Slovan Bratislava Seek Control Against Mjällby in Third Qualifying Round Second Leg

Slovan Bratislava vs Mjällby AIF - 08/11/2026

08/10/2026 1427

A late swing in Sweden has tilted the balance toward Slovan Bratislava, but the margins remain tight. With a one goal cushion and strong underlying numbers, Yaya Touré’s group now faces a disciplined Mjällby side that rarely goes away quietly.

Previous encounter

The first meeting finished Mjällby AIF 1-2 Slovan Bratislava, a match defined by small details and a late twist. Elliot Stroud’s 61st minute penalty put the hosts in front before Suleiman Camara levelled on 78 minutes, and Manasse Kianga struck in stoppage time to complete the turnaround.

Beyond the score, Slovan edged the metrics: 8 total shots to 6, 3 on target to 2, 54% possession to 46%, and 67 dangerous attacks to 53. Corners were level at 3-3, underlining how slender the gap was. Slovan’s 117 overall attacks to Mjällby’s 77 hinted at a sustained territorial push that eventually told.

Recent Form

Slovan’s last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one loss, averaging 2 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, with 11.83 shots and 4.17 on target per match. At home across their last three, they have one win, one draw and one loss, with 60% average possession and 14.33 shots per game.

Mjällby’s last six show one win, two draws and three losses, but they have conceded only 0.83 per match while attempting 11.5 shots and 4.5 on target on average. Their Champions League path featured a 3-0 home win over Lincoln Red Imps and a 0-0 away draw, where they posted 15 shots and 9 on target in Gibraltar.

Overall Performance

Across all competitions, Slovan have been strong: 65% wins over their last 20 and undefeated in 17 of those 20. They average 3.9 shots on target, 53.05% possession and 42.9 dangerous attacks. At home across the last 40 in all competitions, they have 60% wins, scoring 1.95 and conceding 1.25 on average.

Champions League specific numbers are more mixed. Slovan have won 50% of their last eight in the competition and are undefeated in 6 of their last 7. Yet across their last 18 in this tournament, they have lost 9 and have been beaten by 2 or more goals in 39%, a reminder that game states can swing quickly at this level. Even so, their last 10 home Champions League matches include 40% clean sheets and 50% wins across the last 12 at home.

Mjällby’s broader curve is unusual but informative: undefeated in 83% of their last 40 in all competitions, which is 33 of 40, yet winless in 83% of their last 12, which is 10 of 12. Away from home they are undefeated in 30 of their last 35, have 11 wins in their last 20 away, and have kept clean sheets in 41% of their last 32 away. However, they are winless in 5 of their last 6 away.

Main Trends

Slovan enter on a five match undefeated streak in all competitions and have won by 2 or more in 43% of their last seven. In the Champions League at home, 40% of their last 10 have been clean sheets. Mjällby’s away portfolio shows resilience, with 35% of their last 34 away wins coming by 2 or more and a consistent shots on target profile around 5.8 on their travels.

Tactical Outlook

Expect Slovan to lean on controlled possession and volume. Their six match averages of 56.67% possession and 11.83 shots, plus the first leg territorial edge, point to steady pressure. Mjällby’s 54.17% possession across six matches and 4.5 shots on target per game suggest they can manage the ball and strike from structured phases, including set plays, where the first leg was evenly split on corners.

Key Players

With Andraz Sporar unavailable, Slovan’s thrust may again come from wide and transitional threats: Suleiman Camara and Manasse Kianga were decisive late in Sweden. For Mjällby, Áki Samuelsen and Jacob Bergström influenced the Lincoln Red Imps tie, while Elliot Stroud’s composure from penalties is a clear factor.

Sidelined

Slovan list Nino Marcelli, Andraz Sporar and Tigran Barseghyan as out, trimming options in advanced areas. Mjällby have no absences noted here, preserving stability for selection and in game adjustments.

Prediction

The numbers tilt narrowly toward Slovan: stronger all competition form, a recent undefeated surge in the Champions League, and a one goal edge reinforced by better chance creation in the first leg. Mjällby travel well over the long run but have been winless in 5 of their last 6 away. Prediction: Slovan Bratislava to win 1-0, with a 51% likelihood of a home victory.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

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coef.

UCL

Slovan Bratislava Mjällby AIF 11/08/2026 20:15

513019

11-0

1 - 0

2.21

88°F

-118

-118 +275 +270 no no no

FT

2 - 0(0 - 0)

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