Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 18
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
As the Liga Profesional Clausura Group B heats up, Atlético Tucumán face a formidable challenge at Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro, where Rosario Central arrive in strong form. Both sides know the importance of every point at this stage, especially with contrasting trends shaping their campaigns so far.
When reviewing the recent history between these clubs, Rosario Central have held a clear upper hand. In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Tucumán have yet to record a victory, with the series split between five draws and five wins for Rosario Central. This persistent winless run for the hosts is a major psychological hurdle as they look to reverse the narrative.
Atlético Tucumán’s current campaign has been characterized by inconsistency. Over their last six matches in all competitions, they’ve managed just one win, drawing twice and losing three. Their attacking output stands at an average of 1.17 goals per game, with 1.5 conceded. The home form tells a similar story, with no wins in their last three at Estadio Monumental, one draw and two losses, and an average of just one goal scored per match.
Perhaps most telling, the club have been winless in 7 of their last 8 contests and have not claimed victory in 8 of their last 10 league matches. Despite this, there are occasional glimpses of resilience at home—clean sheets in 50% of their last 40 league appearances on familiar turf. However, struggles in ball possession, which averages below 40% in recent games, highlight ongoing midfield control issues.
Rosario Central, meanwhile, are trending in the opposite direction. The visitors boast an undefeated record in five straight matches in all competitions and have been unbeaten in 85% of their last 13 games. Consistency has put them in a strong position: they sit fourth in the standings, with eight wins, four draws, and only four losses. With a scoring rate of 1.67 goals per game over the last six fixtures, they appear to be peaking at a crucial moment.
A closer look at their away record reveals balance—three wins out of six and only one loss—but also a capacity to control games. Their average possession rate away from home exceeds 56%, significantly higher than their hosts, and supports a strategy of dictating play through midfield superiority. They’ve also managed three clean sheets in their last seven away matches, underlining defensive solidity.
Key contributions are coming from players such as Ángel Di María and Enzo Copetti, who were both influential in their most recent 5-0 triumph against Independiente Rivadavia. With 22 shots unleashed and a conversion rate to match, Rosario Central’s forward line looks particularly potent heading into this fixture.
For Atlético Tucumán, the challenge is compounded by notable absences. Defenders Gastón Suso and Kevin Ortiz remain sidelined, limiting Julio Falcioni’s options in an already stretched squad. In trying to maintain some defensive stability, the coach is likely to stick with the 4-1-4-1 formation commonly used in recent weeks.
Based on patterns in the last three matches and those unavailable, the probable starting eleven for Atlético Tucumán is:
Atlético Tucumán
Goalkeeper: Luis Ingolotti
Defenders: Gianluca Ferrari, Ignacio Galván, Leonel Di Plácido, Luciano Vallejo
Midfielders: Julián Fernández, Franco Nicola, Renzo Tesuri, Nicolás Laméndola, Lautaro Godoy
Attacker: Leandro Díaz
Rosario Central, largely injury-free and buoyed by continuity, are expected to line up as follows, favoring their typical 4-2-3-1 shape:
Rosario Central
Goalkeeper: Conan Ledesma
Defenders: Agustín Sández, Gastón Ávila, Emanuel Coronel, Ignacio Ovando
Midfielders: Franco Ibarra, Vicente Pizarro, Jáminton Campaz, Ángel Di María, Federico Navarro
Attacker: Enzo Copetti
The statistical indicators strongly favor Rosario Central. Their blend of midfield control, higher average shots per game, and more impressive defending all suggest an edge over Atlético Tucumán, who continue to search for a formula to halt their winless stretch.
Predictions also reflect these trends, with Rosario Central given a 48% probability to clinch the win, most likely by a 2-1 margin. The attacking profiles of both squads and recent defensive vulnerabilities point towards a match with over 2.5 goals.
Atlético Tucumán, under pressure to deliver, must battle history and current form. As for Rosario Central, the momentum and superior metrics render them favorites as this Clausura Group B encounter unfolds.

| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Instituto Córdoba | 26 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
2 |
Defensa y Justicia | 24 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
3 |
Boca Juniors | 21 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
4 |
Vélez Sársfield | 21 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
5 |
Lanús | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
6 |
Gimnasia Mendoza | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
7 |
Independiente | 18 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -1 |
8 |
Newell's Old Boys | 17 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
9 |
Estudiantes La Plata | 14 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
10 |
San Lorenzo | 14 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -6 |
11 |
Unión Santa Fe | 13 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -4 |
12 |
Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -3 |
13 |
CA Platense | 11 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -6 |
14 |
Central Córdoba SdE | 10 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -6 |
15 |
Talleres Córdoba | 9 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -7 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Rosario Central | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
2 |
Belgrano Córdoba | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
3 |
Argentinos Juniors | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
4 |
Sarmiento Junín | 19 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
5 |
CA Huracán | 19 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
6 |
Gimnasia La Plata | 19 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
7 |
Barracas Central | 18 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
8 |
Independiente Rivadavia | 18 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -4 |
9 |
River Plate | 16 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
10 |
Atlético Tucumán | 14 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
11 |
CA Banfield | 13 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 |
12 |
CA Tigre | 12 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -2 |
13 |
Racing Club | 11 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 |
14 |
CA Aldosivi | 8 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -7 |
15 |
Estudiantes Río Cuarto | 6 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -10 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Estudiantes La Plata | 31 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
2 |
Boca Juniors | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
3 |
Vélez Sársfield | 28 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
4 |
Talleres Córdoba | 26 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
5 |
Independiente | 24 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
6 |
Lanús | 24 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
7 |
San Lorenzo | 22 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
8 |
Unión Santa Fe | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
9 |
Instituto Córdoba | 21 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
10 |
Defensa y Justicia | 19 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 |
11 |
Gimnasia Mendoza | 19 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 |
12 |
CA Platense | 16 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 |
13 |
Central Córdoba SdE | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 |
14 |
Newell's Old Boys | 15 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 |
15 |
Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Independiente Rivadavia | 34 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 14 |
2 |
River Plate | 29 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
3 |
Argentinos Juniors | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
4 |
Rosario Central | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
5 |
Belgrano Córdoba | 26 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
6 |
Gimnasia La Plata | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
7 |
CA Huracán | 22 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
8 |
Racing Club | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
9 |
Barracas Central | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
10 |
CA Tigre | 20 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
11 |
Sarmiento Junín | 19 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -7 |
12 |
CA Banfield | 18 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -2 |
13 |
Atlético Tucumán | 14 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -5 |
14 |
CA Aldosivi | 8 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -13 |
15 |
Estudiantes Río Cuarto | 5 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 |
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