Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 18
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
A key fixture awaits as Lanús prepare to host Estudiantes La Plata at the Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez. With Group A of the Clausura underway, both teams are keen to lay down an early marker in the race for the Liga Profesional's next phase.
Examining their encounters in Buenos Aires, Lanús have been difficult for Estudiantes La Plata to overcome. In their last 7 home meetings with Estudiantes, Lanús have lost only once, winning 2 and drawing a notable 4 times. The high share of draws – 57% across those matches – accentuates how closely fought these games can be in this venue.
Turning to recent form, Lanús are entering this match in buoyant mood. The Granate have collected 3 wins from their last 6 matches, drawing once and losing twice. They have averaged 1.5 goals scored and conceded just 0.83 per game during this stretch, aided by an average of nearly 16 total shots per match and solid defensive organization.
At home, results have been steady, with one win, a draw, and one defeat in their previous three, scoring one and conceding just over one per outing. Importantly, Lanús have kept clean sheets in 60% of their last 30 home matches in all competitions and are undefeated in 87% of those games – a mark of consistency at the Estadio Ciudad.
Estudiantes La Plata, meanwhile, approach this fixture as Group A's top side after the Apertura, underlining a stellar defensive record with just 7 conceded over 16 games (0.44 per match) and a +12 goal difference. Yet, they've taken just 2 wins in their last 6, alongside 2 draws and 2 losses — scoring and conceding at exactly one per outing. On the road, the picture is less comfortable: Estudiantes have not won in 86% of their last 7 away matches, a run that stretches back over two months.
The last direct encounter between these teams in March saw Lanús sneak a 1-0 away win, with Dylan Aquino netting the decisive goal. Estudiantes controlled possession and created almost three times as many dangerous attacks, but Lanús’ defense held firm — a scenario that could repeat itself, given current trends.
Lanús’ overall Apertura campaign finished with 6 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats. They notched 18 goals and allowed 15, showing a balanced profile. Estudiantes were more clinical: 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, plus 19 goals for and the fewest conceded in the group.
Midfield stability will be key for Lanús, even more so with Raúl Loaiza sidelined (long-term muscle injury). On the other side, Estudiantes will be without veteran forward Joaquín Correa, but with the squad depth they possess, particularly up front, the visitors should cope with his absence.
The expected formations for both sides will likely be 4-2-3-1, mirroring their recent approach. For Lanús, discipline at the back and pace on the counter could be crucial, while Estudiantes, who average over 58% possession and around 6 shots on target per match, will look to assert control and break down the home defense.
Probable Starting Lineups:
Lanús
Goalkeeper: Nahuel Losada
Defenders: Carlos Izquierdoz, José Canale, Sasha Marcich, Tomás Guidara
Midfielders: Felipe Peña Biafore, Agustín Cardozo, Franco Watson, Eduardo Salvio, Lucas Besozzi
Attackers: Allan Wlk
Estudiantes La Plata
Goalkeeper: Fernando Muslera
Defenders: Gastón Benedetti, Leandro González Pírez, Santiago Núñez, Eric Meza
Midfielders: Gabriel Neves, Alexis Castro, Baltasar Rodríguez, Edwuin Cetré, Brian Aguirre
Attackers: Adolfo Gaich
Looking at match probabilities, the data suggests a 34% chance of a Lanús win, with the most probable outcome a narrow 1-0 result. Estudiantes’ superior standing across the last campaign is somewhat mitigated by their away struggles and Lanús’ impressive home resilience, underlining the fine margins at play when these two meet in Lanús.
With the intricate balance of defensive solidity and the attacking promise shown by both squads, a tightly contested affair could unfold, especially if recent history is a guide. The tendency for draws and close matches in this fixture adds another layer of intrigue, with both sides surely eager to gain a crucial edge early in the Clausura campaign.

| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Instituto Córdoba | 26 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
2 |
Defensa y Justicia | 24 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
3 |
Boca Juniors | 21 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
4 |
Vélez Sársfield | 21 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
5 |
Lanús | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
6 |
Gimnasia Mendoza | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
7 |
Independiente | 18 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -1 |
8 |
Newell's Old Boys | 17 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
9 |
Estudiantes La Plata | 14 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
10 |
San Lorenzo | 14 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -6 |
11 |
Unión Santa Fe | 13 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -4 |
12 |
Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -3 |
13 |
CA Platense | 11 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -6 |
14 |
Central Córdoba SdE | 10 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -6 |
15 |
Talleres Córdoba | 9 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -7 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Rosario Central | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
2 |
Belgrano Córdoba | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
3 |
Argentinos Juniors | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
4 |
Sarmiento Junín | 19 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
5 |
CA Huracán | 19 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
6 |
Gimnasia La Plata | 19 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
7 |
Barracas Central | 18 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
8 |
Independiente Rivadavia | 18 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -4 |
9 |
River Plate | 16 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
10 |
Atlético Tucumán | 14 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
11 |
CA Banfield | 13 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 |
12 |
CA Tigre | 12 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -2 |
13 |
Racing Club | 11 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 |
14 |
CA Aldosivi | 8 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -7 |
15 |
Estudiantes Río Cuarto | 6 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -10 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Estudiantes La Plata | 31 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
2 |
Boca Juniors | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
3 |
Vélez Sársfield | 28 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
4 |
Talleres Córdoba | 26 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
5 |
Independiente | 24 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
6 |
Lanús | 24 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
7 |
San Lorenzo | 22 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
8 |
Unión Santa Fe | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
9 |
Instituto Córdoba | 21 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
10 |
Defensa y Justicia | 19 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 |
11 |
Gimnasia Mendoza | 19 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 |
12 |
CA Platense | 16 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 |
13 |
Central Córdoba SdE | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 |
14 |
Newell's Old Boys | 15 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 |
15 |
Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Independiente Rivadavia | 34 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 14 |
2 |
River Plate | 29 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
3 |
Argentinos Juniors | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
4 |
Rosario Central | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
5 |
Belgrano Córdoba | 26 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
6 |
Gimnasia La Plata | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
7 |
CA Huracán | 22 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
8 |
Racing Club | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
9 |
Barracas Central | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
10 |
CA Tigre | 20 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
11 |
Sarmiento Junín | 19 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -7 |
12 |
CA Banfield | 18 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -2 |
13 |
Atlético Tucumán | 14 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -5 |
14 |
CA Aldosivi | 8 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -13 |
15 |
Estudiantes Río Cuarto | 5 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 |
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