Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League 7
UEFA Europa League 18
UEFA Europa Conference League 18
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 7
Manchester City may have picked up an impressive win over Chelsea, but they still have one glaring issue this season: Rodri, or moreover, his absence.
Never has this been as obvious as it was in City’s 4-2 loss to PSG, which came just before the Chelsea victory. As good a manager as Pep Guardiola is, he has yet to figure out how to solve this problem.
🔵✨ Rodri on returning this season: “Yes, yes, yes! Also, I know myself, I'm a person who recovers well, with positive mentality”.
— Fabrizio Romano (@FabrizioRomano) January 6, 2025
“The issue of the head was very important in recovery. Everything is going very well”.
“I want to play again this season”, told @diarioas. pic.twitter.com/WHddlGMym0
To understand just how the absence of Rodri has impacted City, let’s first break down their loss to PSG.
The first thing that went wrong is that City failed to bring the ball up the field mostly because PSG applied very heavy pressure and quite high up the pitch. Whatever City tried, they ended up running into one or multiple players that essentially cut off their build-up play completely. They broke through a couple of times but mostly failed to get the ball forward.
Another thing that didn't go well was the possession game. City lost it easily, with PSG dominating possession and pushing up rather easily. They entered the final third of the field three times as much as City managed but failed to score mostly thanks to some compact defending from City.
After the first half, Guardiola made adjustments. He replaced a few players and pushed the team even more forward, risking a lot more but crowding the midfield. It worked and they scored two quick goals to go up 2-0.
The problem with that is that they no longer had the compact block defence that worked so well in the opening half. That was now gone, allowing PSG a lot of space, especially on the counter-attack.
Soon after going up 2-0, the English side started to cave under the massive pressure from the PSG wingbacks. PSG took control of possession, controlling it at about 60% for the rest of the game. They created lots of chances, shooting 18 times at the goal and scoring a total of four goals to completely turn around the match.
That’s why the block defence was employed in the first half. It was the only successful counter City had for the way PSG likes to play. Once Guardiola removed that, everything completely fell apart.
The simple answer is because they can't fix it. When City play their compact block defence, they don’t really create much up front. If they opt to play aggressively and attack more, then they leave the defence quite isolated and they concede lots of goals.
The great equaliser for all of this was Rodri. Since he went down with injury, the whole system fell apart because they don’t have a player that can connect the two playstyles into one fluid system.
Players like Mateo Kovačić and Bernardo Silva are not the right profile to fill the Rodri gap and they don’t have anybody that can step up either. It is what it is and these problems will keep happening.
They will likely dominate weaker opponents but struggle with better opponents who can exploit it better. It’s as simple as that. It’s not a manager issue, it’s a roster issue and it can’t be fixed.

| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Barcelona | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
2 |
Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
3 |
Sporting CP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
4 |
Arsenal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
5 |
Bayern Munich | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
6 |
PSG | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
7 |
Calcio Como | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
8 |
Manchester United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
9 |
Stuttgart | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
10 |
Manchester City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
11 |
Villarreal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
12 |
Aston Villa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
13 |
Atlético Madrid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
14 |
Real Betis | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
15 |
Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
16 |
Real Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
17 |
AEK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
18 |
Club Brugge | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
19 |
Lens | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
20 |
RB Leipzig | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
21 |
Sabah | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
22 |
Feyenoord | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 |
23 |
Roma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
24 |
Fenerbahçe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
25 |
Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
26 |
PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
27 |
Viking FK | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
28 |
Inter | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 |
29 |
Porto | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
30 |
Slavia Praha | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 |
31 |
Napoli | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 |
32 |
LASK Linz | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 |
33 |
Lille | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 |
34 |
Galatasaray | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 |
35 |
Slovan Bratislava | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 |
36 |
Bodo/Glimt | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 |
In their 40 most recent matches of all competitions, Lincoln City have been undefeated 35 times
BATE Borisov are on a poor run of just 3 wins in 20 matches (Vysshaya Liga)
Saint Louis City are on an unbeaten run of 18 games in their Major League Soccer participation
In 13 of their most recent matches in Champions League, Bodo/Glimt have seen over 2.5 goals scored
Al Shamiya have been defeated in their last 8 matches in 1st Division
Philadelphia Union have won 7 consecutive games in Major League Soccer
Zenit have succeeded in keeping a clean sheet in their most recent 7 Kubok games
Kasetsart FC haven't scored a goal in all of their last 5 league matches
A margin of 2+ goals was achieved by Markhiya SC in their last 4 Q League games
Nomme Kalju II have been defeated at HT/FT in their last 4 Esiliiga matches
Vélez Sársfield Res. haven't lost in 30 of their last 36 home matches in Reserve League
Saint Louis City are on an unbeaten run of 18 games in their Major League Soccer participation
Montreal Impact are in an unfortunate period, having won just 2 of their last 17 matches in Major League Soccer
There have been over 2.5 goals in Minnesota United's last 9 Major League Soccer games
Philadelphia Union have won 7 consecutive games in Major League Soccer
Sporting Braga have kept a clean sheet in their last 6 matches in UEFA Europa Conference League
SV Notch have been defeated in their last 5 matches in Hoofdklasse
Levski Sofia have failed to score in their last 5 matches in Europa League
In a series of 4 I Liqa games, Shahdagh Qusar have succeeded in winning at HT/FT
Dinamo Puerto have lost by 2+ goals all of their last 3 Copa Venezuela games
Chengdu Qianbao are unbeaten in 47 of their 55 most recent matches (Super League)
Chernomorets Balchik are on a run of 31 consecutive undefeated matches in their domestic league
FK Dorostol are in an unfortunate period, having won just 1 of their last 20 matches in Third League - North-East
Dunfermline's most recent games have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals in their last 11 matches in Championship
Juventus Malchika have a poor record of 11 consecutive defeats in HT/FT in Third League - North-West
Qingdao Jonoon's latest record consists of 10 straight losses in Super League
Stockholm Internazionale have won their last 10 Div 1 Norra games in a row
Tristán Suárez are on a successful run of 7 games in Nacional B where they have kept a clean sheet
Levadiakos have not been able to score a goal in their 7 most recent matches in Super League
FC Differdange 03 have won at half time/full time all of their last 6 league matches
Chengdu Qianbao are unbeaten in 47 of their 55 most recent matches (Super League)
Chernomorets Balchik are on a run of 31 consecutive undefeated matches in their domestic league
In their last 20 games in Eerste Divisie, Helmond Sport have a poor record of just 3 wins
In 13 of their most recent matches in Champions League, Bodo/Glimt have seen over 2.5 goals scored
Juventus Malchika have a poor record of 11 consecutive defeats in HT/FT in Third League - North-West
Qingdao Jonoon's latest record consists of 10 straight losses in Super League
Stockholm Internazionale have won their last 10 Div 1 Norra games in a row
At least 2 goals have separated Barcelona and their oponents in their last 10 wins in all competitions
Zenit have succeeded in keeping a clean sheet in their most recent 7 Kubok games
Kalmar FF have failed to score a goal in each of their last 7 Allsvenskan games











