Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 18
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
As round two of the Eredivisie beckons, Fortuna Sittard welcome promoted Cambuur to their own turf, both sides aiming for vital early points. With contrasting results in their season openers, the encounter at Fortuna Sittard Stadion presents an intriguing tactical duel shaped by summer moves and recent records.
Fortuna Sittard opened the new league campaign with a spirited 2-2 draw away to PSV Eindhoven. Goals from Ole Romeny and Edouard Michut ensured the side came away with a point after trailing, despite being outshot 21 to 8 and possessing the ball for only 24% of the match. Their clinical finishing made up for the lack of possession and corners, highlighting their efficiency in front of goal.
On the other side, Cambuur's return to top-flight competition started on a sour note, falling 4-0 at home against Excelsior. The team struggled at both ends, mustering just two shots on target out of eleven, with their defense breached repeatedly. Despite 47% possession and nearly even passing numbers, Cambuur's attack registered only three dangerous moments—an area needing swift improvement.
The previous encounter between these teams came in January 2023, when Fortuna Sittard traveled to Cambuur and secured a 2-1 victory. Mees Hoedemakers gave Cambuur an early lead in the 31st minute, but Fortuna Sittard answered with a penalty from Burak Yilmaz and a late winner from Iñigo Córdoba in the 84th. Although deep match stats from that clash are unavailable, the close scoreline fits the trend of competitive fixtures between these sides.
Digging deeper into head-to-head form, Fortuna Sittard have won three of the last five matches against Cambuur. This edge serves as a psychological boost coming into the tie. However, in their last 36 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Sittard have lost 18 and are winless in 8 of their last 10, indicating a struggle for consistency—particularly at home, where they’ve lost 7 of their last 14.
For Cambuur, overall form across the past 20 clashes shows promise with 55% wins and a solid scoring rate of 1.7 per match, but the 4-0 defeat last week highlights ongoing defensive concerns—conceding 2.38 on average over their last 8 outings. Nevertheless, Cambuur have been undefeated in 21 of their last 26 in all competitions, including 18 of their last 20 league matches away from home.
Squad rotation and absences will play a significant role due to summer transfers and a lengthy sidelined list. Fortuna Sittard face this match without Iván Márquez, Moussa Gbemou, Kristoffer Peterson, Shiloh 't Zand, Ramazan Bayram, Edouard Michut, Sven Simons, and Lequincio Zeefuik. Transfers have also removed players such as Kaj Sierhuis and Paul Gladon from selection.
Cambuur are similarly affected: Daan Visser, Wiebe Kooistra, Nicolas Binder, Lucas Jetten, and S. Vink all miss out through injury. Several key players have just departed or arrived, contributing to the challenge of building a settled starting eleven after promotion.
Based on recent lineups, likely formations, and the confirmed unavailable and transferred players, predicted starting elevens are as follows:
Fortuna Sittard
Goalkeeper: Mattijs Branderhorst
Defenders: Syb van Ottele, Siebe Wylin, Jasper Dahlhaus, Ivo Pinto
Midfielders: Yassin Oukili, Philip Brittijn, Mohamed Ihattaren, Lance Duijvestijn
Attackers: Ole Romeny, Neraysho Kasanwirjo
Cambuur
Goalkeeper: Thijs Jansen
Defenders: Ismaël Baouf, Jamal Amofa, Rik Mulders
Midfielders: Nicky Souren, R. van de Pavert, Iwan Henstra, Rafik El Arguioui
Attackers: Ilyes Hamache, Ethan Apkakou, Jorn Berkhout
Tactically, Fortuna Sittard’s efficiency in the final third forces Cambuur to shore up their back line, while the visitors will hope to rediscover their away strengths that have seen them undefeated in 18 of their last 20 league trips. The strong home scoring record for Fortuna (1.64 per match over the last 14 at home) clashes with a Cambuur attack that averages 1.93 away from home.
The Forebet prediction algorithm gives Fortuna Sittard a slight advantage, assigning them a 55% probability to secure the win, most likely by a 2-1 scoreline. Both teams have reason for optimism given their respective strengths, but the early season meeting will hinge on how quickly the new arrivals adapt and how well each side covers for their absentees.
Margins could be tight, but the data leans toward a clinical Fortuna Sittard edging out a Cambuur side still adapting to top-division rigors.

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| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Feyenoord | 20 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 |
2 |
PSV Eindhoven | 19 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
3 |
AZ Alkmaar | 19 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
4 |
Twente | 17 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
5 |
Ajax | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
6 |
Groningen | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
7 |
Fortuna Sittard | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 |
8 |
Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
9 |
Excelsior | 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
10 |
Heerenveen | 9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
11 |
Nijmegen | 9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 |
12 |
Cambuur | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 |
13 |
Utrecht | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 |
14 |
Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 |
15 |
SC Telstar | 6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 |
16 |
PEC Zwolle | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 |
17 |
ADO Den Haag | 3 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 |
18 |
Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 |
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