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Goals expected when Wolfsburg host Dortmund

VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Preview 23/05/2020

22 May 2020 | Bundesliga | Preview
2005
Goals expected when Wolfsburg host Dortmund

Title-chasing Borussia Dortmund travel to the Volkswagen Arena on Saturday to face a Wolfsburg side who are chasing a spot in next season’s Europa League.

The Wolves are currently sixth in the standings following a dramatic late win over Augsburg in the previous round. Renato Steffen’s opener was cancelled out by Tin Jedvaj, but Daniel Ginczek’s injury-time winner handed Wolfsburg all three points.

Still, after notching up ten shots and 60% possession, Oliver Glasner’s side were fully deserving of the victory.

Wolfsburg are now two points ahead of seventh-place Freiburg but remain a whopping 11 points behind fourth-place Bayer Leverkusen.

However, with just three defeats in their previous 20 home league games and no losses in their last seven, it’s safe to say that Wolfsburg are one of the division’s in-form sides.

Talking on in-form sides, no teams has picked up more points than Borussia Dortmund across their last five matches. In fact, Dortmund have won each of their previous five by an aggregate scoreline of 13-1.

An emphatic 4-0 derby over rivals Schalke in the Rivierderby last weekend kept Lucien Favre’s men in second place – four points behind Bayern Munich.

It’s hardly surprising that Erling Haaland was on target yet again last time out. The teenage sensation now has 10 goals and three assists in just nine Bundesliga appearances since arriving at the club.

The recent head-to-head record between the two teams doesn’t make for good reading for Wolfsburg. In fact, Dortmund haven’t lost to the Wolves in any of their last nine meetings.

Dortmund claimed a convincing 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier in the campaign thanks to goals from Thorgan Hazard, Raphael Guerreiro, and Mario Gotze.

Their most recent win over Wolfsburg means that Dortmund have now scored over 2.5 goals in five of their last seven victories against the Wolves.

Top Trends

  • Borussia Dortmund are on a run of 5 consecutive wins in their domestic league
  • VfL Wolfsburg have suffered a defeat in their last 4 home clashes with Borussia Dortmund in all competitions
  • At least one goal has been scored by Borussia Dortmund in all of their last 15 matches in Bundesliga
  • Borussia Dortmund have scored at least two goals in each of their last 4 away Bundesliga games

 

Look at the team news, midfielder Ignacio Camacho and right-back William remain long-term absentees for Wolfsburg. However, Yannick Gerhardt could return for the hosts.

Jadon Sancho started on the bench last weekend, while Emre Can, Marco Reus, and Axel Witsel didn’t even make Dortmund’s matchday squad. Lucien Favre is expected to freshen things up on Saturday.

This is set to be an excellent encounter between two high-quality, in-form sides. But when you couple Dortmund’s recent superiority over Wolfsburg with their blistering current form, an away win is looking likely.

Forebet predicts that Borussia Dortmund will once again score over 2.5 goals on their way to beating Wolfsburg.

Home team - Away team Probability in% Forebet Correct score Avg. goals Weather conditions Odds Kelly Criterion Score
1 X 2
Bundesliga | Round 27, Regular Season
flag_7 De1
VfL WolfsburgBorussia Dortmund
23/05/2020 15:30 GMT
273340 2 1 - 3 3.09 12° 1.77
FT
0 - 2
(0 - 1)

Predictions for Bundesliga

Home team - Away team Forebet
flag_7 De1
SC FreiburgBayer Leverkusen
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2
flag_7 De1
VfL WolfsburgEintracht Frankfurt
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1
flag_7 De1
Hertha BSCFC Augsburg
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MainzHoffenheim
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Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L GF GA +/-
1. Bayern München 64 28 20 4 4 81 28 53
2. Borussia Dortmund 57 28 17 6 5 74 34 40
3. RB Leipzig 55 28 15 10 3 70 29 41
4. Mönchengladbach 53 28 16 5 7 53 34 19
5. Bayer Leverkusen 53 28 16 5 7 53 36 17
6. VfL Wolfsburg 42 28 11 9 8 40 34 6
7. Hoffenheim 39 28 11 6 11 39 48 -9
8. SC Freiburg 38 28 10 8 10 38 40 -2
9. Schalke 04 37 28 9 10 9 34 45 -11
10. Hertha BSC 35 28 9 8 11 41 50 -9
11. 1.FC Köln 34 28 10 4 14 44 52 -8
12. FC Augsburg 31 28 8 7 13 40 54 -14
13. Union Berlin 31 28 9 4 15 33 48 -15
14. Eintracht Frankfurt 29 27 8 5 14 44 52 -8
15. Mainz 28 28 8 4 16 37 61 -24
16. Fortuna Düsseldorf 27 28 6 9 13 31 53 -22
17. Werder Bremen 22 27 5 7 15 29 59 -30
18. Paderborn 19 28 4 7 17 31 55 -24

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