Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 18
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
As Royal Antwerp welcome Sporting Charleroi to the Bosuilstadion on October 24, 2026, both clubs arrive with statistics that couldn’t be more contrasting. The home side seeks salvation after a turbulent stretch, while Charleroi’s upward momentum positions them as heavy favorites.
Their last meeting on May 10, 2026, saw Charleroi snatch a 1-0 away victory at the Bosuilstadion. Yassine Titraoui’s goal shortly before halftime proved decisive.
The match showcased Antwerp's considerable effort: they registered 18 shots to Charleroi's 12, with a higher possession share at 55%. However, wasteful finishing haunted Antwerp, managing just one shot on goal despite their attacking forays. Charleroi, by contrast, converted two of their modest four shots on target into real danger, with ultimately one making the difference. Dangerous attack metrics were close (42 for Antwerp, 33 for Charleroi), but the visitors’ adaptability and efficiency stood out.
After eight rounds, Royal Antwerp sit 13th in the Jupiler Pro League, their campaign hampered by inconsistency. With only two wins and a staggering 20 goals conceded (an average of 2.5 per match), defensive frailty has seen them collect just seven points.
Sitting third in the standings, Charleroi have fashioned a compelling start with seven wins from eight outings. Their goal difference of +9 is underpinned by 16 scored (2 per game) and a league-best seven conceded (0.88 per match).
Antwerp’s form slump is alarming. They have failed to win in 100% of their last six matches and have lost five consecutive matches, conceding an average of over three goals per game during those fixtures.
Recent home league contests mirror those struggles with just one draw and two losses. From the attacking side, they average just 1.67 goals in those games—scoring usually isn’t problematic, but their defensive line is routinely exposed, evidenced by a massive 3.33 goals per game conceded in their last three home outings.
Charleroi have surged ahead, collecting wins in five of their last six fixtures. Their away resilience is striking, undefeated in 13 of their last 15 away encounters and with eight clean sheets in the previous 15 away trips. Their defense has grown increasingly robust, conceding only 0.33 goals per away game in the last three.
Antwerp’s winless in six of their last seven matches in all competitions and has lost by 2+ goals in 40% of their last 15 matches overall, as well as in 40% of the last 15 home encounters. Moreover, history points to trouble when hosting Charleroi—Antwerp have lost seven of their last 12 home meetings with them.
Charleroi bring consistent winning form: 12 victories in their last 20 all-competition games, and they are undefeated in 13 of their last 15. Notably, they've won by a margin of two or more in 40% of their last 10 matches, reflecting real attacking punch.
Both teams appear free from notable injury concerns, so regular starters are expected to feature.
Royal Antwerp
Goalkeeper: Taishi Brandon Nozawa
Defenders: Álvaro Cortés, Semm Renders, Maxime Busi, Rein Van Helden
Midfielders: Arthur Vermeeren, Xander Dierckx, Thibo Somers, Mauricio Benitez, Modibo Fofana
Attackers: Michael Frey
Sporting Charleroi
Goalkeeper: Mohamed Koné
Defenders: Kevin Van Den Kerkhof, Mardochée Nzita, Aiham Ousou, Check Keita
Midfielders: Amine Boukamir, Jakob Napoleon Romsaas, Patrick Pflücke, Freddy Mbemba, Yassine Khalifi
Attacker: Aurélien Scheidler
Statistics and underlying trends weigh heavily in Charleroi’s favor. Antwerp’s defense remains a major vulnerability while Charleroi’s structured approach, especially away from home, lends themselves to grinding out results like the previous encounter.
The model suggests a 63% probability for a Charleroi victory, most likely by a 1-0 margin with fewer than 2.5 total goals. Given Antwerp’s troubles shutting out opponents and Charleroi’s propensity for clean sheets and efficient finishing, a repeat of their last meeting’s result appears well within reach.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Gent | 22 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11 |
2 |
Club Brugge | 21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
3 |
Sporting Charleroi | 21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
4 |
Union Saint-Gilloise | 20 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 |
5 |
Anderlecht | 16 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
6 |
Westerlo | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
7 |
Racing Genk | 12 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
8 |
Zulte Waregem | 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
9 |
Standard Liège | 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
10 |
Lommel United | 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
11 |
Waasland Beveren | 9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -6 |
12 |
Sint-Truiden | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 |
13 |
Royal Antwerp | 7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 |
14 |
KV Mechelen | 6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -8 |
15 |
OH Leuven | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 |
16 |
RAAL La Louvière | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 |
17 |
Cercle Brugge | 3 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 |
18 |
KV Kortrijk | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -16 |
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