Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 18
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
The Major League Soccer Eastern Conference clash between Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati is set to light up GEODIS Park on August 30, 2026. With both teams eyeing vital points for different aims in the standings, this contest brings together contrasting strengths and recent narratives.
When these teams last met, FC Cincinnati edged Nashville SC 2-1 on September 14, 2025. The contest was closely fought. Cincinnati finished with 17 total shots to Nashville's 10 and registered six shots on target, two more than their visitors. Despite Nashville SC owning slightly more possession at 51% and more total passes, Cincinnati's effective play materialized late. Evander scored for the hosts in the 98th minute. Brenner netted in the 73rd, and Sam Surridge responded for Nashville in the 84th. Key differences arose in dangerous attacks, where Cincinnati had the advantage at 48 to Nashville's 33. The result exemplified Cincinnati’s ability to produce clutch moments in tight, open matches, even when the possession stats were nearly balanced.
Nashville SC has enjoyed a robust campaign, sitting atop the Eastern Conference with 15 wins, 4 draws, and just 2 losses in 21 matches. They have posted a +26 goal difference, scoring 43 while conceding only 17, for an average of 2.05 goals per game and a mere 0.81 allowed.
FC Cincinnati, meanwhile, lie sixth after 21 games. Their record shows 8 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal difference of just +2. They have scored 49 and allowed 47 (2.33 scored, 2.24 conceded per match). This more volatile defensive record is noteworthy, contrasting Nashville’s more controlled approach.
Nashville SC has claimed four wins and two losses in their last six matches, averaging 2.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Their three most recent outings at GEODIS Park all resulted in victories, boasting an impressive 3.67 goals scored per match. They’ve also kept their home sheet positive, with 85% of their last 20 home matches in all competitions yielding an undefeated result.
Cincinnati has three wins, two draws, and just one defeat across their last six matches, scoring 1.67 per match and conceding just 1. On the road, however, their recent form tells a different story: winless in 11 of their last 13 away games in all competitions, and drawing five of the last 10. They’ve nonetheless been tough to beat, undefeated in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Nashville SC boasts 26 undefeated games in their last 32, reflecting consistency. At home, they’ve recorded 12 wins from their past 15 league games, averaging nearly six shots on target and 55% possession.
FC Cincinnati’s trends illustrate their attacking intent, winning 40% of their last 10 matches by at least two goals. However, defensive lapses have kept them from converting more draws into wins, especially away from home, where 11 of their last 13 ended winless.
Nashville SC
Goalkeeper: Brian Schwake
Defenders: Reed Baker-Whiting, Maxwell Woledzi, Jeison Palacios, Andy Nájar
Midfielders: Elias Saad, Matthew Corcoran, Edvard Tagseth
Attackers: Hany Mukhtar, Sam Surridge, Cristian Espinoza
FC Cincinnati
Goalkeeper: Roman Celentano
Defenders: Samuel Gidi, Matt Miazga, Kyle Smith
Midfielders: Bryan Ramírez, Obinna Nwobodo, Ender Echenique, Pavel Bucha
Attackers: Kévin Denkey, Evander, Tom Barlow
Nashville SC: Xavier Valdez (national team duty, unavailable)
FC Cincinnati: Teenage Hadebe, Miles Robinson (both national team duty, unavailable)
Algorithmic analysis points to Nashville SC as favorites, projected with a 41% probability for a home win. Over 2.5 goals is also a likely scenario, echoing attacking trends on both sides. The most probable scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Nashville. Cincinnati’s ability to turn games into open affairs may keep the match close, but Nashville’s home run and defensive solidity should provide an edge.
Overall, Nashville’s form at GEODIS Park and Cincinnati’s away struggles suggest the hosts to take all three points, though the game is poised to provide multiple goals if both attacks fire as their stats predict.

| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps | 51 | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 31 |
2 |
Saint Louis City | 50 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 16 |
3 |
FC Dallas | 47 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
4 |
San Jose Earthquakes | 46 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
5 |
Houston Dynamo | 45 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
6 |
Los Angeles FC | 42 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
7 |
Seattle Sounders | 41 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
8 |
Colorado Rapids | 37 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
9 |
Los Angeles Galaxy | 36 | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -11 |
10 |
Portland Timbers | 33 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -3 |
11 |
San Diego | 32 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 |
12 |
Real Salt Lake | 32 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 |
13 |
Austin FC | 31 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -15 |
14 |
Minnesota United | 30 | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 |
15 |
Sporting Kansas City | 22 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -33 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Nashville SC | 63 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 37 |
2 |
Inter Miami CF | 49 | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
3 |
Chicago Fire | 48 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 11 |
4 |
Charlotte FC | 46 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
5 |
New England Revolution | 46 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
6 |
Philadelphia Union | 42 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 11 |
7 |
Orlando City SC | 37 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | -15 |
8 |
FC Cincinnati | 36 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -7 |
9 |
New York Red Bulls | 36 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -14 |
10 |
New York City FC | 33 | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
11 |
Toronto FC | 32 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 |
12 |
DC United | 30 | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -12 |
13 |
Columbus Crew | 29 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -5 |
14 |
Atlanta United | 27 | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -15 |
15 |
Montreal Impact | 24 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -21 |
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