Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 18
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
The Eastern Conference clash at Audi Field puts an in-form Charlotte FC against a DC United side eager to steady their season after a rough spell. With both teams fighting for crucial points as the playoff race heats up, the stakes are high, and the stats underline two teams on divergent trajectories.
Just under a month ago, these two sides faced off with Charlotte FC hosting DC United. The match ended 3-1 for Charlotte, a result that showcased their clinical edge. Despite DC United registering more shots (17 to 11) and matching Charlotte for shots on target (both with 5), Charlotte dominated possession at 61% and were efficient in transition and creativity — goals from Munteanu, Schnegg, and Cleary outpaced a solitary strike from DC United's Biel. Notably, Charlotte conceded more corners but managed to control the phases that mattered, capitalizing with three goals in a 22-minute second-half spell that put the match out of reach.
The attacking intent was clear from DC United, but Charlotte's build-up and incisive finishing made the difference. With the prior encounter fresh in memory, both coaches will have taken plenty of tactical notes.
DC United remain 11th in the Eastern Conference after 24 games, posting 6 wins, 11 draws, and 7 defeats, with goal difference at -7 and an average of 1.25 goals scored per game. Defensive vulnerabilities are evident, with 1.54 goals conceded per outing. Charlotte FC, meanwhile, sit 4th in the standings, boasting 11 victories, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a positive goal difference of +9 and nearly 2 goals scored per match.
The overall figures underline Charlotte's greater balance and firepower across the campaign, compared to DC United’s struggles for consistency at both ends of the pitch.
Recent form reinforces this narrative. Charlotte FC haven't been defeated in 14 of their last 15 league matches and are unbeaten in 7 consecutive games, with a win rate of 60% across their previous 15 in all competitions. Additionally, they have won by two goals or more in 5 of their last 13 league fixtures, emphasizing their capacity to finish games strongly.
On the other hand, DC United’s home matches have been drawn 6 times in the last 12, and they have gone winless in 11 of their last 13 overall. The home side are currently undefeated in 3, but their overall record of 33 winless games in the last 40 at home tells the story of a side battling to truly capitalize at Audi Field.
Head-to-head, DC United have lost 60% of their last 10 meetings with Charlotte, and suffered two defeats by two or more goals in the last five matchups.
DC United’s last 6 fixtures show 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with just 0.67 goals scored per match. At home, draws have been frequent, though they have kept things tighter defensively, conceding just 0.33 goals per game over the last 3. Their most recent home event was a 0-0 draw with Atlanta United, where they managed only 4 shots and 30% possession, highlighting issues in creativity and ball retention.
Charlotte FC, conversely, have not lost any of their previous 6. The side managed 3 wins and 3 draws, and found the net at an impressive rate of 2.17 goals per match. Even when conceding possession, as against Montreal Impact and FC Cincinnati, their quick transitions and efficient shot conversion have stood out.
DC United
Goalkeeper: Sean Johnson
Defenders: Lucas Bartlett, Silvan Hefti, Keisuke Kurokawa, Kye Rowles
Midfielders: K. Nono, Andre Dozzell, Peglow, Brandon Servania
Attackers: Tai Baribo, Louis Munteanu
Charlotte FC
Goalkeeper: Kristijan Kahlina
Defenders: David Schnegg, Nathan Byrne, Henry Kessler, Will Cleary
Midfielders: Pep Biel, Luca de la Torre, Djibril Diani
Attackers: Liel Abada, Idan Toklomati, Allan Saint-Maximin
DC United will be missing Gabriel Segal, out with an ankle injury. Charlotte FC have a number of absentees: Nimfasha Berchimas (foot injury), Tim Ream (international duty), Aron John (shoulder), and Harry Toffolo (muscle injury). Ream’s absence will require adjustment at the back, but Charlotte's depth and recent rotations suggest they can cover effectively.
Based on the statistical edge, particularly Charlotte's recent form and head-to-head supremacy, the probability leans their way with a 48% chance of victory. DC United’s defensive improvements at home could keep things close, but Charlotte’s superior attack and tactical coherence make them favorites to secure another three points in the Eastern Conference pursuit.

| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps | 51 | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 31 |
2 |
Saint Louis City | 50 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 16 |
3 |
FC Dallas | 47 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
4 |
San Jose Earthquakes | 46 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
5 |
Houston Dynamo | 45 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
6 |
Los Angeles FC | 42 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
7 |
Seattle Sounders | 41 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
8 |
Colorado Rapids | 37 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
9 |
Los Angeles Galaxy | 36 | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -11 |
10 |
Portland Timbers | 33 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -3 |
11 |
San Diego | 32 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 |
12 |
Real Salt Lake | 32 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 |
13 |
Austin FC | 31 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -15 |
14 |
Minnesota United | 30 | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 |
15 |
Sporting Kansas City | 22 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -33 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Nashville SC | 63 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 37 |
2 |
Inter Miami CF | 49 | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
3 |
Chicago Fire | 48 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 11 |
4 |
Charlotte FC | 46 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
5 |
New England Revolution | 46 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
6 |
Philadelphia Union | 42 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 11 |
7 |
Orlando City SC | 37 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | -15 |
8 |
FC Cincinnati | 36 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -7 |
9 |
New York Red Bulls | 36 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -14 |
10 |
New York City FC | 33 | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
11 |
Toronto FC | 32 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 |
12 |
DC United | 30 | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -12 |
13 |
Columbus Crew | 29 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -5 |
14 |
Atlanta United | 27 | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -15 |
15 |
Montreal Impact | 24 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -21 |
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