Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 18
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
Bahia and Internacional meet at Arena Fonte Nova as both sides look to strengthen their campaigns in the Brasileiro Serie A. With Bahia on an eight-match unbeaten streak at home and Internacional struggling to find wins on the road, statistical trends suggest a closely fought contest in Salvador.
The last time these two teams faced off, Bahia traveled to Porto Alegre and secured a narrow 1-0 win over Internacional on March 15, 2026. Willian José made the difference in the 23rd minute. Internacional registered 14 shots, two of which were on target, and controlled 53% of the ball, but struggled to break down Bahia’s disciplined defensive structure. Bahia managed just one shot on target from seven attempts and had less possession with 47%, yet they came away with the win, displaying resilience and efficiency at key moments. Dangerous attacks were heavily favoring Internacional with 66 against Bahia’s 18, highlighting the visitors' effective containment strategy and clinical counterattack.
Bahia have enjoyed a run of consistency, remaining unbeaten in their last six league matches, including one win and five draws. Over these games, they averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. At home, they have not tasted defeat in their previous three, again mixing one win with two draws. Impressively, they concede just 0.33 goals per match on home soil, boasting an average of 58.67% possession, indicative of control and compactness.
Internacional’s form has been more inconsistent, with only one win in their last six. They have collected four draws and one defeat, scoring an average of 0.83 goals while conceding just 0.67. Away from Porto Alegre, Internacional are winless in seven of their last eight, highlighting travel difficulties and a lack of offensive thrust. Their average away possession stands at 35.83%, suggesting Bahia may be on the front foot for extended periods.
In the current standings, Bahia occupy 6th position with nine wins, ten draws, and five losses from 24 matches. They have scored 34 and conceded 28. Internacional, meanwhile, sit in 16th with five victories, ten draws, and nine defeats, finding the net 24 times while also conceding 28. Bahia’s positive goal difference of +6 contrasts with Internacional’s -4, further signaling the home side’s steadier form this campaign.
Bahia’s recent run has seen a tendency toward draws, ending level in 53% of their last 15 matches. More impressively, they have not been defeated in nine of their last eleven outings. At Arena Fonte Nova, they have amassed 17 clean sheets across 40 matches and lost just five in that run. Their unbeaten record over the last eight matches (100%) is a standout statistic.
Internacional’s key trends include drawing 50% of their last eight fixtures and remaining undefeated in 83% of the last six. However, they have failed to win in nine of their last eleven matches and, starkly, have gone winless in seven of their most recent eight away league games. Defensive issues endure, having lost by two or more goals in 43% of their past seven away matches.
Bahia will have to contend with key absences due to injuries and suspension: Ademir, Léo Vieira, Luciano Juba, Everton Ribeiro, and Kanu are all unavailable. Based on recent starting selections and availability, a 4-3-3 is anticipated.
BahiaInternacional are similarly affected by suspensions and injuries to Victor Gabriel, Paulinho Paula, Sergio Rochet, Kayky, Richard, Bruno Gomes, Gabriel Mercado, and Benjamin, making selection challenging. A shape akin to their recent 3-4-2-1 lineups is likely.
InternacionalThe advanced prediction algorithm points to a tightly contested affair, projecting a 1-1 draw with a 46% likelihood. Bahia’s unbeaten home stretch and Internacional’s propensity for stalemates further bolster this forecast. Bahia’s compactness and control may keep Internacional at bay, but with both attacks missing key personnel, a share of the spoils seems the likeliest outcome.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Flamengo | 64 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 33 |
2 |
Palmeiras | 63 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 30 |
3 |
Atlético PR | 53 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 14 |
4 |
Fluminense | 51 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
5 |
Bahia | 49 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 8 |
6 |
Cruzeiro | 48 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 2 |
7 |
Atlético Mineiro | 47 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
8 |
Santos | 42 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 1 |
9 |
RB Bragantino | 40 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
10 |
São Paulo | 39 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
11 |
Coritiba | 39 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 |
12 |
Vitória | 36 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 |
13 |
Botafogo | 36 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 |
14 |
Vasco da Gama | 35 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 |
15 |
Mirassol SP | 33 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 |
16 |
Corinthians | 32 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 |
17 |
Internacional | 32 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 |
18 |
Grêmio | 31 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 |
19 |
Remo PA | 25 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 |
20 |
Chapecoense SC | 18 | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 |
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