Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 18
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
The clash between RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro at Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid will shine a spotlight on two sides with differing fortunes in this year's Brasileiro Serie A. While Cruzeiro target consolidation in the top spots, Bragantino look to end a rough spell and rediscover early season momentum.
RB Bragantino have been struggling to build momentum over the past two months. The recent data tells a challenging tale: they've failed to win in 6 consecutive matches in all competitions, with 4 losses and just 2 draws in their last six outings. They've only scored once in these matches, while conceding on average 1.67 goals per game.
Looking at home performance, Bragantino have managed just 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last three appearances at Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid against Cruzeiro. That symmetry is echoed in their most recent three home league matches overall: one win, one draw, one loss, with identical goals scored and conceded per match at 1.33 each. Despite these results, Bragantino have created numerous chances, averaging 28 shots and 7.67 shots on goal per home game recently, alongside possession figures close to 59%.
The league table shows Bragantino sitting 11th after 29 games, accumulating 10 wins, 7 draws, and 12 defeats. Their goal difference is marginal at +1, underscoring their issue with fine margins. One concerning trend is their inability to close matches: they've been winless in 13 of their last 15 matches in all competitions, a figure that underlines recent struggles. In matches against Cruzeiro, they've been on the losing end in 3 of the last 5 encounters.
In contrast, Cruzeiro's campaign is characterized by far more consistency and higher peaks. Occupying 6th in the standings with 14 wins from 29 matches, they've scored 44 times at an average of over 1.5 goals per game. Their form in the last 6 fixtures is evenly split: 3 wins and 3 losses, with no draws.
Cruzeiro's away form does reveal vulnerabilities, as they've lost three of their last six away matches, but they've also demonstrated resilience by remaining undefeated in 24 of their last 30 games in all competitions. Impressively, they've won 13 matches by at least 2 goals in the league over the last 30 fixtures.
Looking at the recent head-to-head, Cruzeiro defeated Bragantino 2-1 back in April, showing their capacity to grind out tough results.
Bragantino's last league match, a 1-1 home draw against Mirassol SP, was full of attacking intent: 33 total shots with 9 on target and a staggering 71% possession. That offensive output wasn't mirrored on the scoreboard—a pattern that has hampered their progress, as seen by their meager goal returns despite significant shot volume.
Cruzeiro, meanwhile, arrive after dispatching São Paulo 2-0, showcasing their attacking depth with 22 total shots and 9 on target, as well as maintaining 54% of the ball. Across the last 6 matches, Cruzeiro have averaged 1.83 goals per outing while conceding 1.5, indicating both attacking threat and defensive openness.
In terms of absentees, Bragantino are without Fabrício (ankle injury), Davi Gomes (cruciate ligament), and Rodriguinho (knee). Cruzeiro miss Fabrizio Peralta, Gabriel Pec, Luis Sinisterra, Kaique Kenji, Néiser Villarreal, and Fabrício Bruno due to varying injuries.
Taking the most consistent lineups into account and ruling out those sidelined, here are the probable starting XIs:
RB Bragantino
Goalkeeper: Tiago Volpi
Defenders: Guzmán Rodríguez, Gustavo Marques, Agustín Sant'Anna, Juninho Capixaba
Midfielders: Fabinho, Eric Ramires, Fernando, Lucas Barbosa, Wallace Yan
Attackers: Isidro Pitta
Cruzeiro
Goalkeeper: Otávio Costa
Defenders: Fagner, Gabriel Rojas, Jonathan Jesus, João Marcelo
Midfielders: Gerson, Matheus Pereira, Lucas Romero, Matheus Henrique, Keny Arroyo
Attackers: Kaio Jorge
The prediction algorithms favor Cruzeiro to take all three points, estimating a 43% probability for an away win. Given recent form and overall league trends, Cruzeiro’s more clinical edge and consistent results provide them the upper hand.

| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Flamengo | 64 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 33 |
2 |
Palmeiras | 63 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 30 |
3 |
Atlético PR | 53 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 14 |
4 |
Fluminense | 51 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
5 |
Bahia | 49 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 8 |
6 |
Cruzeiro | 48 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 2 |
7 |
Atlético Mineiro | 47 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
8 |
Santos | 42 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 1 |
9 |
RB Bragantino | 40 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
10 |
São Paulo | 39 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
11 |
Coritiba | 39 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 |
12 |
Vitória | 36 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 |
13 |
Botafogo | 36 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 |
14 |
Vasco da Gama | 35 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 |
15 |
Mirassol SP | 33 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 |
16 |
Corinthians | 32 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 |
17 |
Internacional | 32 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 |
18 |
Grêmio | 31 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 |
19 |
Remo PA | 25 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 |
20 |
Chapecoense SC | 18 | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 |
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