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    Germany and Spain Set for Quarter-Final Showdown: What Does Forebet’s Algorithm Predict?

    Spain vs Germany - 07/05/2024

    Germany and Spain Set for Quarter-Final Showdown: What Does Forebet’s Algorithm Predict?
    Maciej Rogowski Photo / Shutterstock.com
    07/04/2024 8940

    On Friday evening, two of European football’s heavyweights will lock horns in the quarter-finals of Euro 2024 at Stuttgart’s MHPArena.

    Host nation Germany will take on Spain for a place in the semi-finals, with the winner facing one of Portugal and France in the semi-finals.

    In this preview, we discuss all the key stats and trends before sharing our predictions. Read on to find out what our predictive analytics model forecasts.

    Germany booked their place in the quarter-finals with a 2-0 victory over Denmark, courtesy of goals from Kai Havertz and Jamal Musiala.

    That triumph followed group-stage wins against Scotland (5-1) and Hungary (2-0), although the hosts were held by Switzerland (1-1) in their final group game.

    The Germans have scored an impressive 10 goals across four games at Euro 2024, meaning they average 2.5 goals per game in the tournament.

    Julian Nagelsmann’s side have also conceded just two goals on their way to the last eight, keeping two clean sheets in the process.

    Meanwhile, Spain punched their ticket to the quarter-finals with a 4-1 victory over Georgia, who went ahead before capitulating in the second half.

    La Roja racked up 76% possession and 35 shots against the Georgians, with Rodri, Fabian Ruiz, Nico Williams and Dani Olmo grabbing the goals.

    Spain also won all three group games, dispatching Croatia (3-0), Italy (1-0) and Albania (1-0) to maintain their record as the only team with a 100% record at Euro 2024.

    Not only have they scored nine goals (2.3 goals per game), but they have also conceded just once, giving them the tournament’s best defensive record.

    Head-to-head: Three of the past four meetings between Germany and Spain have ended 1-1, although La Roja thrashed the Germans 6-0 back in 2020.

    When you look at the bigger picture, Germany have managed to win just one of their last eight meetings with Spain, with six of those clashes serving up under 2.5 goals.

    Team news: With three goals, Germany’s Jamal Musiala is among the Golden Boot frontrunners, while Kai Havertz and Niclas Fullkrug each have two goals.

    Spain’s Fabian Ruiz has bagged two goals and two assists at Euro 2024, with Dani Olmo and Nico Williams each contributing one goal and one assist.

    If recent meetings between Germany and Spain are anything to go by, Friday’s encounter will be a close-fought battle between two top sides.

    Forebet predicts that Germany and Spain will play out a low-scoring draw in normal time, sending the quarter-final to extra time.

    Home team
    Away team
    Probability %
    1X2
    Pred
    Correct score
    Avg. goals
    Weather conditions
    Coef.
    Score
    Live
    coef.
    Eu
    394219
    X1-1
    1 - 1
    2.47
    16°
    +225
    +163 +225 +175 no no no
    AET
    FT
    2 - 1
    1 - 1(0 - 0)
    -
    - - -

    EURO 2024

    Eu
    X
    Eu
    X
    Eu
    X
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    EURO 2024
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    Featured match

    CH
    1

    Third-placed Teams

    OVERALL TABLE
    OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
    1
    		 Netherlands 4 3 1 1 1 0
    2
    		 Georgia 4 3 1 1 1 0
    3
    		 Slovakia 4 3 1 1 1 0
    4
    		 Slovenia 3 3 0 3 0 0
    5
    		 Hungary 3 3 1 0 2 -3
    6
    		 Croatia 2 3 0 2 1 -3
    Next round

    Group A

    OVERALL TABLE
    OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
    1
    		 Germany 7 3 2 1 0 6
    2
    		 Switzerland 5 3 1 2 0 2
    3
    		 Hungary 3 3 1 0 2 -3
    4
    		 Scotland 1 3 0 1 2 -5
    Promotion Play-off
    Possible next round

    Group B

    OVERALL TABLE
    OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
    1
    		 Spain 9 3 3 0 0 5
    2
    		 Italy 4 3 1 1 1 0
    3
    		 Croatia 2 3 0 2 1 -3
    4
    		 Albania 1 3 0 1 2 -2
    Promotion Play-off
    Possible next round

    Group C

    OVERALL TABLE
    OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
    1
    		 England 5 3 1 2 0 1
    2
    		 Denmark 3 3 0 3 0 0
    3
    		 Slovenia 3 3 0 3 0 0
    4
    		 Serbia 2 3 0 2 1 -1
    Promotion Play-off
    Possible next round

    Group D

    OVERALL TABLE
    OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
    1
    		 Austria 6 3 2 0 1 2
    2
    		 France 5 3 1 2 0 1
    3
    		 Netherlands 4 3 1 1 1 0
    4
    		 Poland 1 3 0 1 2 -3
    Promotion Play-off
    Possible next round

    Group E

    OVERALL TABLE
    OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
    1
    		 Romania 4 3 1 1 1 1
    2
    		 Belgium 4 3 1 1 1 1
    3
    		 Slovakia 4 3 1 1 1 0
    4
    		 Ukraine 4 3 1 1 1 -2
    Promotion Play-off
    Possible next round

    Group F

    OVERALL TABLE
    OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
    1
    		 Portugal 6 3 2 0 1 2
    2
    		 Türkiye 6 3 2 0 1 0
    3
    		 Georgia 4 3 1 1 1 0
    4
    		 Czech Republic 1 3 0 1 2 -2
    Promotion Play-off
    Possible next round

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