Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 18
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
Degerfors IF face a formidable challenge when they host Hammarby IF at Stora Valla. With the home side looking to break a long-standing poor run against their visitors, all eyes will be on whether Degerfors can halt Hammarby’s momentum in the Allsvenskan.
Degerfors IF have shown mixed form in their last 6 league games, winning 3 and losing 3, with an average of 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. At home, they've fared slightly better, taking two wins from their last three matches, conceding just 0.33 goals on average per home affair. However, these brief flashes of positivity have not consistently translated into sustained upward momentum.
Hammarby IF, in contrast, have been in impressive form, picking up 4 wins and a draw from their last 6 league outings while scoring at a rate of 2.5 goals per game. Their last three matches away from home include a loss, a win, and a draw, but the underlying stats reflect dominance: an average of 22.5 shots per game and more than 64% possession during that span.
Head-to-head matchups have been heavily tilted in Hammarby’s favor. Degerfors haven't won in their last 4 home matches against Hammarby, drawing 2 and losing 2. Further, Degerfors have lost 7 of their last 9 meetings with Hammarby, with 56% of those defeats coming by a margin of 2 or more goals.
In their most recent contest, Hammarby ran out comprehensive 4-0 winners – a result that starkly underscores the current gulf between the two teams.
Sitting 14th in the standings, Degerfors IF have amassed just 19 goals from 21 league matches, conceding 33. Their win rate stands at less than 24%, with a worrying average of only 0.9 goals per game and a concerning -14 goal difference.
Hammarby IF enter this fixture 3rd in the league. Their numbers are fearsome: 48 goals scored (2.29 per game average), just 20 conceded, and a healthy +28 goal difference. Combining offensive potency with defensive solidity, Hammarby have failed to lose in 82% of their last 11 Allsvenskan fixtures.
Degerfors IF are winless in 80% of their last 20 home games across all competitions and have lost 5 of their last 10 home matches. Their difficulties against Hammarby are evident not just in results, but also in the margin of those losses.
Meanwhile, Hammarby have won 17 of their last 20 league home matches and have managed clean sheets in 55% of their last 40 home games. Away, their strong possession and attacking metrics continue to translate into results as they’ve been undefeated in 5 of their last 6 all-competition matches.
Degerfors IF
Goalkeeper: Matvei Igonen
Defenders: Ahmad Faqa, Nikolai Skuseth, Daniel Sundgren, Sebastian Ohlsson
Midfielders: Kazper Karlsson, Karim Boutera, Noel Milleskog, Robin Dzabic, Dijan Vukojevic
Attackers: Arman Taranis
Note: Bilal Hussein is out due to a fitness issue and will not feature.
Hammarby IF
Goalkeeper: Warner Hahn
Defenders: Hampus Skoglund, Frederik Winther, Victor Eriksson, Noah Persson
Midfielders: Markus Karlsson, Oscar Johansson Schellhas, Frank Junior Adjei
Attackers: Paulos Abraham, Victor Lind, Montader Madjed
Note: Amin Boudri is sidelined with a knee injury.
Given Degerfors IF's struggles to convert home advantage, especially against Hammarby, and considering their winless streaks in key stat groupings, it is difficult to look beyond an away victory here. Hammarby’s attacking threat, possession dominance, and recent run of strong results strongly indicate they are poised to claim all three points.
Prediction: Hammarby IF to win (probability: 60%)

| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Sirius IK | 54 | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 25 |
2 |
Djurgårdens | 44 | 23 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 27 |
3 |
Hammarby IF | 43 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 28 |
4 |
Elfsborg | 40 | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
5 |
Häcken | 39 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
6 |
Malmö | 36 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 5 |
7 |
Vasteras SK FK | 35 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | -2 |
8 |
IFK Göteborg | 35 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | -9 |
9 |
AIK Fotboll | 33 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | -4 |
10 |
GAIS | 30 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 7 |
11 |
Brommapojkarna | 30 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | -5 |
12 |
Mjällby AIF | 23 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -11 |
13 |
Degerfors IF | 20 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -15 |
14 |
Kalmar FF | 19 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -16 |
15 |
Örgryte IS | 15 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | -27 |
16 |
Halmstads BK | 14 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -28 |
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