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COEF

    Ernesta Kareckaite vs Sofia Montenegro

    28/02/2026 23:30
    WL
    6-2-1
    2 KO
    2 Montenegro KO
    UFC
    6-2-0
    3 KO, 1 SUB
    Fighter 1
    Fighter 2
    Prob. %
    12
    Pred
    Pred. outcome
    Coef.
    Outcome
    Women's Flyweight
    UFC
    3565
    2Montenegro
    KO
    -
    Cancl.
    Fighters info
    Ernesta Kareckaite
    "Heavy-Handed"
    Sofia Montenegro
    "La Bruja"
    Fighters Land MMA
    Team
    Alfa
    5' 9'
    Height
    5' 6'
    129 lbs
    Weight
    125 lbs
    71'
    Reach
    67.5'
    Orthodox
    Stance
    Orthodox
    INTRO

    In a Women's Flyweight division matchup set for UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Almabayev, Ernesta Kareckaite will go head-to-head against Sofia Montenegro.

    Kareckaite, with a record of 6-1-1, is known for her heavy-handed striking style and stands at 5' 9" with a reach of 71 inches.

    Her opponent, Montenegro, carries a record of 6-2-0, earning the moniker La Bruja, displaying a well-rounded skillset with 3 KO wins and 1 submission victory.

    Montenegro, standing at 5' 6" with a reach of 67.5 inches, poses a formidable challenge for Kareckaite.

    With the prediction favoring Montenegro to win with a 65% probability, both fighters are expected to bring their A-game to the octagon.

    09/01/2026
    Ernesta Kareckaite Last fights
    11/01 2025
    Nicolle Caliari Ernesta Kareckaite
    R35:00
    S Dec
    04/05 2024
    Ernesta Kareckaite Dione Barbosa
    R35:00
    Points
    Win 1
    50%
    Lost 1
    50%
    Sofia Montenegro Last fights
    Win 0
    0%
    Lost 0
    0%
    Overall statistics
    Since 2022
    Fights
    Ernesta Kareckaite 2
    Sofia Montenegro 0
    Average Strikes Per Fight
    57 of 161 Head 52 of 170
    14 of 21 Body 11 of 16
    4 of 6 Legs 9 of 11
    Takedowns
    Attempts (Landed/Total)
    2 of 4 (50%)
    0 of 0 (%)
    Significant Strikes by target
    Kareckaite
    76% Head 72%
    Montenegro
    19% Body 15%
    5% Legs 13%
    Knockdowns 0
    Submissions 0
    Control time 10:25
    Knockdowns 0
    Submissions 0
    Control time 00:00

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    October 2026
    MMA predictions
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