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Manchester Derby Takes Centre Stage: What Does Forebet’s Algorithm Predict?

Manchester City vs Manchester United - 03/03/2024

Manchester Derby Takes Centre Stage: What Does Forebet’s Algorithm Predict?
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The Manchester bragging rights are up for grabs in the Premier League this weekend, with the champions hosting the fallen giants at the Etihad.

As we head into Matchday 27, second-placed Manchester City lead sixth-placed Manchester United by 15 points, with Liverpool one point clear at the top.

Sunday’s showdown is destined to be a thrilling battle, so keep reading this preview to digest all the key stats, trends and predictions.

Man City head into Matchday 27 on the back of a 6-2 thrashing of Luton Town in the FA Cup, with Erling Haaland scoring five goals at Kenilworth Road on Tuesday.

That victory extended City’s unbeaten streak across all competitions to 18 matches, with 14 wins coming in their previous 15 encounters.

Since losing to Aston Villa in December, Pep Guardiola’s men have taken 29 points from a possible 33 in the Premier League, with three clean sheets coming in their last four games.

Having avoided defeat in each of their previous 40 home games across all competitions, Man City will be confident of dispatching their arch-rivals on Sunday.

Erik ten Hag’s side joined Man City in the FA Cup quarter-finals in midweek, claiming a 1-0 victory over Nottingham Forest thanks to Casemiro’s 89th-minute winner.

The Red Devils have now won six of their last seven matches across all competitions, with a solitary defeat coming in their previous nine.

That said, United suffered a disappointing 2-1 defeat to Fulham at Old Trafford last weekend, conceding in the 97th minute to throw away a point.

It is worth remembering, however, that Man Utd have won each of their previous six away matches across all competitions, including three Premier League outings.

Head-to-head: Manchester City secured an easy 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture back in October, with Haaland bagging a brace at Old Trafford.

Guardiola’s men have won four of their last five Premier League meetings with the Red Devils, scoring 16 goals (3.2 goals per game) for good measure.

Team news: Manchester City look set to be without the injured duo of Jack Grealish and Josko Gvardiol for the foreseeable future.

On the other hand, United’s injury list contains Rasmus Hojlund, Mason Mount, Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Tyrell Malacia, Anthony Martial, Luke Shaw and Lisandro Martinez.

If recent meetings between these two sides are anything to go by, Guardiola’s side should claim the Manchester bragging rights once again.

Explore the Biggest Manchester Derby Wins here

Forebet’s AI algorithm predicts that Manchester City will score over 1.5 goals on their way to defeating Manchester United.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
EPL
392536
1
2 - 1
2.52
1.33
1.33 5.25 9.00 no no no
FT
3 - 1(0 - 1)
-
- - -
Premier League
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Manchester City 88 37 27 7 3 60
2
Arsenal 86 37 27 5 5 61
3
Liverpool 79 37 23 10 4 43
4
Aston Villa 68 37 20 8 9 20
5
Tottenham 63 37 19 6 12 10
6
Chelsea 60 37 17 9 11 13
7
Newcastle United 57 37 17 6 14 21
8
Manchester United 57 37 17 6 14 -3
9
West Ham 52 37 14 10 13 -12
10
Brighton 48 37 12 12 13 -5
11
Bournemouth 48 37 13 9 15 -12
12
Crystal Palace 46 37 12 10 15 -6
13
Wolverhampton 46 37 13 7 17 -13
14
Fulham 44 37 12 8 17 -8
15
Everton 40 37 13 9 15 -10
16
Brentford 39 37 10 9 18 -7
17
Nottingham Forest 29 37 8 9 20 -19
18
Luton Town 26 37 6 8 23 -31
19
Burnley 24 37 5 9 23 -36
20
Sheffield United 16 37 3 7 27 -66

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