Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 18
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
An uptick in form, recent shared spoils, and a compelling Western Conference matchup will see Saint Louis City welcome FC Dallas to Energizer Park. With both clubs clustered together in the standings and only goal difference separating the sides, points here could be pivotal.
Heading into this clash, neither club has managed to consistently best the other in their brief head-to-head history. Over the last five meetings, Saint Louis City have yet to register a victory, coming away with three draws and two defeats against FC Dallas. More telling, Saint Louis have been beaten in two of the last four, and have lost by two or more goals on three occasions in the past seven matchups between the two sides.
Despite that recent record, Saint Louis City enter this match in impressive shape. They have not suffered defeat in any of their last 12 matches in all competitions. Their home form has been equally strong, remaining unbeaten in 9 of the last 11 league fixtures at Energizer Park and winning half of their last 12 at home in Major League Soccer. In all competitions, they haven't been defeated in 17 of their last 21 outings.
Saint Louis City’s performances have been built on control and consistency, managing an average possession of 55.5% across their last six matches and registering an average of 14.17 shots per game. Their defensive setup appears solid, conceding just 0.83 goals per game in that stretch. In their last three home matches, they have further tightened up, allowing only 0.67 goals on average.
FC Dallas, meanwhile, have shown both attacking flair and vulnerabilities. Their recent form is marked by four wins in the last six but also includes two losses, underscoring a measure of unpredictability. Offensively, Dallas have found the net at a clip of 1.67 goals per match over their last six, yet have conceded 2 per game in that same span—highlighted by a difficult 5-0 loss away to Vancouver Whitecaps on their last road trip.
Dallas’ away record is somewhat less imposing, with seven wins from their last 14 away in all competitions. They have claimed six victories in their most recent 12 MLS outings, dovetailing with a higher average of goals for (1.81 per match this season) than Saint Louis City. However, with an average possession of just 36.83%, they are not a side likely to control the game for prolonged periods.
The most recent league meeting showcased just how tightly matched these teams have been, with a 1-1 finish. In that encounter, both teams managed double-digit shot totals, and Saint Louis enjoyed a significant edge in possession at 59%, illustrating their intent to dictate play. Dallas’ tactical focus on direct counter-attacks could again test Saint Louis’ structure.
Key personnel absences need to be considered. Saint Louis City will be without Sang-bin Jeong (special leave) and the long-term sidelined Célio Pompeu (cruciate ligament). Dallas are missing Daniel (hamstring) and the long-term out Santiago Moreno (ankle injury), which opens up opportunities for others but trims both managers’ attacking rotations.
Probable Lineups
Saint Louis City
Goalkeeper: Roman Bürki
Defenders: Lukas MacNaughton, Dante Polvara, Timo Baumgartl
Midfielders: Conrad Wallem, Chris Durkin, Tomas Totland, Daniel Ethan Edelman
Attackers: Eduard Löwen, Simon Becher, Tomas Ostrák
FC Dallas
Goalkeeper: Jonathan Sirois
Defenders: Osaze Urhoghide, Lalas Abubakar, Sebastien Ibeagha
Midfielders: Herman Johansson, Ramiro, Shaq Moore, Kaick, Bernard Kamungo
Attackers: Petar Musa, Joaquín Valiente
The most likely formations should be 3-4-1-2 for Saint Louis City and 3-4-2-1 for FC Dallas. Both managers have favored these respective system profiles over recent fixtures.
Predictions edge marginally toward FC Dallas, with a probability of 37% for an away win. That confidence is built on their better overall attacking return and somewhat more volatile but effective recent streak. Still, Saint Louis City’s lengthy home and overall unbeaten runs cannot be underestimated—especially given their defensive reliability at Energizer Park.
Both teams seem primed to play on the front foot and will look to exploit each other's weaknesses. Given the underlying stats, this fixture promises a closely fought battle, and a single mistake or moment of brilliance may settle the encounter.

| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps | 51 | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 31 |
2 |
Saint Louis City | 50 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 16 |
3 |
FC Dallas | 47 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
4 |
San Jose Earthquakes | 46 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
5 |
Houston Dynamo | 45 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
6 |
Los Angeles FC | 42 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
7 |
Seattle Sounders | 41 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
8 |
Colorado Rapids | 37 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
9 |
Los Angeles Galaxy | 36 | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -11 |
10 |
Portland Timbers | 33 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -3 |
11 |
San Diego | 32 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 |
12 |
Real Salt Lake | 32 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 |
13 |
Austin FC | 31 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -15 |
14 |
Minnesota United | 30 | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 |
15 |
Sporting Kansas City | 22 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -33 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Nashville SC | 63 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 37 |
2 |
Inter Miami CF | 49 | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
3 |
Chicago Fire | 48 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 11 |
4 |
Charlotte FC | 46 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
5 |
New England Revolution | 46 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
6 |
Philadelphia Union | 42 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 11 |
7 |
Orlando City SC | 37 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | -15 |
8 |
FC Cincinnati | 36 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -7 |
9 |
New York Red Bulls | 36 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -14 |
10 |
New York City FC | 33 | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
11 |
Toronto FC | 32 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 |
12 |
DC United | 30 | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -12 |
13 |
Columbus Crew | 29 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -5 |
14 |
Atlanta United | 27 | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -15 |
15 |
Montreal Impact | 24 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -21 |
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