Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 9
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
About a year ago, Bayer Leverkusen hosted Bayern Munich in a match that could have potentially settled the title race.
Leverkusen were ahead and smashed Munich easily in what ended up being a historic title run.
A year later, something similar could have happened—only this time, it was on Bayern Munich to do the smashing and pull away. But they didn’t.
Musiala is @FCBayernEN's game-changer 💥#Bundesliga | #BundesligaMatchFacts | @AWSCloud pic.twitter.com/E3SO2a333h
— Bundesliga English (@Bundesliga_EN) December 12, 2024
They didn’t because Leverkusen are proving to be a thorn in their side once more. Leverkusen needed a win, but not at the cost of losing, so coach Xabi Alonso did something interesting.
He played without a traditional striker, leaving Florian Wirtz and Nathan Tella to operate as false nines. They also relied heavily on the wings and pressing, trying to create something up front. That pressure basically forced Bayern to play through the middle, where both Wirtz and Tella could operate freely.
The result on the field was staggering—Leverkusen simply overran Bayern without any problems.
They created five big chances, according to Opta, while Bayern managed only two shots in 90 minutes, neither of which was on target.
Another thing to note is that Leverkusen entered Bayern’s final third 79 times during the match—an absurd ratio showcasing just how dominant they truly were.
Yet even with all that domination, the ball refused to go in, and the game finished in a 0-0 draw. While the result is better for Bayern this year compared to last year’s 3-0 loss, it still leaves the team with many questions.
They were dominated even more badly this year compared to last, despite having an infinitely better squad.
With their lead in the Bundesliga, Bayern should be fine to secure the trophy, but being so thoroughly dominated like this does raise concerns for the Champions League.
Some cracks had already appeared against Celtic. Even better teams should be able to exploit these weaknesses even more. They simply cannot afford to be dominated this badly in that competition, because they will be beaten.
So, the question of where they’re headed is quite complex. Domestically, things should be fine, and they should be able to win yet another trophy.
But in the Champions League, things are much murkier. They won the competition in 2020 but have since failed to make a major impact, falling short in the quarter-finals.
The potential is there because the squad is tremendous. However, some issues keep reappearing, making everyone question just how far they can really go. Failing in big moments is certainly one of those worries—this latest match against Leverkusen proved it.
They had a chance to essentially end the title race in the best way possible by beating their rivals, yet they were absolutely dominated in a way that is inexcusable.
That simply cannot happen—especially not if they hope to go all the way in every competition they are playing in this year.
There is plenty for the team’s management to think about, as this is a crossroads season for the overall project.

| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Freiburg | 13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
2 |
Borussia Dortmund | 13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
3 |
Bayern Munich | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
4 |
Bayer Leverkusen | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
5 |
RB Leipzig | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 |
6 |
Augsburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
7 |
Werder Bremen | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
8 |
Mainz | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
9 |
SV Elversberg | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
10 |
Köln | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
11 |
Stuttgart | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 |
12 |
Hamburger SV | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 |
13 |
Schalke 04 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 |
14 |
Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 |
15 |
Paderborn | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 |
16 |
Union Berlin | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 |
17 |
Hoffenheim | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 |
18 |
Borussia M'gladbach | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 |
In their 40 most recent matches of all competitions, Lincoln City have been undefeated 35 times
BATE Borisov are on a poor run of just 3 wins in 20 matches (Vysshaya Liga)
Saint Louis City are on an unbeaten run of 18 games in their Major League Soccer participation
In 13 of their most recent matches in Champions League, Bodo/Glimt have seen over 2.5 goals scored
Al Shamiya have been defeated in their last 8 matches in 1st Division
Philadelphia Union have won 7 consecutive games in Major League Soccer
Zenit have succeeded in keeping a clean sheet in their most recent 7 Kubok games
Kasetsart FC haven't scored a goal in all of their last 5 league matches
A margin of 2+ goals was achieved by Markhiya SC in their last 4 Q League games
Nomme Kalju II have been defeated at HT/FT in their last 4 Esiliiga matches
Vélez Sársfield Res. haven't lost in 30 of their last 36 home matches in Reserve League
Saint Louis City are on an unbeaten run of 18 games in their Major League Soccer participation
Montreal Impact are in an unfortunate period, having won just 2 of their last 17 matches in Major League Soccer
There have been over 2.5 goals in Minnesota United's last 9 Major League Soccer games
Philadelphia Union have won 7 consecutive games in Major League Soccer
Sporting Braga have kept a clean sheet in their last 6 matches in UEFA Europa Conference League
SV Notch have been defeated in their last 5 matches in Hoofdklasse
Levski Sofia have failed to score in their last 5 matches in Europa League
In a series of 4 I Liqa games, Shahdagh Qusar have succeeded in winning at HT/FT
Dinamo Puerto have lost by 2+ goals all of their last 3 Copa Venezuela games
Chengdu Qianbao are unbeaten in 47 of their 55 most recent matches (Super League)
Chernomorets Balchik are on a run of 31 consecutive undefeated matches in their domestic league
FK Dorostol are in an unfortunate period, having won just 1 of their last 20 matches in Third League - North-East
Dunfermline's most recent games have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals in their last 11 matches in Championship
Juventus Malchika have a poor record of 11 consecutive defeats in HT/FT in Third League - North-West
Qingdao Jonoon's latest record consists of 10 straight losses in Super League
Stockholm Internazionale have won their last 10 Div 1 Norra games in a row
Tristán Suárez are on a successful run of 7 games in Nacional B where they have kept a clean sheet
Levadiakos have not been able to score a goal in their 7 most recent matches in Super League
FC Differdange 03 have won at half time/full time all of their last 6 league matches
Chengdu Qianbao are unbeaten in 47 of their 55 most recent matches (Super League)
Chernomorets Balchik are on a run of 31 consecutive undefeated matches in their domestic league
In their last 20 games in Eerste Divisie, Helmond Sport have a poor record of just 3 wins
In 13 of their most recent matches in Champions League, Bodo/Glimt have seen over 2.5 goals scored
Juventus Malchika have a poor record of 11 consecutive defeats in HT/FT in Third League - North-West
Qingdao Jonoon's latest record consists of 10 straight losses in Super League
Stockholm Internazionale have won their last 10 Div 1 Norra games in a row
At least 2 goals have separated Barcelona and their oponents in their last 10 wins in all competitions
Zenit have succeeded in keeping a clean sheet in their most recent 7 Kubok games
Kalmar FF have failed to score a goal in each of their last 7 Allsvenskan games











