Football is Mathematics
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On Monday evening, Napoli and Inter Milan will battle it out for the Supercoppa Italiana silverware at Al-Awwal Park in the Saudi Arabian capital of Riyadh.
The Neapolitans claimed a 3-0 victory over Fiorentina in the semi-finals before the Nerazzurri defeated Lazio by the same scoreline to book their place in the final.
In this preview, our analysis dives into the stats and trends. Keep reading to discover what Forebet’s predictive analytics algorithm makes of Monday’s showdown.
Napoli are competing in the Supercoppa Italiana thanks to their Serie A triumph last season, although their title defence is not going to plan so far.
The reigning champions have lost seven of their 20 Serie A matches this term, meaning they find themselves a whopping 20 points behind leaders Inter Milan.
That said, Napoli head into the Supercoppa Italiana final on a two-game winning streak, with a 2-1 league victory against Salernitana preceding Thursday’s triumph over Fiorentina.
After failing to score a single goal in four games between December 19 and January 7, the Neapolitans have netted five in two to reignite their campaign.
As for Inter, they have won four of their previous five matches thanks to Friday’s victory over Lazio, with their last defeat coming on December 20.
It is also worth noting that Simone Inzaghi’s men have lost just one of their last 21 matches across all competitions, punching their ticket to the Champions League knockouts in the process.
Inter have also suffered a solitary defeat in 20 Serie A games this season, notching the best offensive record and the best defensive record in Italy’s top flight.
Consequently, the Nerazzurri are in a strong position to win their first Serie A title since 2020-21, having finished second in 2021-22 and third last year.
Head-to-head: When these two sides met in Serie A back in early December, Inter Milan claimed a comfortable 3-0 victory over Napoli in Naples.
When you look at the bigger picture, Napoli have only managed to win one of their previous nine meetings with the Nerazzurri across all competitions.
Team news: Napoli’s star striker, Victor Osimhen, is at the Africa Cup of Nations with Nigeria, while Hamed Junior Traore and Natan are sidelined through injury.
On the flip side, Inter Milan are currently with Colombian winger Juan Cuadrado, who has missed the past seven games due to an Achilles injury.

Although Napoli clinched the Serie A title last year, Inter have been operating at a much higher level than the reigning champions this season.
With that in mind, Forebet predicts that Inter Milan will secure the Supercoppa Italiana silverware thanks to a clean-sheet victory over Napoli.
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BATE Borisov are on a poor run of just 3 wins in 20 matches (Vysshaya Liga)
Saint Louis City are on an unbeaten run of 18 games in their Major League Soccer participation
In 13 of their most recent matches in Champions League, Bodo/Glimt have seen over 2.5 goals scored
Al Shamiya have been defeated in their last 8 matches in 1st Division
Philadelphia Union have won 7 consecutive games in Major League Soccer
Zenit have succeeded in keeping a clean sheet in their most recent 7 Kubok games
Kasetsart FC haven't scored a goal in all of their last 5 league matches
A margin of 2+ goals was achieved by Markhiya SC in their last 4 Q League games
Nomme Kalju II have been defeated at HT/FT in their last 4 Esiliiga matches
Vélez Sársfield Res. haven't lost in 30 of their last 36 home matches in Reserve League
Saint Louis City are on an unbeaten run of 18 games in their Major League Soccer participation
Montreal Impact are in an unfortunate period, having won just 2 of their last 17 matches in Major League Soccer
There have been over 2.5 goals in Minnesota United's last 9 Major League Soccer games
Philadelphia Union have won 7 consecutive games in Major League Soccer
Sporting Braga have kept a clean sheet in their last 6 matches in UEFA Europa Conference League
SV Notch have been defeated in their last 5 matches in Hoofdklasse
Levski Sofia have failed to score in their last 5 matches in Europa League
In a series of 4 I Liqa games, Shahdagh Qusar have succeeded in winning at HT/FT
Dinamo Puerto have lost by 2+ goals all of their last 3 Copa Venezuela games
Chengdu Qianbao are unbeaten in 47 of their 55 most recent matches (Super League)
Chernomorets Balchik are on a run of 31 consecutive undefeated matches in their domestic league
FK Dorostol are in an unfortunate period, having won just 1 of their last 20 matches in Third League - North-East
Dunfermline's most recent games have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals in their last 11 matches in Championship
Juventus Malchika have a poor record of 11 consecutive defeats in HT/FT in Third League - North-West
Qingdao Jonoon's latest record consists of 10 straight losses in Super League
Stockholm Internazionale have won their last 10 Div 1 Norra games in a row
Tristán Suárez are on a successful run of 7 games in Nacional B where they have kept a clean sheet
Levadiakos have not been able to score a goal in their 7 most recent matches in Super League
FC Differdange 03 have won at half time/full time all of their last 6 league matches
Chengdu Qianbao are unbeaten in 47 of their 55 most recent matches (Super League)
Chernomorets Balchik are on a run of 31 consecutive undefeated matches in their domestic league
In their last 20 games in Eerste Divisie, Helmond Sport have a poor record of just 3 wins
In 13 of their most recent matches in Champions League, Bodo/Glimt have seen over 2.5 goals scored
Juventus Malchika have a poor record of 11 consecutive defeats in HT/FT in Third League - North-West
Qingdao Jonoon's latest record consists of 10 straight losses in Super League
Stockholm Internazionale have won their last 10 Div 1 Norra games in a row
At least 2 goals have separated Barcelona and their oponents in their last 10 wins in all competitions
Zenit have succeeded in keeping a clean sheet in their most recent 7 Kubok games
Kalmar FF have failed to score a goal in each of their last 7 Allsvenskan games











