Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 18
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
As La Liga action resumes at the Estadio de la Cerámica on Saturday, Villarreal prepare for another regional meeting with Elche while juggling a demanding October that also includes Champions League assignments. Both sides need points to steady their early-season trajectory.
The last time Villarreal faced Elche at this ground, it was a closely fought battle with the hosts clinching a 2-1 win. Buchanan and Santi Mouriño struck before André Silva’s late reply made Villarreal sweat in the closing stages. Elche enjoyed long spells on the ball and pushed hard late, but Villarreal were more clinical with their best chances.
Villarreal’s form across their last six matches has been patchy, with two wins, one draw and three defeats. At home, they have found some rhythm, and their most dominant league performance came in a 3-1 home win over Levante, featuring relentless attacking numbers and greater control in the final third.
Elche, meanwhile, have struggled for consistency but arrive with signs of defensive improvement. A 3-1 victory away at Espanyol, achieved despite an early red card, showed their resilience, while the 0-0 draw with Celta added a first clean sheet after a difficult run. Their away record remains a concern, but Fer Niño has been their most reliable attacking reference early in the campaign.
After eight rounds, Villarreal occupy 11th place with two wins, two draws and four defeats, having scored and conceded 13 goals. The Yellow Submarine have produced an even goal difference, reflecting their hit-and-miss performances under Iñigo Pérez.
Elche sit 17th with one win, three draws and four defeats. Martín Anselmi’s side remain close to the relegation places, but their recent defensive adjustments, particularly the use of Morcillo at centre-back, have made them harder to break down.
Villarreal have suffered too many setbacks across all competitions, yet remain a formidable force at La Cerámica. They are unbeaten in a large share of recent La Liga home games and have generally had the better of this fixture, winning both league meetings with Elche last season.
Elche’s broader away trend is still fragile, although their win at Espanyol was a major boost. The visitors will likely need another disciplined low-risk display to limit a Villarreal side with several technical options between the lines.
Villarreal probable XI: Péter Gulácsi; Alex Freeman, Juan Foyth, Renato Veiga, Sergi Cardona; Pape Gueye, Nathan Saliba; Ilias Akhomach, Ayoze Pérez, Alberto Moleiro; Georges Mikautadze.
Tajon Buchanan is ruled out with a hamstring injury, while Nicolas Pépé is also unavailable after eye surgery. Foyth and Santi Comesaña have returned to contention, but Saliba’s energy and Mikautadze’s presence through the middle make them strong candidates in a 4-2-3-1. Moleiro and Gueye have been among Villarreal’s standout performers, and both should be central to the home side’s attacking plan.
Elche probable XI: Matías Dituro; Rubén Sánchez, Víctor Chust, Javier Morcillo, Roy Revivo; Marc Aguado, Gonzalo Villar, Thomas Lemar; Germán Valera, Fer Niño, Tete Morente.
Yago Santiago remains sidelined after knee surgery, while Federico Redondo has served his one-match ban and is available again. Even so, Morcillo’s recent displays in defence make him a strong option to continue alongside Chust. Buba Sangaré has been working back from a muscle issue, but Anselmi may again lean on the back four that kept Celta scoreless.
Taking into consideration Villarreal's record at home and Elche's ongoing struggles on their travels, the hosts come into this meeting with the upper hand. The algorithm expects over 2.5 goals, with Villarreal most likely claiming a 2-1 victory and a 42% probability of taking all three points.
Given the attacking output both sides have shown, especially with Villarreal’s ability to create chances at home and Elche’s improved but still vulnerable defensive profile, it should be a match with opportunities at either end. Villarreal’s edge at Estadio de la Cerámica could once again be the difference.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Barcelona | 24 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
2 |
Atlético Madrid | 19 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
3 |
Real Betis | 19 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
4 |
Real Madrid | 18 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 |
5 |
Sevilla | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
6 |
Real Sociedad | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 |
7 |
Deportivo Alavés | 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
8 |
Deportivo La Coruña | 10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
9 |
Villarreal | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
10 |
Osasuna | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 |
11 |
Getafe | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 |
12 |
Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
13 |
Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 |
14 |
Espanyol | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
15 |
Racing Santander | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 |
16 |
Celta Vigo | 8 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
17 |
Levante | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 |
18 |
Elche | 6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 |
19 |
Valencia | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 |
20 |
Málaga CF | 4 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 |
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