Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 18
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
With both teams looking to shake off recent struggles, DC United host Columbus Crew at Audi Field in a contest that could have significant implications for their playoff hopes this Major League Soccer season.
DC United step into the fixture ranked 12th in the Eastern Conference, still working to find more consistency as the campaign enters its vital stages. The capitol club has managed just a single victory in its last six outings, drawing three and losing twice. Strikingly, they have not gained a win in each of their last five, underlining a patchwork run that threatens to stall momentum as the season's deadline draws nearer.
The home form for DC United has also been less than robust. Failing to win any of their past three fixtures at Audi Field, they have drawn two and lost one, finding the back of the net just twice in that period. Even with an average of over fifteen shots per home match, United managed to convert at a rate of only 0.67 goals per game in that spell, facing an equally testing 1.67 conceded per encounter.
The visitors Columbus Crew are in a similar rut when it comes to recent form. Occupying 13th in the table, the Crew have taken just one win in their last six league matches, suffering five defeats, and failing to keep a clean sheet in any of those games. Across their previous seven, they’ve been unable to muster a single victory in six, and they've shipped at least two goals in seven of their past fifteen on the road.
Recent away fixtures have proven particularly troublesome for Columbus, with three straight losses and an average of just one goal scored per game. Notably, the Crew have failed to find a win in 17 of their last 20 away matches in all competitions, highlighting the scale of their away-day difficulties this year.
Looking back at the head-to-head, DC United have found success elusive at home when facing the Crew. In their last three meetings at Audi Field, United have drawn once and been defeated twice by Columbus. In a broader slice of history, Columbus have recorded wins by two or more goals in eight of their last twenty encounters with DC United, a statistic that hints at an edge in this rivalry.
Analyzing match data from recent league games, DC United continue to post solid shot numbers but struggle with possession. In their scoreless draw with Los Angeles FC, they finished with only 39 percent possession but still managed to threaten with double-digit shot attempts. Their pattern this season has often been similar: plenty of industry, but a lack of clinical finishing up front and an inability to control the midfield.
Columbus Crew, meanwhile, put in an assured home performance in a 3-0 win over Colorado Rapids last time out, suggesting a potential turnaround. The Crew saw over 50 percent possession and created 44 dangerous attacks, but this kind of showing has repeatedly failed to translate when on the road, where defensive lapses and blunt attacking have held them back.
The trends paint a clear picture of two sides frustrated by missed opportunities. DC United have drawn seven of their last twelve in all competitions and are undefeated in 81% of their last sixteen, yet they remain winless in 24 of their last 30. Columbus Crew have lost half of their previous 22 matches, dropping 67% of their last 15 away games, suggesting vulnerabilities that DC United could look to exploit if they find rhythm.
In terms of personnel, DC United are missing Gabriel Segal (ankle) and Kye Rowles (hamstring), both of whom have missed multiple games. Columbus Crew are without Wessam Abou Ali due to a long-term cruciate ligament injury.
Taking into account recent lineups, form, and absentees, the probable starting elevens are shaping up as follows:
DC United
Goalkeeper: Sean Johnson
Defenders: Lucas Bartlett, Silvan Hefti, Keisuke Kurokawa, Sean Nealis
Midfielders: Matti Peltola, Andre Dozzell, Peglow, Jackson Hopkins
Attackers: Louis Munteanu, Tai Baribo
Columbus Crew
Goalkeeper: Patrick Schulte
Defenders: Cesar Ruvalcaba, Malte Amundsen, Sean Zawadzki, Steven Moreira
Midfielders: André Gomes, Mohamed Farsi, Tarun Karumanchi, Taha Habroune
Attackers: Brais Méndez, Josef Martínez
With DC United predicted by leading statistical models to edge the contest (41% win probability, 2-1 scoreline forecast), both teams will see this fixture as a critical opportunity to reclaim form and make a push up the conference standings. Each side has attacking threat, but the game could turn on which defense adapts more quickly to the pressure at Audi Field.

| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps | 51 | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 31 |
2 |
Saint Louis City | 50 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 16 |
3 |
FC Dallas | 47 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
4 |
San Jose Earthquakes | 46 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
5 |
Houston Dynamo | 45 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
6 |
Los Angeles FC | 42 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
7 |
Seattle Sounders | 41 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
8 |
Colorado Rapids | 37 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
9 |
Los Angeles Galaxy | 36 | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -11 |
10 |
Portland Timbers | 33 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -3 |
11 |
San Diego | 32 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 |
12 |
Real Salt Lake | 32 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 |
13 |
Austin FC | 31 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -15 |
14 |
Minnesota United | 30 | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 |
15 |
Sporting Kansas City | 22 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -33 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Nashville SC | 63 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 37 |
2 |
Inter Miami CF | 49 | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
3 |
Chicago Fire | 48 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 11 |
4 |
Charlotte FC | 46 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
5 |
New England Revolution | 46 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
6 |
Philadelphia Union | 42 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 11 |
7 |
Orlando City SC | 37 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | -15 |
8 |
FC Cincinnati | 36 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -7 |
9 |
New York Red Bulls | 36 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -14 |
10 |
New York City FC | 33 | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
11 |
Toronto FC | 32 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 |
12 |
DC United | 30 | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -12 |
13 |
Columbus Crew | 29 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -5 |
14 |
Atlanta United | 27 | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -15 |
15 |
Montreal Impact | 24 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -21 |
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