Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 18
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
As Bundesliga action resumes at the Lavanttal Arena on October 18, Wolfsberger AC look to snap a concerning winless run against a confident WSG Tirol, whose superior form is backed up by recent numbers and away resilience.
Wolfsberger AC have fallen on difficult times in the current Bundesliga campaign. Their last six matches have produced no victories, with only two draws and a troubling four defeats. Goals have been hard to come by for Thomas Silberberger’s side, averaging just 0.5 goals per game, while defensively they've been leaking significantly, conceding an average of 2.33 times per fixture during this period.
Performances at home have provided little reprieve. Wolfsberger AC have not recorded a win in their last three matches at the Lavanttal Arena, securing a solitary draw and suffering two losses. Goals continue to elude them at home, managing only 0.67 per game, while conceding consistently with an identical average to their overall record. Their inability to dominate is further emphasized by just 32.67% possession in these home contests.
Looking at their run overall, Wolfsberger AC sit at the foot of the table, 12th with just one win, two draws, and five defeats from eight games. A negative goal difference of minus nine and having lost 18 of their last 36 matches in all competitions contextualizes the depth of their struggles. In fact, they have been winless in eight straight Bundesliga outings and have failed to secure a win in 82% of their last 11 games.
Recent home meeting history with WSG Tirol, however, suggests meetings are often competitive. Wolfsberger AC have one win, one draw, and one loss in their last three at home against Tirol, showing neither side typically dominates the fixture at this venue.
The visitors, meanwhile, are in notably better shape. WSG Tirol have taken three wins from their past six league matches, losing two and drawing one. Their forward line has been effective, averaging two goals per match, while their defense ships just 1.17 on average. Impressively, WSG Tirol’s offensive game generates more chances, with 11.33 shots per game and over four on target, reflecting a proactive attacking approach.
On the road, Tirol are solid, winning half of their last eight away games in all competitions. Their away defense has kept clean sheets in 42% of the last 12, and they win 50% of these recent encounters. Their main challenge on the road has been consistency, evidenced by eight losses in their past 15 away games. Nevertheless, with only one defeat from their last three meetings at the Lavanttal Arena, there's a positive trend to build on.
Examining recent league results paints a clear contrast. Wolfsberger's latest Bundesliga match saw them beaten 3-0 at SCR Altach, again failing to find the net despite enjoying marginally more possession and nearly as many attacks as their opponents. Matches prior against SV Ried and Rapid Wien were also heavy defeats, with the defensive frailties on show and little to celebrate in attack.
WSG Tirol, on the other hand, were narrowly defeated 2-1 by SV Ried last time out, but they created more chances and registered eight shots on target. Notably, their 4-0 dismantling of Austria Lustenau and a hard-fought 1-0 win away at Austria Wien demonstrate their capacity to take control in matches and threaten any opponent on the road.
In terms of probable lineups, both teams will be missing key players due to injury. Wolfsberger AC remain without Nicolas Wimmer (cruciate ligament tear) and Otar Mamageishvili, which limits defensive and midfield options. Based on recent patterns and available players, a 3-4-2-1 formation is likely, using those who have featured most:
Wolfsberger AC:
Goalkeeper: Lukas Gütlbauer
Defenders: Raffael Behounek, Simon Piesinger, Matteo Kitz
Midfielders: Marco Sulzner, Fabian Wohlmuth, Rene Renner, Aaron Sky Schwarz
Attackers: Dominik Fitz, Phillip Verhounig, Donis Avdijaj
WSG Tirol are missing Quincy Butler but otherwise have a settled squad. Coach P. Semlic will probably opt for a 4-2-3-1 formation that has brought stability and balance recently:
WSG Tirol:
Goalkeeper: Salko Hamzic
Defenders: David Gugganig, Drew Murray, Marco Boras, Moritz Oswald
Midfielders: Marc Striednig, Michael Olakigbe, Husein Balic, Matthäus Taferner, Thomas Goiginger
Attackers: Nikolai Baden Frederiksen
With Wolfsberger AC's struggles to score and their defense looking vulnerable, WSG Tirol are well-placed to control proceedings. Their higher possession stats and dangerous attacks point to a side capable of dictating the tempo and capitalizing on Wolfsberger’s current weaknesses.
The analytical prediction gives WSG Tirol a 39% probability of victory and the best recent numbers support this forecast. While Wolfsberger AC’s recent home record against Tirol is balanced, the hosts’ eight-game winless streak and continuing issues at both ends of the pitch leave them as underdogs.
All signs suggest that if WSG Tirol perform to their current standards, they should return from the Lavanttal Arena with all three points and further extend Wolfsberger AC's winless run in the Bundesliga.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Rapid Wien | 21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 |
2 |
RB Salzburg | 18 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
3 |
LASK Linz | 16 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
4 |
Sturm Graz | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
5 |
SV Ried | 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
6 |
Hartberg | 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 |
7 |
Grazer AK | 9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -10 |
8 |
Austria Lustenau | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 |
9 |
WSG Tirol | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 |
10 |
Austria Wien | 7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 |
11 |
SCR Altach | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 |
12 |
Wolfsberger AC | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 |
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