to the opponent’s 6. Their attack looks sharp, and their defense has yet to be breached in league play.
SV Ried, on the other hand, have yet to register a victory in the current campaign. Their goalless streaks and inability to turn possession into wins are becoming recurring themes. Despite generating 24 shots and seven on target in a 1-1 draw at Austria Lustenau, and matching Rapid Wien for attacking sequences, Ried ultimately fell short 1-2 in their next outing. Both matches have illustrated Ried's willingness to push forward but also highlighted their struggles in decisive moments.
Looking at broader trends, LASK Linz boast a remarkable record. They've won 67% of their last 30 matches in all competitions, averaging over two goals scored per match. Even more telling, they've remained undefeated in 90% of their last 20 games and have managed to win by two or more goals on eight occasions in that span. At home, their form stays impressive: 92% undefeated in the last 12 outings, with a win rate of 53% across their last 40 home matches in all competitions.
LASK’s league record in particular stands out, with 26 undefeated in their last 32 Bundesliga matches. The defense has solidified, shown by a 45% clean sheet rate in their last 20 home league games. In the most recent 12, nine have ended in victory, with an average of 1.92 goals scored per match and under one conceded.
For SV Ried, the story away from home continues to be problematic. They've failed to win 10 of their last 12 away matches and have lost more than half of their last 15 road trips. On average, they've managed to score less than a goal per game (0.93) while conceding more than 1.5. Even domestically, half of their last 10 Bundesliga matches have been defeats, and their inability to hold out for results on their travels remains a talking point.
Sidelined players might influence both sides’ plans. LASK Linz are missing Ramiz Harakaté due to a cruciate ligament tear, while SV Ried deal with the absences of Fabian Rossdorfer (back injury), Philipp Pomer (inner knee ligament), and Michael Sollbauer (cruciate ligament). These injuries impact both defensive solidity and midfield options for Ried, especially with Rossdorfer having scored the opener in the most recent head-to-head.
Probable lineups reflect recent consistency, with both coaches preferring their tried-and-tested formations. Expect LASK Linz to remain in a 3-1-4-2 setup, fielding:
LASK Linz
Goalkeeper: Lukas Jungwirth
Defenders: Xavier Mbuyamba, Andrés Andrade, Alemão
Midfielders: George Bello, Krystof Danek, Robert Ljubicic, Kasper Jørgensen, Sascha Horvath
Attackers: Samuel Adeniran, Christoph Lang
SV Ried should line up in a 4-2-3-1, making necessary adjustments for long-term absentees:
SV Ried
Goalkeeper: Andreas Leitner
Defenders: Lukas Malicsek, Oliver Sorg, Samuel Chukwudi, Oliver Steurer
Midfielders: Yusuf Maart, Ante Bajic, Jaedin Rhodes, Stefan Schwab, Jussef Nasrawe
Attackers: Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
The recent evidence strongly favors LASK Linz, who have exhibited a clinical edge in attack while shutting out opponents defensively. Their home stadium has become a fortress, and current trajectories suggest SV Ried will need to find a new level to avoid falling short once more.
With a prediction model assigning LASK Linz a 46% chance of victory, all indicators suggest the hosts are better placed to claim the points and continue their impressive league run.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Rapid Wien | 21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 |
2 |
RB Salzburg | 18 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
3 |
LASK Linz | 16 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
4 |
Sturm Graz | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
5 |
SV Ried | 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
6 |
Hartberg | 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 |
7 |
Grazer AK | 9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -10 |
8 |
Austria Lustenau | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 |
9 |
WSG Tirol | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 |
10 |
Austria Wien | 7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 |
11 |
SCR Altach | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 |
12 |
Wolfsberger AC | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 |
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