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COEF

    Alexander Hernandez vs Rafa Garcia

    16/05/2026 19:00
    LWW
    18-8-0
    8 KO, 2 SUB
    2 Garcia Points
    UFC
    WWW
    18-4-0
    2 KO, 8 SUB
    Fighter 1
    Fighter 2
    Prob. %
    12
    Pred
    Pred. outcome
    Coef.
    Outcome
    Lightweight
    UFC
    3961
    2Garcia
    Points
    -
    Cancl.
    Fighters info
    Alexander Hernandez
    Rafa Garcia
    NULL
    Team
    NULL
    NULL
    Height
    NULL
    NULL
    Weight
    NULL
    NULL
    Reach
    NULL
    NULL
    Stance
    NULL
    INTRO

    Stepping into the Octagon for an intense Lightweight showdown are Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia.

    Alexander Hernandez holds a solid record of 18 wins and 8 losses, showcasing his expertise with 8 wins by knockout and 2 by submission.

    On the other side, Rafa Garcia boasts an impressive record of 18 wins and 4 losses, with 2 victories by knockout and an impressive 8 wins by submission.

    This clash is set to take place during UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa on the 16th of May, 2026.

    Forebet's algorithm predicts Rafa Garcia as the favored fighter to emerge victorious with a 61% probability.

    12/05/2026
    Alexander Hernandez Last fights
    26/04 2026
    Alexander Hernandez Rafa Garcia
    R35:00
    Points
    14/09 2025
    Diego Ferreira Alexander Hernandez
    R23:46
    KO
    17/08 2025
    Alexander Hernandez Chase Hooper
    R14:58
    KO
    16/03 2025
    Kurt Holobaugh Alexander Hernandez
    R35:00
    Points
    05/10 2024
    Alexander Hernandez Austin Hubbard
    R35:00
    S Dec
    06/04 2024
    Damon Jackson Alexander Hernandez
    R35:00
    S Dec
    08/10 2023
    Bill Algeo Alexander Hernandez
    R35:00
    Points
    19/02 2023
    Alexander Hernandez Jim Miller
    R35:00
    Points
    11/12 2022
    Alexander Hernandez Billy Quarantillo
    R24:30
    KO
    13/02 2022
    Renato Moicano Alexander Hernandez
    R21:23
    SUB
    Win 4
    67%
    Lost 2
    33%
    View all
    Rafa Garcia Last fights
    26/04 2026
    Alexander Hernandez Rafa Garcia
    R35:00
    Points
    14/09 2025
    Jared Gordon Rafa Garcia
    R32:27
    KO
    29/03 2025
    Vinc Pichel Rafa Garcia
    R35:00
    Points
    12/10 2024
    Rafa Garcia Grant Dawson
    R21:42
    KO
    16/04 2023
    Rafa Garcia Clay Guida
    R35:00
    Points
    17/12 2022
    Maheshate Maheshate Rafa Garcia
    R35:00
    Points
    31/07 2022
    Rafa Garcia Drakkar Klose
    R35:00
    Points
    16/04 2022
    Jesse Ronson Rafa Garcia
    R24:50
    SUB
    Win 5
    83%
    Lost 1
    17%
    View all
    Overall statistics
    Since 2022
    Fights
    Alexander Hernandez 10
    Rafa Garcia 8
    Average Strikes Per Fight
    31 of 91 Head 51 of 117
    14 of 21 Body 6 of 8
    7 of 10 Legs 5 of 5
    Takedowns
    Attempts (Landed/Total)
    6 of 17 (35%)
    21 of 52 (40%)
    Significant Strikes by target
    Hernandez
    59% Head 83%
    Garcia
    28% Body 9%
    13% Legs 8%
    Knockdowns 5
    Submissions 1
    Control time 17:50
    Knockdowns 1
    Submissions 3
    Control time 21:22

    <
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    MMA predictions
    >
    {"9":"September 2026","10":"October 2026","11":"November 2026"}
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